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5/29 MLB DFS: All aboard the Shin Soo Choo Train

5/29 MLB DFS: All aboard the Shin Soo Choo Train
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MLB DFS Daily Fantasy Rundown – May 29th, 2015

Welcome to Friday’s edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “leonem”, “dinkpiece” and “thenumbersguy”. Each day throughout the MLB season our daily MLB scouting reports will highlight the best top, value and cheap plays of the day based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games. The goal of our analysis is to help you improve consistency and become a better player long-term.

Glossary: See a term you’re unfamiliar with? Check out our glossary page. If there’s something you’d like to see added there, please email us at help@dailyroto.com.

Weather: A few issues to keep an eye on in CIN, MIN and then flooding issues around TEX could impact decisions on games in HOU and TEX. Please see Meteorologist Mark Paquette’s game by game weather forecasts below the Analysis.

If any weather situations shift drastically, we will keep you updated with lineup alerts so make sure to check your email inbox up until roster lock.

Catcher

Top Plays:

Buster Posey (SF)/Evan Gattis (HOU) – These are the top two ranked catcher options in our model, but they’re vastly different options. Gattis has the upside. He’s in a good park for RH power and facing a wild LHP with a below average bullpen behind him. Posey is the better all-around offensive option and the better bet for some production, but Gattis carries the better HR score and thus the upside. Both are expensive and are better used as a part of tournament lineups.

Value Plays:

Kurt Suzuki (MIN) – Suzuki is my primary target at the catcher position. He comes with a near minimum price point on most sites and generally hits fifth against LHP for the Twins. The Twins are an above average offense against LHP with the bulk of their success coming in the first four spots in the lineup. Mark Buehrle’s average fastball velocity is down to 83.1 mph so far this season and he’s generating just a 4.8 percent swinging strike rate. Righties have posted a .329 wOBA and 0.94 HR/9 against Buehrle since 2012. During that span Suzuki has compiled a .313 wOBA against LHP. He’s not a great hitter but behind Dozier, Hunter, Mauer, and Plouffe; he should get plenty of premier plate appearances.

Wilin Rosario (COL) – Rosario faces a really good LHP in Cole Hamels but his power (.311 ISO against LHP since 2012) and price point make him a value play on sites with catcher eligibility. In total, Rosario has compiled a .431 wOBA against LHP since 2012. Hamels has limited RHBs to just a .294 wOBA and 0.93 HR/9. The matchup is far from great, but the catcher position is thin on Friday and Rosario gives you big power upside at a modest price point.

Additional catcher notes: Catcher is a great position to prioritize salary relief on Friday. We’ll have some more available punt plays when lineups come out but Brayan Pena (CIN) could serve as an option if he hits fifth. Stephen Strasburg has seen a significant drop in his swinging strike rate this season and has been hit hard. Pena, like Suzuki, isn’t a great offensive player but the lineup spot and good park make him an option. Anthony DeScalafani has dominated RHBs early in his career but Wilson Ramos (WAS) is part of a good Nats lineup getting a nice park shift. He’s another viable option though I’d prefer the salary relief of the other options.

First Base

Top Plays:

Prince Fielder (TEX) – Fielder’s price tag has risen quickly as he’s hit .382/.430/.691 in May. He doesn’t rank as the highest 1B in our model but in my opinion he has the best matchup. Steven Wright has allowed a .325 wOBA and 0.84 HR/9 to LHBs as a big leaguer but ZiPS projection system is far less optimistic (projected .355 wOBA, .157 ISO allowed). Fielder has crushed RHP in his career (.391 wOBA, .202 ISO since 2012) and hits in one of the more favorable scoring environments in play this evening. If you’re spending up at first base, he’d represent my top choice.

Miguel Cabrera (DET) – After Fielder, Cabrera would represent my next top option to spend on. Hector Santiago has allowed a .327 wOBA and 1.38 HR/9 to RHBs since 2012. Cabrera is an elite hitter against all pitching but the Tigers lineup has a number of players that hit LHP better than RHP surrounding Cabrera (Davis, Kinsler, Cespedes, and Martinez). This improves the value of Cabrera’s plate appearances as he’s more likely to find runners on base and more likely to be driven in. In addition, Santiago’s extreme fly ball tendencies (50.2 percent FB Rate to RHBs) increases Cabrera’s home run probability. The overall scoring environment keeps Fielder ahead of Cabrera, but Miguel is a fine secondary top option.

