Daily Fantasy Rundown – May 21st MLB DFS Picks and Analysis
Welcome to Thursday’s edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “leonem”, “dinkpiece” and “thenumbersguy”. Each day throughout the MLB season our daily MLB scouting reports will highlight the best top, value and cheap plays of the day based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games. The goal of our analysis is to help you improve consistency and become a better player long-term.
Weather: No concerns tonight. Please see Meteorologist Mark Paquette’s game by game weather forecasts below the Analysis.
If any weather situations shift drastically, we will keep you updated with lineup alerts so make sure to check your email inbox up until roster lock.
Additional catcher notes: On sites where Carlos Santana (CLE) has catcher eligibility he’s your top option at the catcher position and by a wide margin (he’s ranked among our top four hitters this evening and the next catcher option is ranked outside the top 50). Santana and the Indians will experience a favorable park shift (U.S. Cellular Field is a great hitting environment, especially when the wind is blowing out) and a matchup against John Danks (has allowed a .351 wOBA and 1.51 HR/9 to RHBs since 2012) bodes well for his value. Santana is a switch hitter so he will have the platoon edge throughout this game. The low cost starting pitching options gives you a ton of flexibility this evening so plugging in Santana at the catcher position isn’t difficult. Stephen Vogt (OAK) and Russell Martin (TOR) are the next in line options to Santana this evening. Vogt has a favorable matchup against Alex Colome (has allowed a.324 wOBA and 28 percent LD rate to LHBs in a small sample) and he gets the benefit of a nice lineup spot (fifth). Vogt has “cooled off” due to an unsustainable HR/FB rate but he’s still a very good hitter (1.00 EYE, .429 wOBA and .298 ISO in 138 PAs this season). Martin has pretty even splits against LHP and RHP and he’s displayed some nice power this season (.258 ISO). He benefits from a favorable lineup spot (cleanup) in an elite hitting environment (Rogers Centre). The Blue Jays will settle with a team total around 4.5 runs so it makes sense to have exposure to this offense at a scarce position. Our model prefers Martin (ranked among our top 50 hitters) over Vogt (ranked outside the top 90) so where they’re priced similarly (FanDuel), Martin is the better value.