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League of Legends DraftKings Picks For April 17th (3:00 AM ET Slate)

League of Legends DraftKings Picks For April 17th (3:00 AM ET Slate)
TheNumbersGuy
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Here are some LoL (League of Legends) elements that are relevant for us moving forward.

-There are six positions you’ll have to fill in your LoL lineups. Top, Jungle (JNG), Middle (MID), Attack Damage Carry (ADC), Support (SUP) and Team. The former five are actual positions that players take in the map, while Team is just an additional one that DraftKings added and will accrue less scoring. In other words, Team is the least important position when it comes to roster construction.

-LoL is a lot like baseball stacking wise. However, you want to stack players from a single team, not games. Stacking is pivotal in LoL DFS, particularly 4-3 and 3-3-1 stacks.

-Game stacking isn’t a winning proposition over the long run because ultimately, there’s a losing team. If you look at the statistics of losing teams in LoL, you’ll notice they will lack engagements (kills, creeps score), which ultimately hurts their score. However, there are losing teams that are aggressive and if you’re picking underdogs, you want to make sure they’re going after engagements.

-Speaking of engagements – you want to make sure that the players you select are looking for fights as often as possible. More fights = more opportunity for points. Simple enough, right?

League of Legends LPL Vegas Odds

LPL

Team WE (-425) vs. LNG Esports (+280) 

Invictus Gaming (-220) vs. Edward Gaming (+155) 

JD Gaming (-575) vs. Dominus Esports (+350)

Starting Lineups

LPL

LNG Esports

chenlun17 – Xx – Maple – Light – Duan

Team WE

Morgan – beishang – Teacherma – Jiumeng – Missing

JD Gaming

Zoom – Kanavi – Yagao – LokeN – LvMao

Dominus Esports

Natural – Xiaopeng – xiye – GALA – Mark

Edward Gaming

Jinoo – JieJie – Scout – Hope – Meiko

Invictus Gaming

TheShy – Leyan – Rookie – Puff – Southwind

Top Plays

JD Gaming (-575) represents the top play in this short slate. JD Gaming have won 68.8% of their games (third highest win rate) this season and come into this matchup in excellent recent form, winning five games straight. They’ve also posted a league best 1.48 kill to death ratio. Their opponent, Dominus Esports, are close to league average in both kills (12.3) and deaths (12.8). It’s a fine matchup but ultimately JD Gaming’s strong ability to score and favorable pricing makes them stand out a bit more at the top. For example, Zoom, their TOP laner, can be rostered for just $9,300 on DraftKings. That sort of price tag at captain allows you to a) four man stack JD Gaming, building around their best players, and b) can run it back with a 3 man Team WE stack. 

On the flip side, Team WE (-425) has an even juicier matchup against a LNG Esports squad that’s averaging 14.9 deaths per game this season. You could argue that Teacherma, their ADC, is the best player of any of the top two teams in this slate. Ultimately, Team WE is a bit more challenging to stack with their better scorers at captain because their costs exceed $11,000 in that spot. They’re not a better team than JD Gaming and their odds to win are somewhat lower than the latter’s, which makes them next in line plays rather than the top plays outright. 

The last team that deserves to be considered as a top play in this slate is Invictus Gaming (-220). Invictus Gaming ranks second in the entire LPL this season in kills per game (16.4). They’ve also posted the second highest win rate (70.6%) in the league. This is a dominant team that scores very well – arguably the best scorers in this slate. The clear con here is the matchup. Edward Gaming is a good team in their own right, winning over 60% of their games this season, and they’re averaging just 9.9 deaths per game (second lowest mark in the league). Matchup aside, they should still be considered in tournaments if only because they’re one of the more talented teams available. 

Speaking of Edward Gaming (+155), the matchup against Invictus Gaming sticks out plenty. Invictus Gaming is a very aggressive team that dies a bunch. On the season, they’re averaging 15.5 deaths per game. They don’t lose often but this is a clear upset spot as Edward Gaming have posted a 1.41 kill to death ratio and a 61% win rate this spring. They’re our favorite underdog pick in this slate, especially when you consider that they can score well even in a loss. I am a big fan of their price tags relative to their talent level.

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