Value Plays:

David Ortiz (BOS) – Ortiz ranks as our top first basemen in our model and a Top Five hitter overall. The challenge with Ortiz is he may not play tonight as the Red Sox have indicated they’re giving him a few days to work on his swing. Ortiz has been slumping, but it’s only brought his price way down around the industry. Even amidst his “struggles”, Ortiz has posted a .376 wOBA, 1.17 EYE, and .219 ISO against RHP this season. He remains an elite hitter against RHP so as the price point declines this only creates additional upside on your investment. Yovani Gallardo is a decent pitcher but vulnerable to LHBs and the park environment is a nice positive shift for Ortiz. He’s not priced as a Top Five hitter anywhere around the industry so if he cracks the lineup, he’s one of the better value plays around the entire industry.

Chris Davis (BAL) – Davis is a volatile performer as he’s so home run dependent but he’s got another favorable matchup on Friday night. Nate Karns has allowed a .321 wOBA and 1.23 HR/9 to LHBs since 2012 and Davis owns a .377 wOBA and .280 ISO against RHP. The price point is reasonable around the industry and Davis ranks within our Top 15 overall hitters.

Joey Votto (CIN)/Jose Abreu (CHW) – I view these two as similar options. Both are priced reasonably and get strong hitting environments but face differing starting pitcher options. Votto gets a SP who projects well but has been struggling significantly of late, while Abreu gets a pitcher who projection systems hate but has been pitching well in his small sample. Given the projection differences between Strasburg and McCullers, Abreu ranks higher in our model, but I view them as near equivalents and will let pricing dictate my decision.

Additional first base notes: Adam LaRoche (CHW) is a cheaper way to get exposure to the projection systems hate for Lance McCullers and it comes with the platoon advantage. In his brief experience at the major league level, McCullers has been more vulnerable to LHBs (11.1 percent BB Rate, generating just a 7.7 percent soft contact rate). Adam Lind (MIL) is another cheaper option that gets a great park environment against a SP with wide platoon splits. Even in Rubby de la Rosa’s breakout season, he’s allowed a .381 wOBA and 1.78 HR/9 to LHBs. The Diamondbacks have some lefty specialists late and de la Rosa’s dominance over RHBs could weaken the individual opportunities, but the matchup is a good one for Lind’s power. Lind and LaRoche are fine secondary value plays that I’m more open to deploying if Ortiz is out of the lineup and I need salary relief. Chris Carter (HOU) is a great tournament option. Rodon has generally limited power well in his minor league career but Houston is a good place for RH power and Carter gets a better lineup spot against lefties.

Second Base

Top Plays:

Jose Altuve (HOU) – Altuve owns a .387 wOBA and .138 ISO against LHP since 2012 and the Astros have one of the higher team totals on the board. Carlos Rodon is scary to pick on because he’s got very good stuff and is a highly rated prospect but he’s also walked 21.1 percent of the RHBs he’s faced in the big leagues while generating a puny 36.4 percent GB Rate. Overall, he’s allowed a .348 wOBA to RHBs. Altuve cracks the Top 20 hitters in our model.

Brian Dozier (MIN) – Dozier ranks a bit below Altuve in our model, but I view them similarly. One of the challenges in today’s slate is it’s filled with young starters who have great stuff but their performance early on has deviated significantly from their projections. In Dozier’s case, we don’t have to worry about this. He’s facing Mark Buehrle who has allowed a .329 wOBA to RHBs since 2012. Dozier has compiled a .370 wOBA and .230 ISO against LHP since 2012 and he’s surrounded by good hitters against LHP behind him in the lineup.

