3/10 NBA DFS: It’s Good to be King

Daily Fantasy Rundown – March 10 NBA DFS Picks and Analysis

Welcome to Thursday’s edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “dinkpiece”, “leonem” and“TheNumbersGuy”. Each day throughout the NBA season our daily NBA scouting reports will highlight the best top, value and cheap plays of the day based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games.  Our goal is to bring analysis that will help you build rosters that put you in position to win consistently over the long term.

*Any time a player’s salary is reference as a discount or premium, it is relative to the average cost of a roster spot.

**Usage/Assist/Rebounding Rates courtesy of Basketball-Reference.com unless otherwise noted.

Point Guard – Our featured site for the point guard position is DraftKings

Top Play:

Kyle Lowry (TOR) – Lowry’s expected value is right around 40 Fantasy points tonight, and his value threshold on our featured sire for point guards (DraftKings) is in the low 40s. We think Lowry deserves cash game merit even in a difficult matchup vs. Atlanta (allowing 0.73 points per possession against ball handlers in pick and roll situations, where Lowry excels the most), but our focus in cash is to pay up for LeBron James – the stud at a position that carries very low opportunity cost.

Next in line:

Kyrie Irving (CLE) – Irving is the point guard we’re more likely settling for in cash games. The price on DraftKings is fair ($7,700 – value threshold in the high 30s), but there’s still room for profits here relative to the matchup. The Lakers are the friendliest matchup for point guards (ranked 30^th in defensive efficiency and allowing the second most assists to PGs), and as long as this game remains somewhat competitive into the fourth quarter, Irving should see 35-37 minutes. Irving usually begins the fourth quarter with the second unit while LeBron/Love are resting, so he’s usually the Cleveland stud that’s less affected by blowout situations. Even if his minutes are scaled back in a blowout, the boost in efficiency could be all he needs in order to reach value. At $7,200 on FanDuel, Irving is a near must play in cash games since the price is only asking for a low return of 33-34 Fantasy points (we’re projecting 36-38 Fantasy points for Irving tonight).