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5/31 MLB DFS: Success measured in Altuves on Sunday

5/31 MLB DFS: Success measured in Altuves on Sunday
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Daily Fantasy Rundown – May 31st MLB DFS Picks and Analysis

Welcome to Sunday’s edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “leonem”, “dinkpiece” and “thenumbersguy”. Each day throughout the MLB season our daily MLB scouting reports will highlight the best top, value and cheap plays of the day based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games. The goal of our analysis is to help you improve consistency and become a better player long-term.

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Weather: Biggest problems today will be the games in the Northeast and mid-Atlantic, ie. In BLT, NYC and PHL. A strong cold front is heading into the area and will cause plentiful amounts of showers and thunderstorms. Any game is at risk of seeing delay(s) but because of the rain not being steady, they should try and play all 3 games.

Please see Meteorologist Mark Paquette’s game by game weather forecasts below the Analysis.

If any weather situations shift drastically, we will keep you updated with lineup alerts so make sure to check your email inbox up until roster lock.


Top Play:

Evan Gattis (HOU) – You want exposure to the Houston offense today as they carry a team total around five against the awful John Danks. Danks has always been fun to pick on (ERAs last four seasons of 5.70/4.75/4.74) and that has been even more the case this year as his GB rate has fallen from his career mark of 42 percent to just 31.6 percent. Opposing RHBs already had plenty of upside against Danks, who has allowed a .352 wOBA and 1.55 HR/9 to RHBs since 2012. The best way to get exposure to the Houston offense is to lock in the top options at the scarce positions (Altuve, Gattis). Gattis is by far the top catcher in our model and a top 30 overall option with a top 10 homerun score. The powerful Gattis has a career .244 ISO against southpaws.

Additional catcher notes: I’m forcing Gattis into all of my cash games but the trio of alternative options in cash are Stephen Vogt (OAK) (platoon edge against Adam Warren who isn’t missing bats; displaying elite peripherals), Russell Martin (TOR) (consistently an option due to a prime lineup spot in a great lineup) and Derek Norris (SD) (low runs coring environment buts hits southpaws very well and Jeff Locke is pedestrian). For tournaments, you could look the way of Wilson Ramos (WAS) (facing a bad pitcher in a great hitter’s park) or Jason Castro (HOU) (will be extremely low owned due to L/L and Gattis being available at catcher but whole Houston offense has big upside).

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