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5/4 MLB DFS: Joc Jams will pump up your Monday

5/4 MLB DFS: Joc Jams will pump up your Monday
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MLB DFS Daily Fantasy Rundown – May 4th, 2015

Welcome to Monday’s edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “leonem”, “dinkpiece” and “thenumbersguy”. Each day throughout the MLB season our daily MLB scouting reports will highlight the best top, value and cheap plays of the day based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games. The goal of our analysis is to help you improve consistency and become a better player long-term.

Glossary: See a term you’re unfamiliar with? Check out our glossary page. If there’s something you’d like to see added there, please email us at help@dailyroto.com.

Weather: The one game we’re paying close attention to is ARZ-COL. Initial forecasts call for significant precipitation in the area. Please see Meteorologist Mark Paquette’s game by game weather forecasts below the Analysis.

If any weather situations shift drastically, we will keep you updated with lineup alerts so make sure to check your email inbox up until roster lock.

Catcher

Top Play:

Evan Gattis (HOU) – Gattis’ price is ascending quickly after launching four homers in the last three games. He draws another favorable matchup on Monday against Ross Detwilers who has allowed a .355 wOBA and 1.10 HR/9 to RHBs since 2012. Gattis has struggled early in the season against LHP (.179/.179/.393) but since 2012 he owns a .278/.307/.526 line against lefties which Is good for a .354 wOBA and .247 ISO. The top of our model is filled with Coors Field players on Monday, but Gattis ranks as our top catcher and a Top 30 overall hitter.

Next in line:

Russell Martin (TOR) – Martin ranks closely to Gattis in our model, but I view the gap as a bit more substantial. Martin will face Chase Whitley who has allowed a .332 wOBA and 0.91 HR/9 to RHBs since 2012. Martin has hit RHP well since 2012 (.332 wOBA, .160 ISO) and generally has played in far worse environments while accumulating those statistics than the Rogers Centre in Toronto. Martin also ranks within our Top 30 overall hitters. When choosing between the two, I prefer Gattis. He has the platoon advantage, a better lineup spot, and I believe is facing the weaker starter (and bullpen) of the two.

Value Plays:

Brian McCann (NYY) – McCann ranks a bit below some other catching options in our initial model but I believe he’ll adjust ahead of them once lineup spots come out. McCann is typically blessed with the fourth or fifth spot in the lineup and he’s facing R.A. Dickey who has allowed a .318 wOBA and 1.18 HR/9 to LHBs since 2012. McCann’s power against RHP (.186 ISO since 2012) is a nice fit for the matchup with Dickey and the Rogers Centre is a great overall hitting environment. On sites McCann is priced down substantially from the top catching options, he represents an adequate value play.

Additional catcher notes: Lineup spots will dictate some other potential values at the position. Yasmani Grandal (LAD), Jordan Pacheco/Tuffy Gosewich (ARZ), Nick Hundley (COL), and Yadier Molina (STL) are all viable catcher selections. If any of those emerged with a solid lineup spot, they’d leap ahead of McCann as a value play. A.J. Pierzynski (ATL) is a fine fallback option at catcher. He’s consistently earning strong lineup spots and has posted a .336 wOBA and .185 ISO against RHP since 2012. Aaron Harang is vulnerable to LHBs (.333 wOBA, 0.97 HR/9 allowed since 2012) which makes Pierzynski a viable play.

First Base

Top Play:

Paul Goldschmidt (ARZ) – Goldschmidt is the top hitter in our model and it’s by a wide margin. He’s historically crushed LHP (.444 wOBA, .291 ISO since 2012) and he receives a rare positive ballpark shift playing in Coors Field. Tyler Matzek has struggled with RHBs (.368 wOBA allowed as a big leaguer) and the Diamondbacks lineup is loaded with them. Goldschmidt is exceptionally pricey around the industry and the options at first base are rather deep. He looks like a better tournament play due to opportunity cost.