Additional second base notes: Take the savings from the catcher position and invest it at second base this evening. After Altuve and Dozier, I believe there is a rather steep fall off at the position. Chase Utley (PHI) is the next best industry wide value play. He gets the platoon advantage against Chad Bettis who has allowed a .365 wOBA to LHBs as a big leaguer. The challenge with attacking Bettis with Phillies LHBs is the Rockies have a predominantly LH pen. If you’re getting 4-5 plate appearances, you’re probably getting only 2-3 of them against a RHP. On DraftKings, Delino Deshields Jr. (TEX) holds 2B eligibility and is a very strong play. He’s a leadoff hitter in an offense we’re targeting and against a RH knuckle-baller has additional speed upside. Ian Kinsler (DET) is a touch expensive, but has a good matchup with fly ball prone Hector Santiago. He’s a fine part of a Tigers stack or mini-stack in tournaments. Dustin Pedroia (BOS) and Jimmy Paredes (BAL) are also second base eligible players with great lineup spots in high projected offenses. They’re priced a bit too closely to the top options so I believe they’re better as secondary values or tournament plays.

Shortstop

Top Play:

Troy Tulowitzki (COL) – Tulowitzki ranks as the top play in our model but I’m unlikely to spend for him on Friday. He’s facing an above average LHP in Cole Hamels and outside of Coors Field. He’s a tournament only option for me.

Value Plays:

Jose Reyes (TOR) – Reyes’ price point is still slightly depressed since coming back from the injury. He’s leading off in a good lineup with a healthy team total (over four). Yes, the Jays get a park downgrade but Reyes doesn’t rely much on power and the matchup is great for the running game. Kurt Suzuki and the Twins have been among the worst in the league at limiting opposing base runners. Trevor May has allowed a .373 wOBA to LHBs since 2012, fueled in large part by a 23.2 percent LD Rate and .384 BABIP. May has made some improvements this season but he’s still allowing a .357 wOBA and 25.7 percent LD rate to lefties. Most of his improvements have come against the righties. Reyes ranks inside our Top 40 hitters overall.

Marcus Semien (OAK) – Semien gets a nice lineup spot (second) and with Ben Zobrist back the Athletics offense has additional depth in the middle, giving Semien greater run scoring potential. Semien has hit LHP well in his career (.329 wOBA, .141 ISO) and he faces Chris Capuano who has allowed a .329 wOBA and 1.10 HR/9 to RHBs since 2012. Semien comes with a bit of salary relief from Reyes and ranks inside our Top 80 hitters.

Additional shortstop notes: Ian Desmond (WAS) is like Wilson Ramos in many respects. Although DeSclafani has dominated RHBs early in his career Desmond is getting a nice park shift, a great lineup spot, and the Reds bullpen behind DeSclafani is really weak. He’s a secondary value play at his current price points and strong tournament option. Yunel Escobar (WAS) is a cheaper, and weaker, entry point to the Nationals offense with a strong lineup spot.  Freddy Galvis (PHI) is another secondary shortstop option. He hasn’t historically been a very good hitter but a premier lineup spot and a matchup with Chad Bettis .365 wOBA allowed to LHBs earns him consideration. For his career, he owns just a .274 wOBA against RHP. On DraftKings, Hanley Ramirez (BOS) has SS eligibility, and he’s a piece I’d consider paying up for given the lack of depth at the position. The position as a whole is thin so we’ll be on the lookout for additional punt opportunities in our lineup alerts.

Third Base

Top Play:

Adrian Beltre (TEX) – Beltre has always hit RHP and LHP well but his value is better against RHP because the Rangers lineup as a whole projects better against RHP. Shin Soo Choo, Prince Fielder, and Mitch Moreland all hit RHP well and surround Beltre in the lineup, giving his plate appearances a bit more value. It’s hard to predict a knuckle-baller but Steven Wright profiles as someone we can pick on. ZiPS projection calls for a 5.24 ERA rest of season and Vegas has the Rangers with an implied team run total is pushing 4.5. Beltre is a Top 15 hitter in our model.

Value Plays:

Pablo Sandoval (BOS) – Sandoval ranks a bit behind Beltre in our rankings (Top 35) but on most sites is priced accordingly as well. He’s always hit better against RHP (.353 wOBA, .165 ISO since 2012) and most of that work has been done in an inferior hitting environment in San Francisco. Sandoval also has gotten a boost of late, hitting third in the lineup, which hasn’t been accounted for in his price point on most sites. I’m placing an emphasis on paying up for Beltre on most sites, but Sandoval isn’t a bad pivot if you need some excess salary relief.

