Luis Severino Scouting Report
I’m Mike Diaz and I’ll be contributing to DailyRoto, providing scouting reports on prospects when they are called up to the MLB level. I studied and played baseball at the University of South Florida. I signed as a non-drafted free agent with the Anaheim Angels and played for two years in the organization. I wrote about minor league prospects for Metsminorleagueblog.com, Scoutingthesally.com, Projectprospect.com, and Rotohardball. For the past four years I have worked as an Associate Scout for the San Diego Padres. Currently live in the Kansas City area with my wife of 15 years and four children.
RHP – New York Yankees
Using the 20-80 scouting scale (50 being MLB average)
Let’s dive right into the recent Major League debut on New York Yankees prospect Luis Severino. The 6′, 195 lbs 21-year old right-hander showed flashes of brilliance with a power 3- pitch arsenal. Severino’s fastball was electric all night, sitting consistently at 94-97 with life and some run to the arm side. He was able to command the fastball to the glove side, but was not able to spot it the arm side. Future Hall of Famer David Ortiz was the only Red Sox hitter to make hard contact on Severino’s fastball . Ortiz lined hard to second-base and homered in his two at-bats. Both times Severino fell behind in the count to Ortiz. Severino’s fastball produced three swings and misses, three ground-ball outs, and one fly ball out.
Early in the game Severino was overthrowing his off speed pitches. How can you blame the kid for being a little amped up, pitching in Yankee Stadium versus the Boston Red Sox in your major league debut. Severino’s best secondary offering is a power change-up. The pitch has good fade and run to the arm side with good arm speed, making this a this a plus pitch. The velocity on his change-up early, when overthrowing, was 89-90, but as Severino started to get better feel of the pitch later in his outing it was more effective in the 87-88 range with more movement. Severino’s third best offering was a mix between a slider and cutter. The cutter (90-91mph) was used as more of a pitch to contact offering, with some slight lateral movement. Severino made one mistake with his cutter that Alejandro De Aza hit off the right-field wall for a double. Severino’s slider showed flashes of being an above average offering, but was inconsistent. The slider (86-92 mph) has some tilt and depth (late movement). He used the slider to produce five swings and misses, one ground ball, and two fly ball outs.
Severino’s minor league track record shows he can keep the ball in the yard (only 8 HR allowed in 321 IP), the ability to strike batters out (323 K) and 7K in 5 IP in his Major League debut, and the ability to limit walks (81 BB: 321IP – 2.27/9IP). Red Sox right-handers had a tough time with Severino, while the only hard contact he gave up was to left-handers. We will need to keep an eye on his splits moving forward, but his change-up gives me confidence that Severino can be effective to both lefties and righties.
Severino shows more control than command right now. He can throw 3-pitches for strikes, but for him to push into an upper tier starting pitcher he must refine his command. His delivery is simple and repeatable, but uses virtually no lower half. All of his power comes from a lightning quick arm. Severino reminds me of Johnny Cueto in both size and stuff, but lacks the feel and command that Cueto has. With improved command, Severino has an upside of a #2 starting pitcher with two plus now offerings, and a floor of a very effective back end of the bullpen type arm. Fastball Slider/Cutter Change-up Overall 70 55/50 60 60
Other prospect notes:
RHP Colin Rea (SD Padres) – Making his debut tonight vs. CIN. When drafted he was tabbed as a #5 starter type, but Rea has since improved his velocity and delivery. Fastball will reach the mid 90s but not overpowering. Has pitched effectively in AA/AAA this season, but lacks K upside. Rea is a middle of the rotation type guy at best, with not a lot of DFS upside.
2B Jose Peraza (LA Dodgers) – Peraza is a light-hitting second-baseman with above average speed. In 2013 & 2014 Peraza stole 64 and 60 bases respectively. Peraza has well below average power. He uses a short swing and good hand eye coordination to put balls in play. His minor league #s show that he doesn’t walk much (1788 AB- 96 BB), so his value is predicated on hitting for a high average (Career .305 Minors) and stealing bases (204 SB in 449 games). Watching Peraza hit reminds me of a young Omar Infante but with more speed.
Are you going to be using or attacking any of the recent call ups in your MLB DFS lineups?