Daily Fantasy Rundown – May 25th MLB DFS Picks and Analysis
Welcome to Monday’s edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “leonem”, “dinkpiece” and “thenumbersguy”. Each day throughout the MLB season our daily MLB scouting reports will highlight the best top, value and cheap plays of the day based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games. The goal of our analysis is to help you improve consistency and become a better player long-term.
Weather: Small to moderate concern in Cincinnati. Minor concerns in Minnesota, Chicago, Cleveland, Pittsburgh. Air density and wind is favorable for hitters at Wrigley; a GREAT hitting environment.
Please see Meteorologist Mark Paquette’s game by game weather forecasts below the Analysis.
If any weather situations shift drastically, we will keep you updated with lineup alerts so make sure to check your email inbox up until roster lock.
Content Schedule Note: We’ve covered all of the games within the content today. Within the additional notes section at each position we’ve tried to tackle some of the differences between the early slates and the late slates and how to deal with them in terms of lineup construction.
Russell Martin (TOR) – Martin ranks as the top catcher and as a Top 30 hitter overall in our model. He’ll face Hector Noesi who has allowed a .363 wOBA and 1.42 HR/9 to RHBs since 2012 and Martin gets to face him in an elite hitting environment in the Rogers Centre. Martin has been hitting third or fourth of late, depending on Jose Bautista‘s health. We’d prefer Bautista were healthy as that adds an important on base machine in front of Martin in the lineup. The price point on most sites is fair for Martin. He really stands out in the evening slate as the premier option due to a lack of depth at the position, but he’s also a fine choice on all day slates.
Wilson Ramos (WAS)/Miguel Montero (CHC) – I’m writing this recommendation late Sunday night or early Monday morning depending on your preference and at this time we don’t have a total for the Cubs-Nationals game. The forecast, however, is calling for 20+ mph winds blowing straight out to center field with temperatures in the 70s. This is typically the kind of environment that generates outlandish totals in Wrigley Field. Both hitters have the platoon advantage in this one and they’re each facing opposing starters that have struggled some against the platoon. Tsuyoshi Wada has allowed a .348 wOBA and 1.20 HR/9 against the 253 RHBs he’s faced at the big league level while Tanner Roark has allowed a .306 wOBA (thanks to a .265 BABIP) while surrendering a 23 percent LD Rate and generating just a 13 percent K Rate and 37.6 percent GB Rate against LHBs. Montero owns a .339 wOBA and .138 ISO against RHP since 2012 but he has shown GB tendencies (44.8 percent) which isn’t what we’re looking for with elevated winds. Ramos has had similar issues. He has posted a .344 wOBA, .122 ISO against LHP but generated a high 59.5 percent GB Rate. Wada is more fly ball oriented than Roark so my lean is with Ramos over Montero where priced similarly. Montero typically garners a better lineup spot but fifth at home isn’t substantially different from sixth on the road and Vegas isn’t giving either team a substantial advantage in implied runs.