March Madness Thursday CBB DFS Picks
We welcome you to Thursday’s March Madness Special edition of DCoop328’s CBB DFS Picks. Today we will break down the top plays at each price range (based on FanDuel pricing). It’s that time of year again. It’s lit! March Madness!
Tyler Ulis (Kentucky, Guard) Other than possibly Isaiah Whitehead, there has been no better college basketball player in this year’s postseason. Whitehead is priced higher than Ulis, which I think is wrong. Ulis is a very similar scoring threat but also has huge assist upside compared to Whitehead. Until Ulis begins to cool down he is going to be in my lineup every slate – especially on Thursday – when he is still underpriced and has a solid matchup against a slow defender in Lucas Woodhouse. Ulis is definitely in play in both cash and GPPs.
Jakob Poetl (Utah, Forward) Poetl has been a GPP special play during the conference season, putting up huge 60 point fantasy performances, but also a few duds. If you remember early in the season during non-conference play, Poetl consistently put up some huge performances against small school teams. The seven-foot center will likely be a top ten pick, battling with the NBA’s best big men, but on Thursday he gets to face an undersized Fresno State interior of 6’6 Karachi Edo and 6’8 Cullen Russo. Poetl should have no trouble scoring on the inside and should get a wealth of offensive rebounds.
Kyle Wiltjer (Gonzaga, Forward) The decision between Kyle Wiltjer and Domantas Sabonis is always a tough one for me when Gonzaga is on the slate. With two players that produce as similar fantasy outputs, I like to choose the cheaper of the two. Thursday, Wiltjer is the cheaper of the two, so he is the play. Wiltjer, the Kentucky transfer, is one of the most talented scorers in the country. At 6’10 he is a 43% three-point shooter and a great presence in the paint. Like Poetl, Wiltjer will someday be in the NBA. Wiltjer also gets a huge tempo boost, facing run-and-gun Seton Hall, in what should be one of the highest scoring games of the day giving Wiltjer some added fantasy points opportunities.
Other Top Plays: Isaiah Whitehead, Jamal Murray, Domantas Sabonis
Mid-Range Plays ($6000-$8000)
Isaiah Williams (Iona, Forward) This entire season I’ve been waiting to play Iona guard, AJ English, during March Madness. But unfortunately he is priced out. I can’t pay more for English than Ulis or Whitehead. A good replacement for English, is Iona’s second leading scorer, senior forward Isaiah Williams. In the game with the highest over-under on the slate, Williams should be able to put up a solid double double. He is one of the MAAC’s leading rebounders and also provides a nice defensive upside with blocks and steals.
Anthony Gill (Virginia, Forward) If Virginia played at just an average pace; Anthony Gill would be a stud-priced player. Unfortunately they don’t, but the good news is we get to buy Gill at a mid-range price. Gill is one of the strongest players in the country and going up against mid-major teams should help nobody for the Cavaliers more than him. In addition, Hampton is not just any mid-major team. They led the MEAC in adjusted tempo, which will hopefully counteract the sluggish pace of Virginia. Gill, who has been a cash game only option basically all season, is in play in both cash and GPPs, facing a mid-major team.
Khadeen Carrington (Seton Hall, Guard) Isaiah Whitehead led Seton Hall to a magical run in the Big East Tournament. But for every Batman there is a Robin. Khadeen Carrington is Whitehead’s Robin and Seton Hall’s second go to scorer. Carrington is finally living up to his recruiting hype, putting up big scoring numbers in his last five games. Carrington and Whitehead are both top assist leaders in the Big East, but Carrington is $4000 less than Whitehead on FanDuel, so he is definitely the way to go on Thursday. With Whitehead currently residing at this insane price point, I think he is only usable in GPPs. Carrington can be used in all formats.
Vince Edwards/Caleb Swanigan (Purdue, Forward) If you have been playing college basketball DFS over the last few weeks and haven’t used one of these two guys, chances are you haven’t been a profitable player. Both Edwards and more recently Swanigan (as a result of increased minutes) have been extremely consistent performers. Swanigan, a talented freshman, holds the top rebounding rate in the Big Ten and is an extremely talented interior scorer. Edwards is an all around player, knocking down 41% of his threes, leading Purdue in assists, and racking up rebounds. In an outstanding matchup against an undersized Arkansas Little-Rock team, the combination of mid-range Purdue forwards is a great (and possibly necessary) way to start your DFS teams.
Other Top Plays: Jordan Mclaughlin, Troy Williams, Chris Flemmings, Angel Rodriguez, Sheldon McCllelan, Kyle Dranginis, Jordan Loveridge
Value Plays ($4500-$6000)
Luke Kennard (Duke, Guard) Even after a poor shooting start to the season, Coach K has continued to instill his trust in the freshman, Kennard. He recently moved Kennard into the starting lineup, and like most of his starters, played him basically the entire game (37 minutes per game while in the starting lineup). Kennard is a great three-point shooter and is a solid peripheral statistic collector. He has a 2.0 steal rate, which should give a nice boost to your fantasy teams. In a game where Duke is projected to score 81, Kennard from behind the arc should be a big part of the offensive outburst, easily hitting value.
Rodney Purvis (UConn, Forward) Similar to Kennard, Rodney Purvis just recently moved into the starting lineup. Purvis’ story is a bit different as he played last season and the majority of this season in the starting lineup – That was before he was sent to the bench in favor of freshman guard, Jalen Adams. When Purvis was a starter he consistently resided in the upper mid-range price area at FanDuel. He actually leads UConn in percentage of shots taken while on the floor and makes good use of those shots, hitting over 39% of his three’s. Purvis is also a solid peripheral scorer and gets a nice tempo boost facing the Colorado Buffaloes.
Kamari Murphy (Miami, Forward) In a day where FanDuel made it extremely hard to find value (especially sub $5000 value), Kamari Murphy is our best option. This is weird because in past seasons, both sites have priced mid-major players at discounted prices to make up for the tougher matchups. This year is a bit different, but luckily we have Murphy to help fill out our squads. Murphy is finally getting consistent minutes, averaging 27 minutes over his last four games. With consistent run, he should be able to produce fantasy points as a result of an elite 20.5 rebounding rate and a solid 3.5 block rate. Murphy is not going to blow the door off and put up a 40 burger, but he is a safe bet to put up 18-25 facing Buffalo, arguably the best matchup the tourney has to offer.
*Note: Yale guard Jack Montague may look intriguing as a value due to nice game logs, but he is missing the OUT symbol as he was recently kicked off the basketball team.
Other Top Plays: Alex Poythress, Derek Willis, Ismael Sanoago, Jalen Lindsey
Good luck today everybody and as always if you have any questions hit me up in the March Madness DailyRoto forums or on twitter @dcoop328dfs.
* statistics courtesy of kenpom.com