Trevor Plouffe (MIN) – Even further down from Sandoval in our model is Trevor Plouffe (Top 55). Plouffe has posted a .368 wOBA and .214 ISO against LHP since 2012. Mark Buehrle has generally done well to limit power, even from RHBs, in his career but with his fastball velocity diminishing he’s allowed 1.49 HR/9 this season. In some ways, I think the Twins RHBs are actually getting undervalued in our model because Buehrle’s decline may be more accelerated than we’re giving him credit for. Where cheaper than Sandoval, I think Plouffe is another alternative to spending on Beltre.

Additional third base notes: On sites with dual eligibility, Chris Davis (BAL) and Miguel Cabrera (DET) are also fine targets at third base and I’d generally keep my exposure to those options or the recommendations above. If branching out, I think Todd Frazier (CIN) as part of a Reds stack and Evan Longoria (TB) as a solo shot at power against Miguel Gonzalez, make sense in tournaments.

Outfield

Top Play:

Bryce Harper (WAS) – Harper is the top overall hitter on Friday’s slate. He’s getting a big shift in park and he’s facing a RHP that has struggled mightily with LHBs in his career. Anthony DeSclafani has allowed a .374 wOBA and 1.27 HR/9 to LHBs as a big leaguer. Harper’s high price tag makes it difficult to fit him on most sites, so he’s a better tournament option than cash game play.

Next in line: Mike Trout (LAA), George Springer (HOU), Jose Bautista (TOR), Carlos Gomez (MIL), and Ryan Braun (MIL) all rank within our Top 15 overall outfielders. Springer and Gomez are the two with the most viable price point around the industry, but in general these are all best utilized in tournaments.

Value Plays:

Shin Soo Choo (TEX) – Choo is one of the better value plays industry wide in the outfield. He ranks inside our Top 10 hitters overall thanks to a .392 wOBA and .199 ISO against RHP since 2012. The Rangers have one of the higher team totals of the evening and Steven Wright projects poorly against LHBs. On most sites Choo isn’t priced as a Top 10 hitter overall and rarely is priced inside the Top 25. He’s a nice value play and someone I’m targeting around the industry.

Tigers Outfielders (DET) – Rajai Davis (.375 wOBA, .176 ISO), Yoenis Cespedes (.337 wOBA, .216 ISO), and J.D. Martinez (.338 wOBA, .186 ISO) all hit LHP well and face Hector Santiago who has allowed a .327 wOBA and 1.38 HR/9 to RHBs since 2012. They’re getting a slight park downgrade, but the power upside against Santiago’s fly ball prone ways (50.2 percent allowed vs. RHBs) makes them strong values around the industry. Davis is my favorite because he combines speed and power and generally hits leadoff assuring him the most plate appearances against the LH starter. Cespedes and Martinez are fine options where I’d let price point and lineup spot (fourth is preferred) dictate my decision between them.

Delino DeShields Jr. (TEX) – DeShields isn’t quite the hitter that Choo is, so you want a discounted price tag when investing. He is an elite base stealer which helps overcome a rather pedestrian ZiPs projection against RHP (.314 wOBA, .098 ISO). Wright hasn’t been particularly prone to stolen base attempts in his brief experience at the major league level but we’d expect a knuckle-baller to be vulnerable. DeShields cracks our Top 50 hitters overall and is another way to get exposure to the Rangers offense.

Additional outfield notes: The rest of the outfield values are somewhat site specific. FanDuel has a number of underpriced stars in the outfield including Hanley Ramirez (BOS) and Adam Jones (BAL) who represent solid values on price discount alone. On DraftKings, Joc Pederson (LAD) remains underpriced and Joey Butler (TB) is priced near the minimum. Butler is a core value play for those paying up for pitching as he’ll likely hit second against a starting pitcher vulnerable to power in an elite hitting environment. Josh Hamilton (TEX) is another way to get cheap exposure to a premier lineup spot in the Rangers lineup. His ZiPS projections (.336 wOBA, .191 ISO overall) are pretty solid even if his projection comes with a lot of volatility. The projection systems are low on Lance McCullers which makes Adam Eaton (CHW) and Melky Cabrera (CHW) acceptable value plays in the outfield. I’m considering them more as secondary targets since I’m a bit higher on McCullers than the projection systems. If Gerardo Parra (MIL) hits second for the Brewers, he’s a fine value play given Rubby de la Rosa’s struggles with LHBs and Parra’s cheap price tag. Jay Bruce (CIN) has a favorable price tag and should hit fourth against Strasburg, he’s a great tournament play and a viable secondary value. Torii Hunter (MIN) is another Twin that hits LHP well but is priced up around the industry. I think he’s a fine option as part of a Twins mini-stack.

