Daily Fantasy Rundown – May 26th MLB DFS Picks and Analysis
Welcome to Tuesday’s edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “leonem”, “dinkpiece” and “thenumbersguy”. Each day throughout the MLB season our daily MLB scouting reports will highlight the best top, value and cheap plays of the day based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games. The goal of our analysis is to help you improve consistency and become a better player long-term.
Weather: Concerns in Chicago, Baltimore, New York, Pittsburgh, Cleveland, Cincinnati and in Minneapolis but none look bad enough to cause a cancellation.
Please see Meteorologist Mark Paquette’s game by game weather forecasts below the Analysis.
If any weather situations shift drastically, we will keep you updated with lineup alerts so make sure to check your email inbox up until roster lock.
Russell Martin (TOR) – You want to target all of your Blue Jays RHBs today. They are loaded with strong RHBs and face a terrible LHP in John Danks in the Rogers Centre. Danks has allowed a .352 wOBA and 1.55 HR/9 to RHBs since 2012. Aside from the horrendous splits, Danks is a subpar overall pitcher. His current high ERA of 5.11 is in line with his FIP (5.28) and xFIP (4.97). Danks has been a pitcher we’ve targeted the last several years, and if anything the upside is only improving for opposing batters as Danks career 42 percent GB rate has dropped to just 33.1 in 2015. Martin is a very solid hitter versus LHP (.346 wOBA, .170 ISO since 2012) and has been hitting in a top four lineup spot for the Jays.
Evan Gattis (HOU) – The other catcher with a good lineup spot and in a high upside matchup is Evan Gattis. The powerful Gattis (.234 career ISO, 52 HRs in 950 PAs) is in a good hitter’s park in Camden Yards (11th most favorable for RH HRs) and facing the HR prone Chris Tillman. Tillman has always been susceptible to same handed batters, allowing 1.43 HR/9 to them since 2012. However, he’s taken a big step backwards overall this season. His walk rate has skyrocketed thanks to decreases in both F-Strike and SwStr rates, leaving him with expected ERAs over 5. I’ll probably split Martin and Gattis in my cash games based on pricing.