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5/20 MLB DFS: Play Tyson’s Punch Out

5/20 MLB DFS: Play Tyson’s Punch Out
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Daily Fantasy Rundown – May 20th MLB DFS Picks and Analysis

Welcome to Wednesday’s edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “leonem”, “dinkpiece” and “thenumbersguy”. Each day throughout the MLB season our daily MLB scouting reports will highlight the best top, value and cheap plays of the day based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games. The goal of our analysis is to help you improve consistency and become a better player long-term.

Glossary: See a term you’re unfamiliar with? Check out our glossary page. If there’s something you’d like to see added there, please email us at help@dailyroto.com.

Weather: The CLE-CHW is the game to pay the most attention to tonight. There are some small concerns in COL.  Please see Meteorologist Mark Paquette’s game by game weather forecasts below the Analysis.

If any weather situations shift drastically, we will keep you updated with lineup alerts so make sure to check your email inbox up until roster lock.

Catcher

Value Plays:

Rockies Catchers – This is essentially the same advice as yesterday although against a weaker starter. I’m just going to leave Mike Leone’s analysis from yesterday and adapt it to the matchup with Severino Gonzalez. Even against a RHP, we likely see Wilin Rosario somewhere in the top six lineup spots for the Rockies given that Justin Morneau is out. Sure, we love using Rosario against LHP where he’s elite but at his current price point there’s nothing wrong with using him in a same handed home matchup. The wOBA against RHP is bad (.307) but there’s still some power there (.165 ISO, 34 HRs in 963 PAs). Let’s not fool ourselves, though. This is mostly about the unparalleled offensive environment in Coors Field. Severino Gonzalez hasn’t given us much reason to believe he’s a competent major league starter. In AAA this season he’s allowed a 4.34 ERA while posting a miniscule 13.3 percent K Rate. In the big leagues, he’s been hammered (10.57 ERA) in two starts against the Marlins and Cardinals. Rosario is no longer catcher eligible on FanDuel, but he’s got a more than fair price on DraftKings. Teammate Nick Hundley has been hitting sixth. If he remains in that spot, he’d represent a fine cheaper play across the industry. There is not a lot of opportunity cost at the catcher position today, making it an easy spot to get Coors Field exposure in cash games. Rosario and Hundley are our top ranked catcher options and each rank within our Top 35 overall hitters.

Additional catcher notes: Derek Norris (SD) has elite skills against LHP (.382 wOBA and .194 ISO since 2012) but the poor scoring environment pushes him down in our model rankings. I’m personally trying to keep my exposure to Coors Field in cash games, but I think Norris has tournament value and is an adequate secondary value play. Carlos Ruiz (PHI) continues to rank well in our model because of Coors Field but a bad lineup spot and almost no power limits the upside.  The rest of the position is pretty thin, so we’ll try to spot some possible punts in the lineup alerts.

First Base

Top Play:

Jose Abreu (CHW) – Abreu ranks as our top overall first base option (one spot ahead of David Ortiz) and as a Top Five hitter overall. Abreu has posted a .393 wOBA and .242 ISO against RHP as a big leaguer. He gets to hit one of the elite offensive environments for RH power (inflates RH home runs 14 percent above the league average) and he faces a pitcher that probably shouldn’t be in the big leagues. Shaun Marcum had a nice career but then he ran into shoulder issues. He missed all of 2014 after posting a 5.29 ERA with the Mets in 2013. He’s come back and pitched effectively in the minors (1.38 ERA) thanks to a .229 BABIP but he’s struggled to miss bats (17.1 percent K Rate) and is throwing just 85 mph. Marcum was always homer prone thanks to a lofty fly ball rate (42.3 percent career) and at 85 mph, I imagine that trend will continue. With an unfavorable umpire behind home plate, Marcum will have trouble living on the edges of the zone. With Ortiz far cheaper, Abreu is going to go under owned in tournaments and he has immense upside tonight.