Starting Pitcher

Rankings (price not considered):

Tier One

1) Matt Harvey (NYM)

Tier Two

2) James Shields (SD)

3) Francisco Liriano (PIT)

4) Sonny Gray (OAK)

Tier Three

5) Cole Hamels (PHI)

Tier Four

6) Trevor Bauer (CLE)

Tier Five

7) Rubby de la Rosa (ARZ)

8) Stephen Strasburg (WAS)

9) Anibal Sanchez (DET)

10) Lance McCullers (HOU)

11) Jimmy Nelson (MIL)

12) Carlos Rodon (CHW)

Top Play:

Matt Harvey (NYM) – While Harvey is admittedly the chalk play tonight, there’s no reason to fade him in cash games where he should anchor your teams. He’s the best pitcher in action tonight and aside from a few less ground balls, all of his peripherals are in line with his pre-TJS numbers. His 95.7 mph fastball velocity and 12.1 SwStr rate support a superb 25.9 K percentage and an elite 73.7 F-Strike rate has allowed him to limit walks and demonstrate great control (4.3 BB percentage). Not surprisingly, Harvey’s skill set lands him as the top favorite on the day (-175) in a game with a very low total (6.5). The matchup only adds to Harvey’s stock tonight and gives him plenty of upside in tournaments as well, despite a high cost and perhaps high ownership. Harvey is at home in Citi Field (a top 10 pitcher’s park) facing a Marlins team that ranks 27th in wRC+ against RHP with the 12th highest K percentage.

Next in line:

James Shields (SD)/Francisco Liriano (PIT) – These two rank almost identically in our model and Vegas seems to agree. The game has the lowest total on the slate (six) and the game is essentially listed as a pick-em (Padres -115, Pirates -105). The Pirates rank 13th in wRC+ against RHP and strike out at a league average clip (19.7 percent) while the Padres rank 14th in wRC+ against LHP with a slightly higher K Rate (21 percent). Liriano projects for a stronger K Rate but Shields comes with a bit less blow-up risk and will have the platoon advantage over more hitters. If priced similarly, I’d opt for the safety of Shields over Liriano, but I think either is a strong selection as a secondary SP on multiple SP sites.

Tournament Plays:

Rubby de la Rosa (ARZ) – Rubby de la Rosa is the option of this bunch I’m most likely to consider in cash games on multiple SP sites. He’s been exceptional this year (23 percent K Rate, 5.9 percent BB Rate, 47 percent GB Rate, and 3.30 xFIP) and most of his improvements have come from utterly dominating RHBs (29.8 percent K Rate, 4.0 percent BB Rate, 59 percent GB Rate, and .222 wOBA). The Brewers rank 29th in wRC+ against RHP with an above average 22.7 percent K Rate. Most importantly, their lineup is filled with RHBs (generally only 2-3 LHBs). Vegas has the Brewers favored in a game with a total of eight (opened at 8.5) setting an implied run total above four. The run expectation makes him a more questionable cash game option, but the price point is favorable around the industry. He’s my favorite tournament option of the mid-priced starters and a viable secondary option for those who embrace volatility and want to load up on bats.

Lance McCullers (HOU) – McCullers first two starts at the major league level have been very impressive. He’s held Oakland and Detroit (both Top Five offenses against RHP in wRC+) to just three earned runs in 10 2/3 innings. The projection systems are shy on McCullers as he has just 39 2/3 innings above A ball and his BB Rates throughout the minor leagues have been alarming (12.8 percent in high A last season). The White Sox are among the least patient offenses in the league (6.4 percent BB Rate against RHP) and they rank 21st overall in wRC+ against RHP. McCullers shaky history with command makes him a risk I’d only take in tournaments, but this matchup sets up well for his skills.