Value Plays:

David Ortiz (BOS) – Ortiz ranks inside our Top 10 hitters overall and looks like the most consistently underpriced first basemen in our model. His $3,200 price tag on FanDuel is especially enticing. Ortiz has crushed RHP since 2012 (.412 wOBA, .281 ISO). He draws a tough matchup against Jake Odorizzi who has allowed a .299 wOBA and 0.89 HR/9 to LHBs since 2012. Even though Odorizzi is a solid starter, the Red Sox have a 4.5 team total which is in line with the other elite offenses on the slate. Pricing will dictate selections here, so pay close attention to the pricing on your individual site. On FanDuel, Ortiz stands out as a clear top value play, but on other sites the gap is less significant.

Justin Morneau (COL) – Morneau cracks our Top 15 hitters overall as he faces a contact oriented starter in Coors Field. Josh Collmenter has done a great job limiting hard contact. He ranks 170th out of 187 qualified pitchers (20 minimum at bats) in exit velocity on batted balls this season. Historically, he’s been below average against LHBs; allowing a .322 wOBA and 23.1 percent LD Rate but allowing just 0.74 HR/9. Morneau is a more of a line drive hitter who has benefited from Coors Field’s large gaps. This year he’s posted a .455 wOBA at home against RHP despite one home run in 30 plate appearances and last year he posted a .416 wOBA at home against RHP with only nine home runs in 209 plate appearances. Morneau typically hits fourth against RHP and is surrounded by elite hitters. On sites his price tag is discounted below Ortiz, he’s a strong value play.

Additional first base notes: Adrian Gonzalez (LAD) ranks a bit below Justin Morneau in our model (Top 30 hitters) but I view him as a comparable play. On sites like DraftKings where Gonzalez’s price is down a bit, I think he’s a fine value play as well. Milwaukee inflates home runs for LHBs approximately 11 percent above the league average and Kyle Lohse has allowed 1.17 HR/9 to LHBs since 2012. The Dodgers have posted an absurd 140 wRC+ against RHP this season (next highest is 119 by the Royals) so the lineup support for Gonzalez should be quite strong. Freddie Freeman (ATL), Mike Napoli (BOS), and Justin Smoak (TOR) are other first baseman that rank inside our Top 35 overall hitters. Edwin Encarnacion (TOR) ranks inside our Top 10 hitters but falls in pricing limbo on most sites. He’s typically priced well above Ortiz or Morneau on every site, so he ends up as a secondary value play.

Second Base

Top Play:

Jose Altuve (HOU) – Altuve ranks just outside our Top 10 overall hitters and ranks clearly as the top overall second base option. He’s pricey, and justifiably so. Altuve has compiled a .391 wOBA and .140 ISO against LHP since 2012 and opposing starter, Ross Detwiler, has allowed a .355 wOBA and 1.10 HR/9 to RHBs in the same span. Atop a strong lineup against LHP, Altuve represents a very strong overall play at a thin position. If you can afford to spend at second base, Altuve is an elite play.

Value Play:

Aaron Hill (ARZ) – Hill has hit LHP well the last few years. When given the opportunity, Hill has posted a .341 wOBA and .184 ISO against lefties. His playing time is very inconsistent, so you’ll need confirmation that he’s in the lineup to deploy him. If in the lineup, he’s a Top 30 hitter in our model and not priced accordingly around the industry.

Additional second base notes: Howie Kendrick (LAD) gets a premier lineup spot in an elite offense. He’s not a special hitter but comes at a fair price point. He makes most sense as part of a Dodgers stack or mini-stack. The second base position is funky on eligibility on different sites. Alex Guerrero (LAD) has the chance to emerge as an elite value play if he a) is in the lineup and b) gets a premier lineup spot. Chris Owings (ARZ) holds second base eligibility on DraftKings (without shortstop). He’s a fine option over there if he garners a solid lineup spot, even though he’s priced appropriately. Robinson Cano (SEA) is a fun tournament play or secondary value option. Matt Shoemaker is giving up a lot of hard contact to LHBs (32.4 percent LD Rate, 48.6 percent FB Rate) and Cano’s price is reasonable around the industry. The low scoring environment takes a backseat to all the elite offenses so he’ll go under-owned. Devon Travis (TOR) is another strong tournament play with a premier spot in the Jays lineup. We’re skeptical the early season production holds, but it’s hard to argue with his current batted ball profile (lots of fly balls, great exit velocity).