Value Play:

David Ortiz (BOS) – Ortiz is simply too cheap around the industry for his skill set. We took advantage last night and will do so again this evening. The Rangers are sending Phil Klein to the mound who has very limited big league experience. In the minors, Klein has always shown great strikeout rates (11.1 K/9 career) but terrible BB Rates (4.8 BB/9 career) and he’s largely pitched out of the pen. In fact, across five minor league seasons he has just four starts. We don’t expect Klein to last deep into this game which then brings us to a below average and largely RH Rangers pen. They have added two lefties since the start of the season (Alex Claudio and Sam Freeman) but neither would represent a long guy should Klein’s outing get cut short. Ortiz has crushed RHP since 2012, posting a .411 wOBA and .280 ISO and has shown no signs of deterioration. Take advantage of the depressed price point to get exposure to a Top Five hitter in our model.

Additional first base notes: Ortiz is priced in a way that it makes it difficult to recommend many other first base options for cash games. Instead, I’ll just reference where players rank in our model and notes that most of these are really good tournament plays as part of stacks or mini-stacks. Joey Votto (CIN) is a Top 15 hitter with a great matchup against Jeremy Guthrie. His value is hurt by an elite bullpen behind Guthrie and a park downgrade. Ryan Howard (PHI), Eric Hosmer (KC), and Edwin Encarnacion (TOR) are all Top 20 options. I think they’re each great pieces of stacks or mini-stacks. Adam Lind (MIL) ranks outside our Top 35, but I think the questions around Greene’s health elevate him some. I’d still only consider for tournaments as part of a Brewers stack or mini-stack.

Second Base

Value Plays:

Chase Utley (PHI) – Utley ranks really high in our model (Top 15) thanks to his history against RHP (.341 wOBA, .167 ISO), the park shift, and an elite matchup against Eddie Butler (.457 wOBA, 1.64 HR/9 allowed to the 113 LHBs he’s faced at the big league level). There are some concerns with Utley. His performance is in decline and he has been hitting sixth of late, but frankly they are minor concerns when evaluating the overall context of the matchup. The Phillies have a team total approaching five and on the road in a high scoring environment, hitting sixth isn’t much different than fifth. I think he’s your top target at the thin position.

Neil Walker (PIT) – Walker cracks our Top 35 hitters overall with a favorable matchup against Mike Pelfrey who has allowed a .320 wOBA to LHBs since 2012. Walker is a better hitter from the left side (.357 wOBA, .196 ISO) and PNC Park is less devastating to left handed power (still difficult). If you’re dropping down from Utley in cash games, Walker is your best alternative.

Additional second base notes: Brian Dozier (MIN) has hit LHP exceptionally well (.374 wOBA, .228 ISO since 2012) but gets a brutal park for RH power in PNC (deflates home runs 15 percent below the league average) and is priced as a top play. He’s a viable tournament option but I’m guessing the Twins go a bit over-owned after last night’s performance. Dustin Pedroia (BOS) is the other alternative to Neil Walker if dropping off Utley. He’s part of a loaded Red Sox offense with a team total approaching five. Klein projects well against RHBs but we don’t expect he’ll last long and Pedroia’s pull heavy approach has always played better in Fenway. Jedd Gyorko (SD) has a cheap price point and tournament worthy power against a fly ball oriented lefty. Gyorko has posted a .350 wOBA and .200 ISO against LHP since 2012. I’d imagine he’ll come with ownership under one percent in most tournaments.

Shortstop

Top Play:

Troy Tulowitzki (COL) – Once again, there isn’t much to add beyond the recommendation we made yesterday with Tulowitzki. All of the contextual factors are similar, so I’ll lean on Mike Leone’s analysis here: Yes, Tulowitzki has been dreadful this season. I have absolutely no explanation for a .07 EYE when his career mark is .62 and last season it was .88. That certainly gives me some pause. The good news is the batted ball data (both in terms of LD/GB/FB distribution and hard hit percentage) is in line with last season. Ultimately, with his price dropping so much recently and a home matchup against a one of the worst pitchers on the slate, he should be in your cash game lineups. At a very scarce position (both in terms of upside but per dollar value as well) I’m willing to take on the performance risk. It’s not especially difficult to fit in Tulowitzki on either FanDuel or DraftKings. Tulowitzki ranks inside our Top Five hitters overall.