Carlos Rodon (CHW) – The Astros strike out a ton (23.1 percent against LHP) and Carlos Rodon projects as a strikeout machine (30.2 percent in AAA this year, ZiPS projection system has him for a 24-25 percent K Rate). While the Astros strike out a bunch, they project as an above average offense against LHP because of their right handed power. Rodon has also struggled immensely with his control at the big league level (18.1 percent BB Rate) which has limited his ability to pitch deep into games. If the command is there, he can pile up strikeouts against the free swinging Astros, but the risk is very high.

Additional starting pitcher notes: The starting pitching options are limited on Friday. Outside of the first two tiers, there is risk everywhere. There is also meaningful upside as a lot of these starters have high strikeout potential but are pitching in difficult environments. Anibal Sanchez (DET) is perhaps the one exception. He pitches in a favorable environment and against an Angels’ offense that ranks 26th in wRC+ against RHP. Unfortunately, Sanchez has really struggled limiting hard hit contact. His 28.7 percent hard hit rate allowed is well above his career average (27.3 percent) and it has resulted in a higher HR/FB Rate as well (15.1 percent, career average of eight percent). The good news for Sanchez is the strikeouts are still there and the park he’s pitching in helps reduce home runs. If he can limit the long ball, he has nice upside but the price point forces him more into tournament consideration than cash games as he’s too close to the Shields/Liriano combo. Cole Hamels (PHI) and Sonny Gray (OAK) are additional options for multiple SP sites but are generally priced above the Liriano/Shields duo, making them secondary options. Trevor Bauer (CLE) is a slightly safer version of de la Rosa due to environment, but once again is priced so differently that it’s harder to justify him as a preferred option.

Macro Thinking, Stacks, and Tournament Notes:

This is a new section we’ve created to try and offer more dedicated macro thinking to our analysis and hopefully add more value to those playing tournaments. The format is a bit of a work in progress and we welcome feedback (help@dailyroto.com) if you have suggestions.

Top Tournament Stacks/Cash Game Mini Stacks:

1) Texas Rangers

2) Detroit Tigers

3) Minnesota Twins

4) Houston Astros

5) Boston Red Sox (bump to #2 if Ortiz in lineup)

The Rangers are our featured cash game mini-stack and among the top tournament stacks. Knuckle-ballers are difficult to predict but Wright projects poorly and is backed up by a weak pen when the Red Sox play from behind (Uehara, Tazawa typically pitch from ahead). Thus, if the Rangers get to Wright early there is some potential for amplification with a weak bullpen.

The Tigers might come off as contrarian based on the total and the difficult ballpark but any time you get them against a below average LHP, I think they’re a strong stack. The lineup is filled with RHBs and particularly RHBs that hit LHP well. The Angels bullpen is fairly RH but their best option as a long man (Cesar Ramos) is left handed. If Santiago gets knocked around early it’s possible you get more LH exposure before the game gets into the deeper innings and the righties come into play.

The Twins are a great mini-stack against Mark Buehrle. I really like the Dozier, Hunter, Plouffe, and Suzuki as a mini-stack in tournaments and think you can go deeper with Escobar given his minimum price and shortstop eligibility. Buehrle’s a good example of the velocity loss type of starter we like to target in tournaments.

The Astros are always a great stack option against LHP and especially one with command issues like Rodon. The one knock on the bullpen is the two LHPs for the White Sox have been used recently, but the rest of the bullpen is below average anyway. They’re one of my favorite tournament stacks.

The Red Sox lose a bit of luster with Ortiz likely to sit. It takes out their best hitter against RHP and severely impacts the depth. If he’s in, I like them in tournaments and a mini-stack is viable in cash games, but if he’s out; I’m less likely to deploy.

Contrarian/Secondary Stacks:

1) Cincinnati Reds

2) Washington Nationals

3) Chicago White Sox

The Reds are one of my favorite stacks against Stephen Strasburg. Strasburg isn’t dealing with any velocity loss but he’s generating a career low swinging strikes and has to deal with a tough park adjustment.

The Nationals get a big park shift in their favor and as a road team get the benefit of nine guaranteed innings of at bats. DeSclafani has been dominant against RHBs which makes their righty heavy lineup vulnerable in cash games, but if they can get past DeScalafani the bullpen is really bad. The Nationals RHBs generally hit RHP pretty well so I think there is some big upside here.