Shortstop

Top Play:

Troy Tulowitzki (COL) – In Coors Field, Tulowitzki is clearly the top option at his position. He ranks inside our Top Five hitters overall, but he’s priced appropriately. In general, it will be difficult to fit Tulowitzki into your lineups which makes him a better tournament option.

Value Plays:

Chris Owings (ARZ) – Owings hasn’t hit at all against LHP in his career (.262 wOBA, .123 ISO) but projection systems are optimistic he’ll grow into a better hitter. ZiPS projection system calls for a .320 wOBA and .134 ISO against LHP which helps push Owings into our Top 25 overall hitters on Monday’s slate. The lineup spot will ultimately dictate if he holds that value (we’re hoping for second), but Owings represents a fine value play on most sites that aren’t pricing for Coors Field.

Jimmy Rollins (LAD) – Rollins is cheap for a hitter with a premier lineup spot (second) in one of the best offenses in baseball against RHP. Rollins hasn’t hit much against RHP (.288 wOBA) this season but he has hit for power (.156 ISO) and his Fantasy production is boosted significantly by the supporting cast (surrounded by Pederson and Gonzalez). On DraftKings, at $3,500, Rollins is clearly the best value at the position.

Additional shortstop notes: Jhonny Peralta (STL) is another secondary value play. He’s hit LHP very well (.355 wOBA, .186 ISO) in recent years and gets a premier lineup spot against fly ball prone Travis Wood. Pricing leaves him as a secondary value play on most sites. Marwin Gonzalez (HOU) hit second yesterday and if he earns that lineup spot again, he’ll earn punt play consideration. He’s not a very good hitter but a premier lineup spot in a good offense would earn him consideration.

Third Base

Top Plays:

Josh Donaldson (TOR)/Nolan Arenado (COL) – Josh Donaldson actually ranks higher in our model than Arenado, but if weather holds up, I’d personally choose Arenado over Donaldson. I think some of the inputs for our Arenado projection are light on his growth against RHP and I give Arenado the edge on team total and park environment. They’re both elite hitters against LHP and just adequate against RHP but the park environments and supporting lineups push them into our Top 30 overall hitters.

Value Plays:

Yasmany Tomas (ARZ) – ZiPS projection system has Tomas for a .330 wOBA against LHP this season and he’s generally hit sixth when in the lineup. Tyler Matzek is vulnerable to RHBs (.368 wOBA since 2012) and the Diamondbacks lineup as a whole is filled with RHBs. Using ZiPS projection for Tomas, he cracks our Top 20 hitters overall in this matchup.

Alex Rodriguez (NYY) – A-Rod’s performance has leveled off in last week or so, but the power production remains. He gets a big boost in the Rogers Centre which inflates RHB production by eight percent compared to Yankees Stadium which inflates RHBs by just one percent above the league average. On DraftKings, he’s priced at just $3,800 which makes him a compelling option. Most other sites the price point is fair as opposed to discounted but third base isn’t an easy position for value on Monday. He’s a Top 50 hitter in our model and generally priced as such.

Additional third base notes: Adrian Beltre (TEX) grades out as a decent value in our model, but I’d aim for other alternatives than picking on Dallas Keuchel given how well he limits power. Kyle Seager (SEA) is an alternative given the amount of aerial contact Matt Shoemakers is allowing. Chase Headley (NYY) rates well in our model but a likely poor lineup spot will push him back down. I think he’s better used in tournaments. Luis Valbuena (HOU), if hitting second, is a fun tournament play as part of an Astros stack or mini-stack.

Outfield

Top Plays:

Jose Bautista (TOR) – Bautista ranks inside our Top Five overall hitters. He’s posted a .383 wOBA and .249 ISO against RHP since 2012. He’s priced appropriately around the industry and I find myself opting for slightly less expensive top plays in the outfield, but he ranks among the elite and deserves a spot in this section.