Additional shortstop notes: Freddy Galvis (PHI) is our next highest rated SS option across the industry. He cracks the Top 55 hitters in our model in large part thanks to the attractive matchup with Eddie Butler. Galvis gets a premier lineup spot but I’d only invest on sites where there is a substantial price gap between him and Tulowitzki. Ian Desmond (WAS) is another alternative if he gets a good lineup spot. Adam Warren struggles to miss bats and Desmond has above average skills against RHP. He ranks just inside our Top 100 overall hitters. The rest of the shortstop options are better off as parts of stacks or mini-stacks. Alcides Escobar (KC) gets a premier lineup spot against Jason Marquis. J.J. Hardy (BAL) has power (.168 ISO against LHP) that plays well in tournaments despite a bad lineup spot. Rafael Ynoa (COL) has shortstop eligibility on DraftKings and is priced as a pure punt. If he’s in the lineup, he’s a viable alternative to spending on Tulowitzki. Hanley Ramirez (BOS) also carries SS eligibility on DraftKings. He ranks well below Tulowitzki in our model (Top 25) but is an acceptable alternative.

Third Base

Top Play:

Nolan Arenado (COL) – Once again we’re picking on Severino Gonzalez, a bad Phillies bullpen, and the elite offensive environment that is Coors Field. Arenado has not dominated RHP early in his career (.318 wOBA, .167 ISO) but he’s shown meaningful growth this year (.367 wOBA, .290 ISO) which we had expected. He gets a premier lineup spot and pricing around the industry makes it rather easy to get exposure to him. He ranks within our Top 20 overall hitters in our model.

Value Plays:

Maikel Franco (PHI) – Franco rates about 15 spots below Arenado in our model. On sites with a wide pricing gap between the two players (like FanDuel), I think it’s easy to opt for Franco at a discounted price tag. Franco has lived up to the prospect hype early on at the major league level. He’s hitting for a high average with good power and he’s not walking while making a lot of contact. In some ways, his offensive approach is similar to Arenado and the high contact rates get exaggerated particularly well in Coors Field. Eddie Butler isn’t the ideal matchup for Franco but it’s hard to classify such a poor pitcher as anything but a good matchup. Butler really struggles with command (10.7 BB Rate vs. RHBs) and limits power from the right side with a great GB Rate (56.5 percent). Franco probably won’t take advantage of the command issues through walks but hopefully he’s afforded plus opportunities thanks to the fifth spot in the batting order.

Mike Moustakas (KC) – Moustakas ranks way below Franco but he’s the only alternative I’d consider in cash games if pricing on the Coors Field options is difficult. Moustakas gets an elite matchup against Jason Marquis who has allowed a .378 wOBA and 1.81 HR/9 to LHBs since 2012. Moustakas is in the midst of a breakout campaign at age 26. He’s cut down his strikeouts and is using all fields. It’s allowed him to become a high average hitter while also developing more power as he hits his prime years. He gets an elite lineup spot in a good Royals offense and the matchup with Marquis is exceptional. He ranks as a Top 75 hitter in our model.

Additional third base notes: Once again the Coors Field options rank so much higher in our model that it forces everyone else down. Manny Machado (BAL) gets the platoon advantage in a plus hitting environment. The problem, for cash games, is he’s priced similarly to Arenado on most sites. I think he’s a great tournament play. Like Moustakas, he ranks in our Top 75 hitters. Josh Donaldson (TOR) is a part of the big RH power in Toronto that we think makes for an interesting tournament mini-stack. His price is too elevated to consider in cash games against RHP. Pablo Sandoval (BOS) left last night’s game early. If his absence forces Brock Holt (BOS) into a premier lineup spot (ideally leadoff), I could see some cash game value given the depressed price point.

