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3/13 NBA DFS: A Melo Day by the Lake

3/13 NBA DFS: A Melo Day by the Lake
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Daily Fantasy Rundown – March 13 NBA DFS Picks and Analysis

Welcome to Sunday’s edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “dinkpiece”, “leonem” andTheNumbersGuy”. Each day throughout the NBA season our daily NBA scouting reports will highlight the best top, value and cheap plays of the day based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games.  Our goal is to bring analysis that will help you build rosters that put you in position to win consistently over the long term.

*Any time a player’s salary is reference as a discount or premium, it is relative to the average cost of a roster spot.

**Usage/Assist/Rebounding Rates courtesy of Basketball-Reference.com unless otherwise noted.

Point Guard – Our featured site for the point guard position is DraftKings

Top Play:

Rajon Rondo (SAC) – Rondo is our top projected scorer on a night where Russell Westbrook and Stephen Curry are off. Rondo’s price around the industry isn’t prohibitive (it has actually dipped below $8,000 on DraftKings, our featured site for point guards), but the matchup against Utah (around average from a defensive efficiency standpoint vs. PGs, but they’re ranked 30th in pace and Rudy Gobert will be defending the paint) isn’t favorable. We ultimately believe the slow paced matchup will affect Rondo’s value in a negative way, making him more of a secondary tournament target rather than a cash game viable option.

Next in line:

D’Angelo Russell (LAL) – Russell’s days of being a superb value are likely over now that the price has corrected fully. Moreover, the Lakers’ backcourt is healthier, which means that Russell’s upside is capped at around 40 Fantasy points. While that upside used to be meaningful when Russell was priced below $6,000, the price is now over $7,000 and his expected value is in the mid 30s today. We still consider Russell viable in cash games with that expected value in mind (his value threshold is in the mid 30s around the industry), but we don’t consider him a core piece any longer unless an injury to the Lakers’ backcourt occurs.

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