A.J. Pollock/Mark Trumbo (ARZ) – Pollock and Trumbo rank inside our Top 10 hitters overall and represent my primary targets in the outfield. Trumbo’s price point has largely corrected with his recent performance, but Pollock is underpriced and actually rates higher in our model. Pollock has posted a .355 wOBA and .209 ISO against LHP as a big leaguer while Trumbo has posted a .368 wOBA and .274 ISO against LHP. Pollock typically garners a better lineup spot and the speed component to his Fantasy value pushes him ahead of Trumbo in our model.

Corey Dickerson/Charlie Blackmon (COL) – Dickerson is forever a favorite of ours against RHP in Coors Field but teammate Charlie Blackmon has also done most of his damage against RHP in Coors (.392 wOBA, .178 ISO in his career). Both are priced appropriately around the industry. We prefer Dickerson as the spread has narrowed on the two price tags. Dickerson is the better overall hitter (.395 wOBA vs. .354 wOBA against RHP) and has more true power (.259 ISO vs. .164 ISO against RHP).

George Springer (HOU) – Springer has hit LHP well in his brief major league career (.348 wOBA, .212 ISO) and he gets that favorable matchup with Ross Detwiler we’ve attacked throughout the content. Springer cracks our Top 10 overall hitters and is a great option in all formats.

Value Plays:

Joc Pederson (LAD) – Pederson’s price is on the rise, but we feel it still falls short of an appropriate level for his role in the leadoff spot. Pederson leads all of MLB in average exit velocity on batted balls according to data from baseballsavant.com. He’s getting a huge boost in park factor playing in Milwaukee and he has destroyed RHP (.445 wOBA, .371 ISO) in a limited sample this season. Even regressing down his current performance, our model views Pederson as a borderline Top 20 overall hitter and he’s simply not priced that way on most sites.

Chris Carter (HOU) – Carter is hovering around the near minimum on FanDuel and he ranks inside our Top 20 hitters overall. Carter has shown dominant power against LHP (.244 ISO) and a strong overall profile (.357 wOBA, 15.5 percent BB Rate) since 2012. He’s been hitting fifth of late with Jed Lowrie on the disabled list which is a nice boost to his value. On FanDuel, he’s an absolute steal, but on most sites he’s a modest value play as well.

Nick Markakis (ATL)/Andre Ethier (LAD) – Both players represent cheaper entry points to favorable matchups with the platoon advantage. Ethier is the better hitter (.368 wOBA vs. .331 wOBA, .182 ISO vs. 127 ISO) but Markakis is often blessed with a superior lineup spot (third vs. sixth). If Ethier climbs into the fifth slot, he’d earn our recommendation but both are fine “cheap” options to sneak into the lineup to afford higher end pitching.

Additional outfield notes: In general, the Yankees bats are priced up which makes them great tournament options but harder to squeeze in cash games. Carlos Beltran (NYY) has a near minimum price point on FanDuel that is exploitable in cash games but Jacoby Ellsbury (NYY) and Brett Gardner (NYY) are priced similarly to our Top 10 options and rank outside our Top 30 and 50 respectively. Ender Inciarte (ARZ) sometimes draws the leadoff spot against LHP. Although he doesn’t hit lefties very well, I think he’s an acceptable secondary value play if the weather holds off. Matt Holliday (STL) is a great tournament play. He’s a Top 40 hitter in our model but priced a bit more aggressively. Travis Wood is homer prone to RHBs and Holliday has been historically very good against LHP.