Outfield

Top Plays:

I think it’s easier to tackle this section in a notes format today. There are a handful of top plays with expensive price tags and with a lack of elite starting pitching, you can even afford one or two in your lineups tonight. Bryce Harper (WAS) and Mike Trout (LAA) are at the top of the list. Trout ranks ahead of Harper in our model because of a better hitting environment and a longer history of elite hitting. Where they are priced the same, I woudn’t argue taking Harper who has the platoon advantage and whose skill growth might not be fully captured in our model right now. They are an echelon above the rest of the top outfielders. Nelson Cruz (SEA) gets a LHP in Baltimore that is very fly ball prone which gives him a great home run score in our model. Unfortunately on many sites, he’s priced like Harper and Trout. He’s a better tournament play than cash game option. Giancarlo Stanton (MIA) and Jose Bautista (TOR) also rank similarly because of their power dominance against same handed pitching. Like Cruz, I think they’re better in tournaments.

Value Plays:

Carlos Gonzalez (COL) – Gonzalez belongs in the paragraph above but is priced wildly differently. Gonzalez gets a premier lineup spot (third or fourth) in the best hitting environment in all of baseball, against arguably the worst starting pitcher taking the bump on Wednesday. The Rockies have a team total approaching 5.5 and Gonzalez has historically hit RHP very well (.387 wOBA, .254 ISO). He ranks as a Top 10 hitter in our model and he’s not priced like this on most sites. He’s the outfielder that I will have the most exposure to on Wednesday night. Charlie Blackmon (COL) is priced similarly to Gonzalez on many sites but ranks a bit below in our model. He’s inside the Top 20 which makes him a fine play, but we’d recommend a price sensitive approach.

Steve Pearce (BAL)/Adam Jones (BAL) – Our model is in love with Steve Pearce on Wednesday. He’s posted a .379 wOBA and .237 ISO against LHP since 2012 and he’ll face Roenis Elias who has allowed a .330 wOBA and 1.05 HR/9 to RHBs. Pearce is cheap around the industry and he cracks our Top 20 hitters overall. The key with Pearce will be the lineup spot. Ideally we’d like to see second or fifth. If we get one of those spots, he’ll represent one of our top overall values. Adam Jones is a more stable option. We know he’ll hit third or fourth and he’s posted a .367 wOBA and .207 ISO against LHP since 2012. With a discounted price point, Jones is a solid value play as well.

Ben Revere (PHI) – Everyone knows Coors Field accentuates power but most think of that in terms of the long ball. It also has huge gaps which inflates power for speed guys that rely on hitting it into the gaps. Coors Field also has shown some park effects that boost contact rate. These are all important components to Revere’s value which is why he ranks inside our Top 20 hitters overall. With a leadoff spot in Coors Field, five plate appearances is a near lock and six is very possible. The sheer volume of opportunities he gets in this favorable hitting environment catapults him towards the top of our rankings.

Additional outfield notes: Alex Gordon (KC) gets a great matchup with Jason Marquis, but a poor lineup spot (typically sixth) makes him a better tournament option than cash game play. Gregory Polanco (PIT) is a fine secondary value play with a plus matchup against Mike Pelfrey. He also benefits from the Twins struggles at controlling the running game. Gordon ranks inside our Top 25 while Polanco ranks inside our Top 40. Grady Sizemore (PHI) has been hitting third lately but getting pinch hit for as soon as a LHP gets in the game. The Rockies have four lefties in their pen so even with a reduced price point there is some risk there. The quality of the plate appearances mitigates some of the risk but I’d use him more as a last resort than a primary target when building cash lineups. Kole Calhoun (LAA) gets a plus park environment and a good matchup with Drew Hutchison. The primary concern is a lack of lineup support as the Angels have been horrid against RHP. I’m more likely to use him in tournaments. Justin Upton (SD) and Matt Kemp (SD) are nice tournament plays when paired as a mini-stack or used solo. Both have great power upside against LHP and are facing a fly ball specialist. Kemp is especially cheap on FanDuel. Melky Cabrera (CHW) and Adam Eaton (CHW) are also tournament worthy as a part of a White Sox stack or mini-stack. Carlos Gomez (MIL) and Ryan Braun (MIL) are also a tournament pair to consider.

