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3/19 NBA DFS: Hawking For Value

3/19 NBA DFS: Hawking For Value
DAILY FANTASY RUNDOWN
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Daily Fantasy Rundown – March 19 NBA DFS Picks and Analysis

Welcome to Saturday’s edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “dinkpiece”, “leonem” and “TheNumbersGuy”. Each day throughout the NBA season our daily NBA scouting reports will highlight the best top, value and cheap plays of the day based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games.  Our goal is to bring analysis that will help you build rosters that put you in position to win consistently over the long term.

*Any time a player’s salary is reference as a discount or premium, it is relative to the average cost of a roster spot.

**Usage/Assist/Rebounding Rates courtesy of Basketball-Reference.com unless otherwise noted.

Point Guard – Our featured site for the point guard position is DraftKings

Top Play:

Russell Westbrook (OKC) – Westbrook triple-doubled in just 32 minutes of action last night as the Thunder blew out the Sixers in the second half, allowing Russ a little bit of rest on the front end of a back to back set. On the second of that back to back set tonight, Westbrook is our highest projected scorer. On DraftKings, where the scoring system and pricing bands are extremely favorable to him, an average game puts Westbrook at 53.8 DraftKings points, 3.8 above his value threshold. While the team may be careful resting their key players down the stretch, there’s no indication that will occur with Westbrook. In a relatively neutral matchup, we’re expecting an average game out of Westbrook and that makes him very useful in cash games on a day where we aren’t as high on the mid-tier options as usual, making a hi-lo approach at the position attractive.

Next in line:

Stephen Curry (GS) – Both Curry and Westbrook are playing on back to back sets but still expected to get the usual allotment of minutes in competitive games. In Curry’s case, he may actually play more than usual in a matchup between the two best team’s in the NBA, which gives him strong profit potential to target in tournament formats. In cash games, though, we lean Westbrook’s way as he has a higher baseline and a friendlier matchup from a defensive efficiency standpoint.

Value Play:

George Hill (IND) – One of the better options to pair with Westbrook, especially on DraftKings, is George Hill, who us underpriced at $4,300 (31 percent discount). Hill is often underowned because quite frankly he’s boring. Coupled with some tough recent performances (in a shooting slump, left a game early with a toe injury), his price has fallen dramatically from where it was 10 games ago ($5,400). This makes Hill a really high floor player in cash games given his consistent minutes. The potential for his shooting woes to correct themselves paired with a plus matchup (Oklahoma City is eighth in pace and 23rd in defensive efficiency against point guards) also gives Hill a higher ceiling relative to salary than we’re used to seeing.

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