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March Madness CBB DFS Picks

March Madness CBB DFS Picks
DAILY FANTASY RUNDOWN
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March Madness CBB DFS Picks

Welcome to Thursday’s edition of DCoop328’s CBB Daily Plays. This article will break down the best plays at each price range (based on Fanduel pricing). This will be followed by price-adjusted cash game rankings showing the best 50/50 and head to head plays for today’s slate.

Please make sure to double check all injury information prior to roster lock.

High Priced Studs ($8000+)

RJ Hunter (Georgia State, Guard) – The Sun Belt Player of the Year comes into the tourney averaging 20 points/5 rebounds/4 assists. RJ has one of the highest shot percentage rates in the nation at 30.1 percent. To add to RJ’s great numbers he gets a boost with his backcourt mate Ryan Harrow (GSU’s second leading scorer) being questionable for today’s game. No matter Harrow’s status RJ Hunter is still a great play.

Jordan Mickey (LSU, Forward) – It is looking like the LSU stud forward is going to play as LSU has come out and said that he is very close to 100 percent. Ironically, the injury has led to Mickey emerging as a value. Mickey has been over $10,000 all season long but since the injury his production has waned. With that decrease in production his priced has dropped… all the way to 8k. To add to this LSU is projected to score 72 points, very high for an NCAA game. When playing Mickey expect to get 10k production at an 8k price.

Mid Range Plays ($6000-$8000)

Steve Moundou-Missi (Harvard, Forward) – Missi is Harvard’s second scoring option, after Jalen Saunders, and an excellent rebounder. His rebounding rate of nearly 23 percent is superb and ranks 64th in the nation. He draws a matchup against North Carolina, the 10th fastest tempo team in the nation, which should give him extra possessions and ultimately extra chances at racking up Fantasy points, making him a great cash game play.

Nick Lindner (Lafayette, Guard) – Simply look down Lindner’s game logs and you can see what makes him a great play. He has averaged over 30 Fantasy points per game over his last eight games. He does draw a tough matchup against a one seed in Arizona but that is definitely priced into his salary. Lafayette is not projected to score many points against Arizona’s third ranked defense but the offense they do generate will flow through Lindner. His 30.6 assist rate ranks 79th in the entire nation and the usage rate isn’t bad either at 22.6.

David Walker (Northeastern, Guard) – Walker is Northeastern’s main scorer and plays 40 minutes nearly every game, something that’s unlikely to change in the tournament. Also, Walker is the one player in the NCAA that you do not have to worry about foul trouble as he leads the NCAA in least number of fouls per 40 minutes at just 0.9 per game. The certain playing time gives Walker a high floor, and he’ll face a Notre Dame team that’s known for its offense (second in the nation in adjusted offense), not its defense (111th in adjusted defense).

Low Priced Values ($4500-$6500)

Malcolm Riley (Texas Southern, Forward) – Riley has scored an average of 35 Fantasy points per game over his last five games. These great stats are due to a combination of rising minutes, usage rate and rebounding rate as the team has relied on him down the stretch. He’s played at least 32 minutes in four straight games and at least 36 in three of those. He’s also posted a usage rate over 20 percent for three consecutive games for the first time all season. The only negative with Riley is that he his team is not projected to score many points against Arizona’s third ranked defense. Ultimately though the volume and 5.6k price tag are more important when assessing Riley’s value.

Kevin Ware (Georgia State, Guard) – Many of you may remember Ware from his gruesome injury while playing for the Louisville Cardinals. Since then Ware has transferred to GSU and been a great role player. Ware has consistently been putting up 20 Fantasy points per game when getting 30-plus minutes. His value has recently increased as Georgia State switched their defense to a 2-3 zone, which is more conducive to guards’ rebounding rates. Ware also ranks 86th in the nation in steal rate. Between that and his rebounding he can rack up Fantasy points on both ends of the court. It needs to be noted that Ware’s price is depressed thanks to a six game stretch where he didn’t play much and wasn’t involved offensively, but his most recent two games in the conference tournament are more indicative of what we should expect to see out of him in the NCAA tournament.

Price Adjusted Cash Game Rankings

Forward

  1. Steve Moundou-Missi
  2. Jordan Mickey
  3. Malcolm Riley
  4. Tim Quarterman
  5. Blogdan Blizynuk
  6. Taurean Waller-Prince
  7. AJ Hammons
  8. Lee Skinner
  9. Justin Jackson
  10. Brandon Ashley

Guard

  1. Nick Lindner
  2. RJ Hunter
  3. Kevin Ware
  4. David Walker
  5. Jalyn Patterson
  6. Keith Hornsby
  7. Kenny Chery
  8. Delon Wright
  9. Tyler Harvey
  10. Trevor Lacey

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