Daily Fantasy Rundown – May 14th MLB DFS PICKS
Welcome to Thursday’s edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “leonem”, “dinkpiece” and “thenumbersguy”. Each day throughout the MLB season our daily MLB scouting reports will highlight the best top, value and cheap plays of the day based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games. The goal of our analysis is to help you improve consistency and become a better player long-term.
Weather: We’re keeping an eye on Los Angeles and San Diego. Please see Meteorologist Mark Paquette’s game by game weather forecasts below the Analysis.
If any weather situations shift drastically, we will keep you updated with lineup alerts so make sure to check your email inbox up until roster lock.
Additional catcher notes: The catcher position has been difficult to decipher from a value perspective in the last few days but that’s even more prominent on a six game slate. Here are our catcher rankings with some added commentary: Yasmani Grandal (LAD) (20th), Evan Gattis (HOU) (28th), Jason Castro (HOU) (43rd), Russell Martin (TOR) (46th), Brian McCann (NYY) (52nd) and Wilin Rosario (COL) (89th). Grandal and Gattis are top 30 hitters according to our model but their lineup spots aren’t great (usually sixth). Ultimately, I’ll let the price tags guide me (Gattis is cheaper than Grandal on DraftKings and Grandal is cheaper than Gattis on FanDuel). McCann serves as a good value alternative to Grandal and Gattis despite being ranked a bit poorly in our model. The only reason McCann isn’t ranked higher is because of Tropicana Field (terrible hitting environment). However, some of that concern is eschewed by the matchup. Erasmo Ramirez is awful (8.38 ERA through nine appearances this season) and the Yankees offense will have a team total pushing 4.5 runs. Unlike some of our other top catcher options, McCann is blessed with a good lineup spot (fifth) and that aids his value a bit. If you want to get exposure to a Yankees offense that should get to Ramirez despite the poor hitting environment, it makes sense to do it with McCann (higher opportunity costs at other positions like first base and third base, which makes Rodriguez, Teixeira and the rest of the Yankees LHBs better value alternatives than primary values). Rosario is always in play against a LHP (incredible skills against southpaws) but Brett Anderson yields a high amount of ground balls and he’s a solid pitcher for the most part. The Rockies offense has a team total around 3-3.5 runs tonight and they face a huge negative park shift, which means Rosario only garners secondary value consideration. Jason Castro hits towards the bottom of the Astros lineup (seventh) but he has a strong matchup against Drew Hutchison and Vegas likes this Astros offense tonight (4.5 run total). He’s an acceptable tournament option.