Starting Pitcher

Rankings (price not considered):

Tier 1

1) Clayton Kershaw (LAD)

Tier 2

2) Felix Hernandez (SEA)

3) Madison Bumgarner (SF)

Tier 3

4) Alex Wood (ATL)

5) Carlos Martinez (STL)

6) Jordan Zimmermann (WAS)

7) Dallas Keuchel (HOU)

8) Tyson Ross (SD)

9) Clay Buchholz (BOS)

Tier 4

10) Matt Shoemaker (LAA)

11) Jesse Hahn (OAK)

12) Phil Hughes (MIN)

Top Play:

Clayton Kershaw (LAD) – Kershaw has held onto the substantial growth we saw in his K Rate and GB Rate while maintaining an elite BB Rate. The big difference in his early season results has been an elevated LD Rate (26.3 percent, career 19.6 percent) and HR/FB Rate (22.2 percent, career 6.8 percent). At first glance it looks like Kershaw is just yielding a ton of hard contact, but he actually ranks 177th out of 187 pitchers in exit velocity on batted balls (averaging 85.1 mph). How do we reconcile the big gap in results between the underlying data? In this case, we lean on Kershaw’s history in projecting him. The Brewers are a good offense against LHP and Milwaukee is a negative park shift, but Kershaw’s strikeout rate (32 percent) against RHBs since the beginning of last season pushes him ahead of Felix Hernandez in DFS value.

Next in line:

Felix Hernandez (SEA) – The Angels were an elite offense last year against RHP (106 wRC+, sixth in the league) but early on this season they’ve slipped to 28th in the league with a 72 wRC+. A .259 BABIP is partially responsible but the Angels lack depth in their lineup against RHP and rely too heavily on Kole Calhoun, Mike Trout, and Albert Pujols for their offensive production. Felix has been dominant early in the season, posting his usual elite peripherals and building on his always tremendous GB Rate (63.5 percent this season, 54.4 percent career). From a runs allowed perspective, he profiles similarly to Kershaw in this matchup, but the gap in strikeouts pushes him a tier below.

Value Plays:

Alex Wood (ATL) – The third tier with starting pitchers is a really interesting one on Monday. It’s a combination of highly skilled starters in plus matchups that have shown weak peripherals early in the season (Alex Wood and Jordan Zimmermann) with starters that have flashed elite peripherals early this season but historically have been inconsistent producers (Carlos Martinez, Dallas Keuchel, and Clay Buchholz). Wood has struggled to miss bats early in the season but in this excellent profile from Eno Sarris all of his “stuff” looks exactly the same. A few command issues early in the season have robbed Wood of his K Rate, but we believe it’s a correctable issue and the matchup with Philadelphia should help. The Phillies project as a below average offense against LHP with a lot of strike outs. Wood ranks as our fourth best starting pitcher option on Monday and comes at an affordable entry point around the industry.

Carlos Martinez (STL) – The Cubs offense is similar to the Astros offense in that they’re a very dangerous bunch but they’re also very strike out prone. The Cubs have struck out in 24.7 percent of their plate appearances against RHP this season (leads the league) and rank just 16th in wRC+. Martinez has been dominant early in the season against RHBs (30.4 percent K Rate, .211 wOBA) and the Cubs lineup typically features just four LHBs against RHP. Martinez should rack up strikeouts in this matchup and if he can dominate the RHBs he’ll hold overall scoring down. As a -160 favorite, in a game with a total of just seven, Martinez is one of the handful of solid value plays.

Dallas Keuchel (HOU) – The Rangers are surprisingly solid against LHP (13th in wRC+, 107) and their lineups project right in that range as well, so it’s not due to a hot start. Keuchel, however, limits much of their strength which is built on power (.176 ISO against LHP ranks sixth) with his extreme GB Rate (65.3 percent). The Rangers have the lowest implied team total by the Vegas odds today and Keuchel is the biggest favorite on the slate (-200). I think he’s one of the safer options on multiple starting pitcher sites, but ultimately the strikeouts will dictate his value. Keuchel only strikes out 16-18 percent of the batters faced. He’s managed to overcome it early in the season by pitching deep into games (over seven innings per outing) but the low strikeout rate overall leaves him with a lower floor and ceiling than some of the other value starters. On run prevention alone, he ranks near the top of this deep tier of pitching, but the expected strikeouts push him down our list of values.