Starting Pitcher

Rankings (price not considered):

Tier 1

1) Tyson Ross (SD)

Tier 2

2) Jake Odorizzi (TB)

3) Carlos Martinez (STL)

4) Jordan Zimmermann (WAS)

Tier 3

5) Brett Anderson (LAD)

6) Chase Anderson (ARZ)

7) Tsuyoshi Wada (CHC)

8) David Phelps (MIA)

Tier 4

9) Drew Hutchison (TOR)

10) Wei-Yin Chen (BAL)

11) Tim Lincecum (SF)

Top Play:

Tyson Ross (SD) – Ross ranks as the top SP in our model thanks to a prolific projected strikeout rate. Ross has struck out 26.3 percent of batters faced and he matches up with a Cubs offense that has struck out a league high 25.8 percent of their plate appearances against RHP. The Cubs are a dangerous offense. They lead the league in pitches per plate appearance (4.01) and have power throughout the lineup. Ross does a great job of limiting power with an elite GB Rate (63.1 percent) but he has walked 12.7 percent of batters this season. This brings some blowup risk to the table that we’d prefer to avoid with our top overall SP, but the options are relatively slim on Wednesday. When you project strikeouts across Wednesday’s slate, Ross projects for two more than all the other starters. He’s also pitching in the second best environment on the slate and is one of the larger favorites (-140) in a game that is tied for the lowest total (opened at 6.5, currently at seven). If Ross can avoid control issues, his ability to punch out batters will bring back memories of a dominant Tyson.

Value Play:

Carlos Martinez (STL) – The Mets rank 28th in wRC+ against RHP with a league average 19.7 strikeout rate against RHP. Martinez, in many ways, is like a poor man’s Tyson Ross. He gets ground balls (50.9 percent) and strikeouts (24.7 percent K Rate) but struggles with command (11.5 percent BB Rate). The big issue for Martinez has been LHBs. He’s allowed a .363 wOBA to LHBs as a big leaguer while striking out just 13.5 percent and walking 12.2 percent. The good news for Martinez is the Mets don’t have many LHBs (typically three). The bad news is, they all happen to be the Mets best bats (Granderson, Duda, and Murphy). Like Ross, there is some risk in this matchup given the quality of those LHBs, but the dominance against the other six RHBs (.290 wOBA, 28.9 K Rate) should give him a chance to work around the lefties. Martinez also has the benefit of an elite umpire for pitchers. The umpire behind home plate tonight projects as our third friendliest umpire for pitchers in major league baseball. Given command is Martinez’s biggest weakness, I find this particularly relevant for his skill set.

