May 2nd MLB DFS Picks
UPDATE: Hector Noesi (RHP) will start for the White Sox. John Danks was originally scheduled to pitch (LHP).
Good morning folks! Hope you are all ready for a full slate of baseball today. As is customary with Saturday’s, we’ll be dealing with a split slate. There are seven games getting the first pitch in before 7:00 Eastern and eight games in the standard night slate. Because there are more games in the night slate, that is where my focus will be, but I’ll be touching on the early slate as well.
Catcher is an incredibly depleted position right now and it’s becoming difficult to recommend anyone on a given day. That’s why I’ll focus my attention on Buster Posey tonight. Posey traditionally smashes left-handed pitching, sporting a career .244 ISO and .408 wOBA against them. He plays in a less than ideal park, but I’d lean on him in cash games for the night slate. All bets are off in the early slate, but where Carlos Santana is catcher eligible, he’ll make for a solid play against the young right-hander Aaron Sanchez.
First base, unlike catcher is a really deep position. Every day it seems we’re deciding between 4-5 great options. Today is no different. If you’re looking for studs in the early games, look no further than David Ortiz, Jose Abreu or Anthony Rizzo. Big Papi is elite against right-handed pitching and the game in Fenway is carrying a total of 9.5. The game in Wrigley doesn’t appear to be garnering as much overall appeal, but Anthony Rizzo is reaching base at an absurd rate. His power hasn’t kicked in yet this season, but he’s always a threat against a mediocre right-hander, Mike Fiers. Then there is Jose Abreu, who can hit anyone, but gets a nice matchup with Ricky Nolasco.
In the night slate, Miguel Cabrera, Paul Goldschmidt and Adrian Gonzalez are all solid options, but they’ll all be playing in parks that will shrink their bats just a tad.
Second base is another pretty yucky position on a daily basis. Each day is seemingly a battle between Jose Altuve and Robinson Cano for the top spot. Both will make for decent plays in a great ballpark tonight.
If you want to get some exposure to runs in the early slate, Dustin Pedroia is a decent option, even without the platoon advantage against Nathan Eovaldi. The best second base play in the early slate though is reserved for Brian Dozier. Dozier hits southpaws really well (.222 ISO and .369 wOBA in his career) and gets a matchup with John Danks.
I should mention Troy Tulowitzki‘s name for obvious reasons. He’s the top option every time he has a game and lucky for us, he has a game tonight. It’s tough to pay up for him, but there is a huge gap between his abilities and everyone else at shortstop on a given day. Marcus Semien provides a nice salary relief and premier lineup spot against the MLB ERA leader (not for long), Nick Martinez. Semien gets a huge park boost and is a preferred option in the night slate.
In the early slate, look towards Starlin Castro or Jhonny Peralta at the position. If not leaning towards either of these guys, you can just use a pure punt option to spend up at other areas.
A-Rod is looking to surpass Willy Mays today, and he’ll get a great chance to do it against Wade Miley. The Yankees-Sox game has the highest total of the slate so you’ll want to get exposure to it if you’re playing all-day or early only slates. Pablo Sandoval will also be a solid option, although I’m hoping he moves up from the sixth spot that he hit in last night.
Todd Frazier is a dreamy option where he’s third base eligible in the night slate. Otherwise I’m looking towards Adrian Beltre who has hit southpaws really well during his long career. Beltre finally got a couple knocks last night and might be kicking it into gear as we get the second month of the season started.
Just about all the players that will possess the platoon advantage in the Red Sox or Yankees outfield are in play. That leaves you with plenty of options in the early slate that you can pair with anyone in the White Sox and Twins game, the other game with a high total today.
On the night slate, I’ll be picking on Drew Pomeranz and Nick Martinez as well as Scott Baker and Jeremy Hellickson. Each game carries a total of 8 or above and look to be some of the best scoring opportunities of the late slate. The game in Texas is the better run-producing environment, but there aren’t many great options from the two teams. Instead, in Los Angeles, Joc Pederson will make for a great play against Hellickson should he lead off again. The Diamondbacks lefties, Ender Inciarte and David Peralta, will both be great value options against Scott Baker. Baker gives up a lot of flyballs and although the ball doesn’t carry that well in Dodger Stadium, the left-handers there all have plenty of pop.
Luckily today, each slate provides a couple different pitching options so that we don’t have to stretch our lineup creation too thin. In the early slate, take advantage of Jake Arrieta against the lowly Milwaukee Brewers. Arrieta possesses great strikeout upside and is safe for both cash games and GPPs against a Brewers offense that has literally no scary bats.
Corey Kluber is also going in the early slate. He’ll face a tough right-hand heavy Toronto Blue Jays lineup but he possesses a lot of strikeout potential and should hamper the Blue Jays right-handed bats much like Carlos Carrasco did last night, hopefully with less earned runs allowed.
On the night slate, I’ll be focusing on David Price and Chris Archer. Price will be throwing in Kauffman Stadium against a tough Royals lineup that doesn’t strike out much, but he’s still a solid option tonight. Archer is becoming an elite arm right in front of our eyes and he’ll face an Orioles lineup that moves away from Camden Yards (even though they’re the home team). Both of these guys have great strikeout upside and are options in both cash games and GPPs.