Clay Buchholz (BOS) – The Rays rank 25th in wRC+ against RHP early on this season and they’ve struck out in 22.4 percent of their plate appearances against RHP. Buchholz has posted elite peripherals early in the season (28.5 percent K Rate, 6.9 percent BB Rate, and 52.1 percent GB Rate) but a .403 BABIP has really skewed the results (5.76 ERA vs. 2.75 xFIP). Buchholz ranks 52nd in average exit velocity (90.3 mph) which explains some of the elevated BABIP but certainly not to the magnitude we’ve seen early on. The K Rate for Buchholz is unlike anything we’ve ever seen from him which is reason for skepticism but early in the season it has been supported by a large jump in swinging strike rate (10.7 percent, career average of 9.1 percent) and chase rate (34.6 percent, career average of 29.5 percent). He’s getting more swings and misses and enticing hitters to swing at more pitches outside the strike zone. It’s difficult to put your faith in a huge jump in peripherals from an established starter, especially when it’s coming with weak results overall, but Buchholz is far cheaper than his in season performance suggests is appropriate. He’s best used in tournaments, but I think there is some room for those who embrace risk on multiple starting pitcher sites.

Additional starting pitcher notes: Jordan Zimmermann (WAS) has experienced some of the same challenges as Alex Wood early in the season in terms of missing bats. Unfortunately, his history of overall success has him priced above Wood on most sites when they grade out similarly in our pitching model. Unlike Wood, Zimmermann has seen some velocity deterioration and repertoire changes that make me a bit more concerned in the lower K Rate. He’s viable on multiple starter sites, but I think better used in tournaments. Tyson Ross (SD) has incredible upside in his K Rate but the Giants project as one of the most contact heavy lineups in baseball. As a result, he’s slid down our rankings considerably. The gap between Madison Bumgarner (SF) and Felix Hernandez (SEA) in our projection model isn’t as severe as the pricing gap between the two on most sites, but I’m having a harder time pulling the trigger on Bumgarner. He’s been more fastball prone early in the season (using it 51 percent of the time, compared to 43.5 percent last year) and it’s impacted his K Rate. The Padres project as a strike out prone offense but they also have a bunch of really good RHBs against LHP. I think Bumgarner is better used in tournaments as I think there is some volatility in his projection this evening.

Macro Thinking, Stacks, and Tournament Notes:

This is a new section we’ve created to try and offer more dedicated macro thinking to our analysis and hopefully add more value to those playing tournaments. The format is a bit of a work in progress and we welcome feedback (help@dailyroto.com) if you have suggestions.

Top Tournament Stacks/Cash Game Mini Stacks:

1) Arizona Diamondbacks

2) Colorado Rockies

3) Houston Astros

4) Los Angeles Dodgers

If weather conditions hold in Colorado, Coors Field always represents the best place to attack in cash games when below average starters are on the mound. This is the case on Monday and frankly I’m not sure deserves much more commentary.

Houston is the “so underrated its overrated” stack of the day. Everyone knows the Astros are a force against LHP and facing one of the worst LHPs in baseball in Ross Detwiler. They are the stack that many will reference as contrarian but isn’t likely contrarian at all. The Astros own a 113 wRC+ against LHP and they are second in the league with a .193 ISO. They also are a “big event” team for Daily Fantasy Baseball. They lead MLB in stolen bases (31) and home runs (40).

The Dodgers are the unit that I think is getting undersold a bit. The Dodgers have posted an insane 140 wRC+ against RHP early in the season. As a team they’ve hit .268/.350/.508 against RHP despite playing most of their games in a neutral hitting environment. They get a big park shift in their favor on Monday and are facing Kyle Lohse who has struggled with the long ball early this season and in his career against LHBs. In addition, the Brewers pen ranks in the bottom half of the league in xFIP, Fly Ball Rate, and home runs allowed. Throw in some favorable pricing on the bottom third of the lineup and I think the Dodgers are one of the more compelling tournament stacks with enough pockets of value for mini-stacks in cash games.

