MLB DFS Week 10 Payoff Pitch
Welcome back to The Payoff Pitch! In this article I break down what has happened in the last week when it comes to injuries, lineups and streaky hitters. This is a great way to refresh your memory or catch up on a few days lost. As always, let’s start it off with the injuries that’ll impact DFS this week.
**All stats are from end of Saturday’s MLB action.
**All stats are from Sunday MLB slates.
Josh Hamilton has had one heck of a start to his season, but unfortunately he fell victim to an injury almost a week ago. This injury makes two big boppers for the Rangers out in the span of just one week (Adrian Beltre). To make up for the injury, the Rangers have brought up Joey Gallo ($3,500 DK, $3,200 FD) and slotted him into the five or six hole. He has responded with a lot of strikeouts, but two home runs in his first two MLB games. The Rangers have also inserted Elvis Andrus ($3,900 DK, $2,800 FD) into the five or six-hole. Since the first of June, he has just four hits in 15 at bats, only one of which went for extra bases.
Daniel Murphy is headed to the DL and the Mets lineup just got weaker. There really isn’t any value added to this lineup besides one player: Ruben Tejada ($3,100 DK, $2,700 FD). Before Saturday’s game, Tejada had an eight game hitting streak with 15 hits during that span (4 XBH). He hits 40 points higher against southpaws when it comes to wOBA than against right-handers, but will see just one lefty this week. While I don’t think the lineup will help his value much, his lineup position (second) and low cost at a tough position to fill will make him a desirable player this week.
There isn’t a whole lot of Fantasy value coming from injuries lately, but there is one other injury to mention and that is Tuffy Gosewich. The Diamondbacks catcher is out for the season and now two new guys will be seeing playing time: Jarrod Saltalamacchia ($3,300 DK, $2,300 FD) and Welington Castillo ($2,300 DK, $2,200 FD). Both are fairly cheap and are hitting in the seven-hole when in the lineup. They are better plays when at home, but unfortunately this week they’ll be on the road. The game in Los Angeles will come with an okay park factor, but the series in San Francisco is one to avoid.
The Mets lineup these days is really, really tough to look at. While Curtis Granderson, Lucas Duda and Michael Cuddyer are respectable batters, the rest of the crew isn’t all that known. Juan Lagares, Danny Muno and Eric Campbell were the five through seven hitters for them on Saturday, which is great news for opposing pitchers. There are some intriguing pitching options this week and could be the way to find cheap pitching on two-pitcher sites. Guys like Tim Hudson, Tim Lincecum, Shelby Miller should eat up this order and not cost you a pretty penny. Hudson has given up just three earned runs in his last 14 innings while Lincecum has struggled in his last three starts giving up four earned runs in each. Miller had a tough start in Arizona last week but has given up two earned runs or less in 10 of 11 starts this season.
Randal Grichuk ($2,900 DK, $2,300 FD) has to be one of the cheapest five-hole guys in baseball right now and should be considered from start-to-start. With Yadier Molina struggling and Matt Adams out for a long while, Grichuk has hit in the four or five-hole in five of the last seven games for the Cardinals. He has five extra base hits in his last 10 games, and has solid numbers against right-handers in his short career. His .331 wOBA is respectable and that low price makes him a guy to consider each night. He’ll face two in Colorado to start the week and two at home against Kansas City at the end of it. Grichuk could be a really easy way to get coverage at Coors Field Monday through Wednesday.
When it comes to Coors Field, Troy Tulowitzki ($5,400 DK, $4,800 FD) owns that park more than anyone else. His home wOBA is outrageous (.409) while his road wOBA is still pretty solid (.353) over his career. Well, he’ll start the week off at home against the Cardinals for a three-game series, but with some bad matchups. He’s hitting .481 with four home runs in his last seven, but that’s not why I’m still fine with paying up for him. In his career at home and against RHP, he is sporting a .396 wOBA. That is a huge number and if you want to simplify it a little bit, he has a .371 wOBA against RHP period. Using Tulo in matchups that might not necessarily look like gold could push you over the top in GPPs in the first part of this week.
Mark Teixeira ($4,500 DK, $3,900 FD) isn’t Tulo hot, but he’s keeping the power stroke going and it’s worth a mention. While he’s hitting .259 in the last seven, he has three home runs and 10 RBI. He is a guy I don’t want to target against Max Scherzer and Gio Gonzalez, but against the Orioles in Baltimore he’s a great play. Bud Norris and Miguel Gonzalez are the two guys at the end of the week Teixeira will be facing with a nice right field porch for him. He has a career wOBA of .370 and ISO of .250 and he’s even keeping it going this season. In 2015 his wOBA is .398 and an ISO of .362.
A.J. Pollock ($4,700 DK, $4,800 FD) is doing a little bit of everything for us DFS player hitting .407 over the last seven with three stolen bases and two home runs. He seems to be one of the safest players in baseball and his price is really reflecting it this week. I would be weary of using him this week though. He’s away from his hitter friendly home field, and five of the six pitchers will be right-handers. His wOBA this season and in his career is better against southpaws than against those right-handers he’ll be facing this week. Because of this, he’s a fade at his price. It also doesn’t help that he’ll be going from Arizona to San Francisco at the end of the week.
Pablo Sandoval is cold as ice hitting just .080 in the last seven bringing his average down to .239 on the season. He’s having a bad week like many of us have had in our lives, so let’s take a look at the big picture here. Sandoval has a career wOBA of .363 against right-handers, while struggling against southpaws. He also has better walk and strikeout rates against them, so maybe that little bit of picking up the baseball can help him out. Luckily for him, he’ll be facing five RHP this week including two on the road at Baltimore. That’s a great park to hit at for lefty hitters, and might be just what he needs to get himself back on track.
Saturday during an 11-pitch at bat, Asdrubal Cabrera hyperextended his elbow and led him to be out on Sunday. This is bad news for a guy who is hitting .160 in his last seven and .203 on the season. His power numbers are down (two home runs) and he’s not running all that much (three stolen bases). This week he’ll be back home and will have a few tough matchups. I would definitely avoid him against a guy like Chris Sale, and he’d have to be very cheap for me to use to him period right now. Not only is he cold, but he’s not even full strength. Don’t get fancy with this pick this week.