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League of Legends DraftKings Picks For April 11th (2:00 AM ET Slate)

League of Legends DraftKings Picks For April 11th (2:00 AM ET Slate)
TheNumbersGuy
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Here are some LoL (League of Legends) elements that are relevant for us moving forward.

-There are six positions you’ll have to fill in your LoL lineups. Top, Jungle (JNG), Middle (MID), Attack Damage Carry (ADC), Support (SUP) and Team. The former five are actual positions that players take in the map, while Team is just an additional one that DraftKings added and will accrue less scoring. In other words, Team is the least important position when it comes to roster construction.

-LoL is a lot like baseball stacking wise. However, you want to stack players from a single team, not games. Stacking is pivotal in LoL DFS, particularly 4-3 and 3-3-1 stacks.

-Game stacking isn’t a winning proposition over the long run because ultimately, there’s a losing team. If you look at the statistics of losing teams in LoL, you’ll notice they will lack engagements (kills, creeps score), which ultimately hurts their score. However, there are losing teams that are aggressive and if you’re picking underdogs, you want to make sure they’re going after engagements.

-Speaking of engagements – you want to make sure that the players you select are looking for fights as often as possible. More fights = more opportunity for points. Simple enough, right?

League of Legends LPL/LCK Vegas Odds

LPL

LGD Gaming (+179) vs. Oh My God (-222) 

Team WE (+167) vs. eStar (-206) 

Rogue Warriors (+559) vs. Royal Never Give Up (-813) 

LCK 

Hanwha Life Esports (-126) vs. APK Prince (+104)

SANDBOX Gaming (+187) vs. KT Rolster (-233) 

Starting Lineups

LPL

Royal Never Give Up

Langx – XLB – Xiaohu – Betty – Ming

Rogue Warriors

Crazy – Haro – Ruby – ZWuJi – Ley

Team WE

Morgan – beishang – Teacherma – Jiumeng – Missing

eStar

Xiaobai – Wei – Cryin – Wink – ShiauC

Oh My God

Curse – H4cker – icon – Smlz – cold

LGD Gaming

Lies – Peanut – Yuuki – Kramer – Killua

LCK

The LCK will not provide lineups before lock. They’re more consistent with their lineups but the fact that they don’t provide lineups before lock obviously creates some risk.

Top Plays

The top plays today stick out in a big way. In the case of Royal Never Give Up (-813), it’s both the significant odds and the incredible matchup that make them such standout plays. They’re coming off two straight loses and last game they got 0-2’d against a slightly inferior team. While the recent form is certainly shaky, this is a clear bounce back spot against Rogue Warriors. The latter team is averaging 16.7 deaths per game (second worst mark in the league) and they’ve also posted 13.9 kills per game. It’s one of the best pace matchups in the entire LPL. You could build some strong 4-2-1 stacks with Langx (TOP) at captain ($10,800) while still building through their best scorers – Betty (ADC) and Xiaohu (MID). Given the big odds to win and the incredible matchup, you can expect RNG to be the chalkiest team in this slate.

The other obvious top play is Oh My God (-222). The odds to win aren’t as significant here but the matchup sticks out in a big way. LGD Gaming is coming off an impressive beat down against RNG but on the season they’re averaging 15.4 deaths per game. On the flip side, they’re also averaging 14.6 kills per game, which is the sixth best mark in the LPL. The high paced matchup is undeniable here and it could lead to some very big scores out of Oh My God if they manage to pull the win. It’s possible to build 3-3-1 stacks with Oh My God and RNG tonight and that’s probably the safest route out there. Oh My God doesn’t score as well because they’re a much slower paced team (11.2 kills per game, 10.9 deaths per game) and that’s why their average scores won’t look promising. Still, taking a shot on them in this slate feels necessary given the upside matchup. Their TOP player, Curse, can be rostered for just $9,900 at captain on DraftKings. 

What do we do with eStar (-206)? Their season long numbers remain outstanding as they’re averaging 17 kills per game and have some of the best talent imaginable on their roster. On the other hand, their recent form is abysmal, as they’ve lost three straight games, including two straight 0-2s. They’re also priced as the best scorers in this slate. There should be low ownership here and given their ridiculous upside when things go right, I recommend having some exposure here in tournaments. 

Value Plays

The value plays are a bit clustered together in this slate. KT Rolster (-233) should be viewed as some of the top values given their combination of odds to win, which are comparable to most of the other favorites today, and pricing. Their matchup against SANDBOX Gaming is somewhere in the average/slightly above average range. Ultimately, what’s most important here is that KT Rolster scores well enough in the LCK and can get into the 90s/100s DraftKings points in big wins. Given their mid-tier pricing, they allow you to 4-3 stack pretty comfortably in this slate. 

Then there’s Hanhwa Life Esports (-126), a below average team in a great LCK matchup against APK Prince (averaging 14.3 deaths per game; worst mark in the league). They don’t score well and can be annoying with subs, especially at the ADC position, but they’re in as good a matchup as it gets in the LCK. 

All things considered, you could argue that Team WE (+167) should be considered as the top values in this slate. They’re an underdog, though, and eStar has a long track record this season of being tough to kill. Their average of 12 deaths per game ranks in the bottom half of the league. On the other hand, eStar’s recent performance has led to big upside performances for their opponents and Team WE is averaging 14.8 kills per game this season (fifth best mark in the LPL). They’re not a dominant team, but they score well and do so pretty consistently. Teacherma, their stud MID player, carries a $10,200 price tag at captain tonight. Given the cost and talent at question, he’s likely one of the best plays on the entire slate for an underdog team. That’s how talented he is. 

Video Content

We’ll be back next week with more video content! Stay tuned.


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