Additional starting pitcher notes: Jordan Zimmermann (WAS) and Jake Odorizzi (TB) are fairly priced options that bring some security to the position. Neither has great upside in their individual matchups. The Yankees are a softer opponent without Jacoby Ellsbury and the DH, but they are very left handed and Zimmermann’s struggled to generate strikeouts with reduced velocity. Odorizzi gets the Braves who are a below average offensive unit but are Royals-ish in their contact rates (15.8 percent K Rate against RHP). I think both pitchers are likely to limit opponent scoring, but the Fantasy points might lag behind in lower strikeout environments. Brett Anderson (LAD) rates well in our model, but I’m skeptical. He’s averaged just 5.1 innings pitched per start this season and the Giants make a ton of contact. The environment is great (elite pitching park, great umpire, and favored in a low total game), but the ceiling isn’t very high if you don’t pitch deep into games or generate strikeouts. He looks like a bit of a cash game trap to me. Chase Anderson (ARZ) and David Phelps (MIA) are in a good park with a low total against lineups that are heavily right handed. Anderson has flashed a decent strikeout rate in the past and gets a big park shift in his favor. The challenge with Anderson is his stuff (curve ball centric) is a bit prone to reverse splits and the strikeout rates are down early this season. Phelps has similar strikeout rates but a low 4.9 percent swinging strike rate doesn’t support them. In addition, the ARZ-MIA game has a below average umpire for starters. Carlos Rodon (CHW) and Drew Hutchison (TOR) are two tournament options I’m considering across the industry. Both have the strikeout potential many of the secondary options lack and they’re facing below average offenses, albeit in elite hitting environments. I prefer Hutchison over Rodon as the rookie in Chicago has some weather concerns and a below average umpire to deal with.

Macro Thinking, Stacks, and Tournament Notes:

This is a new section we’ve created to try and offer more dedicated macro thinking to our analysis and hopefully add more value to those playing tournaments. The format is a bit of a work in progress and we welcome feedback (help@dailyroto.com) if you have suggestions.

Top Tournament Stacks/Cash Game Mini Stacks:

1) Colorado Rockies

2) Philadelphia Phillies

3) Boston Red Sox

Contrarian/Secondary Stacks:

1) Toronto Blue Jays

2) Baltimore Orioles

3) Kansas City Royals

4) Milwaukee Brewers

5) Chicago White Sox

6) San Diego Padres

This is an interesting day as it seems like a relatively straight forward “Coors Field” day. The game in Colorado has a total that is nearly two runs ahead of all the other games and it has arguably the two weakest starters going. However, the rest of the slate is filled with below average starters in good hitting environments. I think the Coors stacks are going to be over-owned in tournaments with a lack of elite SP forcing you to worry about price, which makes a lot more of the secondary stacks compelling for large field tournaments.

The Blue Jays face a fly ball oriented pitcher with neutral splits in a park that severely inflates home runs (10 percent above league average to RHBs). Jered Weaver has pitched well in his last two outings but the velocity dip remained last time out. The Blue Jays have a lot of expensive right handed power that can win tournaments when they come with deflated ownership levels. I think tonight is one of those nights where the ownership is unnecessarily low.

Baltimore’s lineup is discounted and faces a weak LHP. You can get a discounted price tag on Adam Jones and Steve Pearce who are their best hitters against LHP while also getting exposure to a thin position with power by utilizing J.J. Hardy in a stack or mini-stack. I also love using players like Chris Davis as a part of these stacks because left-vs.-left matchups deflate ownership significantly and if the game gets into the bullpen early he’s facing below average RHP.

Kansas City is a tremendous stack tonight. Jason Marquis is arguably the weakest pitcher on the slate and he’s vulnerable to all types. The Reds bullpen behind him has the highest ERA in baseball and their only two LH relievers (Cingrani and Chapman) are generally saved for higher leverage situations. The park environment is bad for power and the price points are elevated everywhere. I’m guessing you can get them at below a five percent ownership rate this evening just because of all the other elite hitting environments.

Milwaukee is an interesting stack. Recency bias may inflate their ownership which is my primary concern but Shane Greene was questionable to make this start after leaving last start early with elbow issues. The Tigers pen is among the worst in baseball and a few of their most likely long men candidates are left handed (Blaine Hardy and Tom Gorzelanny). The Brewers have a lot of RH power that has historically hit LHP very well so if Greene’s not right and it gets into the pen early, the matchup improves dramatically.

The White Sox are in a great hitting environment against a starter that last pitched in 2013 and posted a 5.29 ERA in the National League. Throw in a tough umpire for pitching and favorable price points on most of the White Sox bats and they’re a fun stack.