Contrarian/Secondary Stacks:

1) Toronto Blue Jays

2) New York Yankees

3) San Diego Padres

It seems like the Rogers Centre is getting a bit lost in the shuffle with Coors Field and the love for the Astros recent performance, but Toronto ranks as a Top 10 park for hitting and the game contains two average or below average starters. The Blue Jays have the better matchup and are the better offense overall so they rate higher, but the Yankees are very left handed and R.A. Dickey struggles with left handed power. The price points on both teams will leave their exposure down. They’ll take a significant back seat to Coors Field and then the Astros, so I think there is a lot of tournament value in this game.

The Padres are a long shot contrarian stack and best used on sites that adjust pricing for game environment (like DraftKings). I used this stack earlier in the season and it was exceptionally low owned. The Padres have a handful of bats that are dominant against LHP (Upton, Norris and Kemp) and are largely RH as an offense. The park shift isn’t significant for them and I’d be surprised if they were more than 1-3 percent owned for all their hitters. Given there are a few opposing stacks you’ll have to dodge here, I think it’s a better mini-stack paired with one of the elite offenses than a full stack.

The Brewers are the ultra-contrarian leverage stack option. They have enough guys that have hit LHP well in their career and it’s a great park environment. If they hit, it will likely come via power and it creates leverage against all the Kershaw usage. The Cardinals offense has some mini-stack capable options with Holliday, Peralta, and Matt Carpenter (has handled LHP pretty well).

MLB Game Weather Forecasts

In the scales below, a 10 strongly favors the batter, a 1 strongly favors the pitcher and a 5 has no impact on the game. On the scales used below, a 10 strongly favors the batter, a 1 strongly favors the pitcher and a 5 should not impact the game at all.

MIA at WSH 7:05: Dry. Temps in the upper 70s falling into the low 70s. Air density is a 7. Wind south-southwest 6-12 mph which blows out to left. The wind is a 6.

NYY at TOR 7:07: Retractable roof. There will be a scattering of showers and maybe a thunderstorm around so I will assume the roof will be closed.

TB at BOS 7:10: Dry. Temps in the mid-70s falling into the upper 60s. Air density is a 7. Wind south-southwest 10-20 mph which blows out to left. The wind is a 7 or 8.

PHL at ATL 7:10: Dry. Temps in the mid to upper 70s falling to near 70. Air density is a 7. Wind south-southeast at 5-10 mph which blows out to left-center. The wind is a 6.

LAD at MIL 7:20: Retractable roof. Some showers and t-storms around so I will assume the roof will be closed.

CHC at STL 8:00: A 10% chance of a shower or thunderstorm. Will keep an eye on this but does not seem like a huge deal. Temps in the low 80s falling into the mid-70s. Air density is an 8. Wind south 8-16 mph which blows out to left. The wind is a 7.

OAK at MIN 8:10: Dry. Temps in the upper 60s falling into the low 60s. Air density is a 6. Wind northeast 6-12 mph which blows in from left. The wind is a 4.

TEX at HOU 8:10: Retractable roof. Dry and mild so the roof will likely be open. Temps in the mid to upper 70s falling to near 70. Air density is an 8 becoming a 7. Wind southeast 7-14 mph becoming 5-10 mph which blows from right to left. The wind is a 5.

AZ at COL 8:40: This the rough game. There will be some rain and rumbles of thunder around. Will keep an eye on this game very closely. Right now, I would say it is 60/40 that they play the game. Temps in the low to mid 50s falling into the mid to upper 40s. Air density is a 7. Wind east-northeast 8-16 mph which blows in from right. The wind is a 4.

SEA at LAA 10:05: Dry. Temps in the low to mid 60s falling to near 60. Air density is a 6. Wind west-southwest at 7-14 mph which blows out to right. The wind is a 6.

SD at SF 10:15: Dry. Temps in the low 60s falling into the low to mid 50s. Air density is a 6 becoming a 5. Wind west 10-20 mph with gusts past 25 mph lessening to 8-16 mph. The wind blows out to center field. The wind is an 8 becoming a 6.

MLB Daily Analysis

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