MLB DFS Week 15 Payoff Pitch
Welcome back to The Payoff Pitch! In this article I break down what has happened in the last week when it comes to injuries, lineups and streaky hitters. This is a great way to refresh your memory or catch up on a few days lost. This week is a little different due to the All Star Game festivities, but it’s still important to break down the players even if it’s just for three games. As always, let’s start it off with the injuries that’ll impact DFS this week.
**All stats are from end of Saturday’s MLB action.
Delino DeShields has come off the DL and struggled in five games since being back, but I want to make sure people aren’t blowing him off from the Fantasy side of things. He is only 3-16 since his return, but two of those hits went for extra bases and he has four walks. The Rangers start a nine-game road trip after the All Star break, all to great hitting parks. Hitting in Houston will be good for him and all the right-handed hitters for Texas.
The Royals were dealt a big blow to their lineup when Alex Gordon went down with a groin strain this past week, but they haven’t missed a beat in the standings. The biggest benefactors in the lineup are Paulo Orlando and Jarrod Dyson. Both have speed to kill, but find themselves in the bottom of the order. In the three games since the Gordon injury, Dyson has only hit ninth while Orlando has one start from the seventh slot. Before I can start considering these two, I need to see them at the top of the lineup, and hopefully it’s Dyson that gets that chance first if it comes up.
There is a chance we see Carlos Beltran return at the end of the week, which could be enticing due to the matchup of the Mariners at home, but I’m here to tell you to stay away. Depending on how the All Star Game goes, Beltran could see the likes of Felix Hernandez and Tijuan Walker as the first two big leaguers he faces since the injury – those match ups would be very difficult. At Beltran’s age, it’s hard to look at his career wOBA of .365 against LHP and .366 against RHP and take it seriously. He has struggled enough in 2015 (.305 LHP/.326 RHP) for me to ignore those great career stats.
This past week, Johnny Giavotella led off in every game and he’s been great. He’s seven for 26 in those seven days with three doubles and three walks. In his career, he’s hit for a .282 wOBA against both left-handers and right-handers, but he’s been better against LHP this season. The Angels start the second half of the season with the Red Sox who have a few weak right-handed pitchers and two lefties in their rotation. This will be a great match up for the Angels and Giavotella as long as you’re not overpaying for him.
Justin Turner found himself in the three-hole of the Dodgers lineup five times this past week in six games, which is a prime spot to be. He faces some very difficult match ups to end this week against the Nationals. With his ability to hit RHP over the course his career (.351 wOBA), he could be a great GPP candidate because I don’t think a lot of people will have the courage to play him against a guy like Max Scherzer.
It’s about time that Carlos Gonzalez turned it up and got hot for the Rockies. He’s hitting .462 in his last seven games with three home runs. We have waited a while for this to happen, but if you stayed with it, then you enjoyed a great week of production from him. With that being said, his time off for the All Star Game festivities could not come at a worse time. When the Rockies finally get back into action at the end of next week, they face off against the Padres on the road. If you’re going to defy odds and roster him this upcoming week, then do it against right-handers as he has a career wOBA of .388 against them.
There are two Brewers who are crushing the ball right now in Carlos Gomez and Gerardo Parra – both are worthy of discussion for this short week of MLB action. In Gomez’s last seven games, he’s hitting .400 with three home runs while Parra is hitting .370 with three home runs and a stolen base. The Brewers start the second half of the season at home, which is always a good thing, and face the Pirates. They’ll like get Burnett and Liriano to start the weekend, which isn’t as bad as it sounds. While Burnett is a tougher matchup, Liriano could be someone to pick on. Gomez has a .342 wOBA against southpaws while Parra has posted a .359 wOBA against them this season.
If Mike Pelfrey gets a start this week then make sure you target him in your DFS lineups. He’s struggling big time in his last three games, with a 9.88 ERA and a 2.20 WHIP. He’s not a strikeout pitcher (49 Ks in 99 innings this season), which is a great thing for picking hitters. If you’re going to pick on him, then obviously use left-handed bats. Lefties have a .348 wOBA this season and Pelfrey has allowed a .345 wOBA in his career against LHB.
This season, Mike Moustakas has done most of his damage against right-handed pitching, sporting a wOBA close to .380. With the way his batting average looks recently, you’d think he was only facing left-handed bats. He’s hitting .083 in his last seven games with zero of his seven 2015 home runs during that stretch. Moustakas is an All Star due to the fan vote, but you should not be voting him into your DFS lineups this upcoming week. He’ll see two southpaws out of three games when the Royals face the White Sox. In his career, his wOBA is just .268 against them.