I like stacking the Padres at home against LHP. The core of their order is very good against LHP (Norris, Upton, and Kemp) and they have some cheap power threats towards the bottom as well (Gyorko and Middlebrooks). I’m less likely to fully stack them, but I think a mini-stack of the core pieces is a nice way to differentiate teams by pairing them with a mini-stack from a chalkier option (perhaps Coors). The Cubs bullpen has really struggled and Joe Maddon has a tendency to use some of his LH relievers against RHBs late in games. The low scoring environment will force their ownership way down and Wada has allowed a .348 wOBA and 1.14 HR/9 to RHBs as a big leaguer.

MLB Game Weather Forecasts

In the scales below, a 10 strongly favors the batter, a 1 strongly favors the pitcher and a 5 has no impact on the game.

TEX at BOS 7:00: Dry. Temps in the low to mid 60s falling into the mid-50s. Air density is a 5. Wind northwest 10-20 mph lessening to 5-10 mph which blows in from left and at times left to right. The wind is a 4.

SEA at BLT 7:05: Dry. Temps in the mid-60s falling to near 60. Air density is a 5. Wind northwest 5-10 mph becoming calm which blows from left to right. The wind is a 5.

NYY at WSH 7:05: Dry. Temps near 70 falling into the mid-60s. Air density is a 6. Wind northwest 5-10 mph becoming calm which blows from left to right. The wind is a 5.

MIN at PIT 7:05: Dry. Temps near 60 falling into the low to mid 50s. Air density is a 5 becoming a 4. Wind north-northwest 5-10 mph becoming light and variable. The wind blows out to right early in the game. The wind is a 6 becoming a 5.

LAA at TOR 7:07: Retractable roof. Dry but chilly. Because of the temperatures, I will assume the roof will be closed (upper 50s falling into the upper 40s during game time).

MIL at DET 7:08: Dry. Temps in the upper 50s falling into the low to mid 50s. Air density is a 5 becoming a 4. Wind light and variable. The wind is a 5.

TB at ATL 7:10: Dry. Temps in the low 80s falling into the mid-70s. Air density is a 7. Wind west-northwest 5-10 mph which blows out to right. The wind is a 6.

STL at NYM 7:10: Drry. Temps in the low 60s falling into the mid to upper 50s. Air density is a 6 becoming a 5. Wind northwest 5-10 mph lessening to nearly calm. The wind blows from left to right early in the game. The wind is a 5.

AZ at MIA 7:10: Retractable roof. Dry. Temps in the low to mid 80s. Air density is an 8. Wind south-southeast 6-12 mph lessening to 5-10 mph which blows in from right. The wind is a 4.

CLE at CHW 8:10: Looks like a steady rain may miss the city just to the south. Expect some showers around but this is the game to watch for weather trouble. As of right now, a 10-20% of cancellation and a ~20% chance of a delay. Temps in the upper 40s falling into the mid-40s. Air density is a 4 becoming a 3. Wind northwest 5-10 mph which blows out to center. The wind is a 6.

CIN at KC 8:10: Dry. Temps in the low 50s falling into the mid to upper 40s. Air density is a 4 becoming a 3. Wind north-northeast 8-16 mph lessening to 5-10 mph which blows in from left. The wind is a 3 becoming a 4.

PHL at COL 8:40: A 20-30% chance of a shower or thunderstorm during the game. Not a steady rain so not overly concerned right now. A 20% chance of a delay, <10% chance of a cancellation. Very chilly with temps in the low to mid 40s. Air density is a 10. Wind east-southeast 7-14 mph which blows from right to left. The wind is a 5.

CHC at SD 10:10: Dry. Temps in the low to mid 60s. Air density is a 6. Wind west 8-16 mph lessening to 5-10 mph which blows from left to right. The wind is a 5.

LA at SF 10:15: Dry. Temps in the low 60s falling into the mid-50s. Air density is a 6 becoming a 5. Wind west-southwest at 12-25 mph lessening to 10-20 mph which blows out to center. The wind is a 7 or 8.

MLB Daily Analysis

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