Daily Fantasy Rundown – MLB DFS Picks | July 1
Welcome to Wednesday’s edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “leonem”, “dinkpiece” and “thenumbersguy”. Each day throughout the MLB season our daily MLB scouting reports will highlight the best top, value and cheap plays of the day based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games. The goal of our analysis is to help you improve consistency and become a better player long-term.
Weather: Games with issues include WSH at ATL and perhaps CHW at STL.
Please see Meteorologist Mark Paquette’s game by game weather forecasts below the Analysis.
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Matt Wieters (BAL) – Wieters turned in an extremely frustrating performance last night but is in a similarly good spot tonight. Nick Martinez is not good despite his 3.39 ERA as he doesn’t miss bats, walks people and is GB neutral at best. That’s why he has a 4.96 xFIP and 5.13 for his career. Regression has already hit Martinez and will continue to do so. That’s why you see the Orioles pegged with a team total of 5 from Vegas, the highest of the night. Wieters is a switch hitter who is better against LHP but has good all-around power and a great lineup spot. The plate discipline numbers are a bit worrisome but it’s a pretty small sample size and opportunity cost at the position is low anyways. I’m not completely enamored with Wieters but the matchup, park, expected team success at a scarce position make him the logical choice given that he’s pretty affordable.
Jonathan Lucroy (MIL) – Lucroy is another catcher I’m not exactly thrilled about (plate discipline numbers and GB rate are worse than last season). However, he really picked things up in June as he made more contact (12.9 K percentage) and higher quality contact (33 percent hard hit rate). With Lucroy trending in the right direction but the price still favorable, he’s a nice alternative to Wieters at a cheaper price tag. The Brewers have a team total over four and Lucroy should see four to five plate appearances hitting second for a road team. I should note that Lucroy has caught six straight games so it’s possible he gets some rest tonight.