The White Sox offense is annoying to stack (LaRoche/Abreu choice) and I think McCullers has been pretty good early on, but projection systems absolutely hate him. Given his issue has always been command and he hasn’t pitched deep into games, a blow-up start is within the realm of possibilities.

MLB Game Weather Forecasts

In the scales below, a 10 strongly favors the batter, a 1 strongly favors the pitcher and a 5 has no impact on the game.

KC at CHC 4:05: Not many sites playing this game. A few showers or thunderstorms around. Not a worry for a cancellation but a 20-30% chance of a delay at any time. Temps in the upper 70s to the lower 80s. Air density is an 8. Wind southeast 10-20 mph which blows out to left. The wind is a 7 or 8.

TB at BLT 7:05: Dry. Temps near 80 falling into the low to mid 70s. Air density is an 8 becoming a 7. Wind southeast 7-14 mph lessening to 5-10 mph which blows from right to left. The wind is a 5.

COL at PHL 7:05: Dry. Temps near 80 falling into the low to mid 70s. Air density is an 8 becoming a 7. Wind south-southeast 8-16 mph which blows out to left. The wind is a 7.

WSH at CIN 7:10: Random showers and thunderstorms around. No worries about a cancellation about there could be a delay (20% chance of that). Temps near 80 falling into the low 70s. Air density is an 8 becoming a 7. Wind south 6-12 mph which blows in from right. The wind is a 4.

MIA at NYM 7:10: Dry. Temps in the mid-70s falling into the upper 60s. Air density is a 7. Wind southeast 5-10 mph which blows from right to left. The wind is a 5.

BOS at TEX 8:05: They had major flooding overnight so there could be issues with public safety. In addition, there could be a few random showers and thunderstorms during the game. If there is no cancellation due to previous flooding and public safety issues they should play with only a 20% chance of a delay. Temps near 80 falling into the low 70s. Air density is an 8. Wind south-southeast 8-16 mph which blows in from right. The wind is a 3.

AZ at MIL 8:10: Retractable roof. Some rain around, especially late in the game. I would have to assume the roof will be closed. If it is open, temps in the low to mid 70s falling into the upper 60s. Air density is a 7. Wind south-southeast 8-16 mph lessening to 5-10 mph which blows in from center. The wind is a 3 becoming a 4.

TOR at MIN 8:10: Rain around all day but there should be some drying this evening. This is a game with a high risk of a delay to start the game (about 60%) and if the rain lasts longer than expected, a cancellation is certainly a possibility (30-40%), especially since it is going to be raining all day. Temps in the low to mid 60s falling into the mid-50s. Air density is a 6. Wind north-northwest 10-20 mph which blows from left to right. The wind is a 5.

CHW at HOU 8:10: Retractable roof. Showers and thunderstorms around. The roof will likely be closed. Will have to watch this game as there will be heavy showers and thunderstorms around today that may cause major flooding and if there is public safety issues, they may have to cancel.

LAD at STL 8:15: Showers and thunderstorms around. A small chance of a cancellation (10-20%) but there is a bigger chance of a delay (40-60%) or multiple delays (20%). Temps

DET at LAA 10:05: Dry. Temps near 70 falling into the mid-60s. Air density is a 6. Wind southwest 8-16 mph lessening to 5-10 mph which blows out to center. The wind is a 7 becoming a 6.

NYY at OAK 10:05: Dry. Temps in the low to mid 60s falling into the upper 50s. Air density is a 6. Wind west-northwest 8-16 mph which blows out to right. The wind is a 7.

CLE at SEA 10:10: Retractable roof. Dry. Temps in the upper 70s falling into the low to mid 70s so the roof will likely be open. Air density is a 7. Wind west-northwest 5-10 mph which blows out to right. The wind is a 6.

PIT at SD 10:10: Dry. Temps in the upper 60s falling into the mid-60s. Air density is a 6. Wind west-southwest 5-10 mph which blows out to right or from left to right at times. The wind is a 6.

ATL at SF 10:15: Dry. Temps in the mid-60s falling in the low 60s. Air density is a 6. Wind west 10-20 mph which blows out to center. The wind is a 7 or 8.

MLB Daily Analysis

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