NBA DFS Picks: O Holy Knight
Christmas Day has come and gone, but there are still plenty of presents to unwrap. Anthony Davis gifted many of us a dominating performance yesterday, but what can he do on the second leg of a back to back? Perhaps the biggest question is, what do you do with all the Christmas music? Is it alright to keep churning out Trans-Siberian Orchestra, or should we all go back to Billy Joel?
That is for you to decide. But here’s one last Holiday song courtesy of the NBA.
PG: Brandon Knight
What is the next best thing than a matchup with the Los Angeles Lakers? A matchup with the Sixers. Brandon Knight and the Phoenix Suns will host the Sixers tonight in what should be a lopsided, but high scoring event. The Sixers can’t stop anyone, and in their last ten have give up the 4th most fantasy points to opposing point guards (via Rotowire). Knight has been up and down this season, and while his inconsistency is a product of his play, I don’t think it should frighten you tonight. Perhaps my favorite thing about Knight is his salary though, as he won’t break the bank and provides excellent upside to go along with an inflated floor against the Sixers. His usage rate is back to over 25% for the first time in a few seasons, and I expect him to capitalize on it tonight.
SG: Andrew Wiggins (DK only)
This is site specific as Wiggins is listed as a SF on FanDuel but I like him there as well. At first glance, you might be dissuaded from Wiggins’ thanks to his matchup with the Indiania Pacers but it’s important to note that these are not the same old Pacers. While Indiana was in the bottom third of the league last year in possessions per game, they’ve now added about three possessions per game, and are in the top-10 in that category. Wiggins is the Wolves scoring threat and while he might have to contend with Paul George a little bit, I’m a fan for his price. Per 36 minutes, Wiggins is getting off over 17 shots and is scoring nearly 22 points a game. While his peripherals have taken a slight hit this year, I expect them to regress back towards his rookie numbers despite his focus on scoring this year.
SF: Carmelo Anthony
Carmelo is the ultimate GPP play for NBA DFS. His price is the lowest it has ever been, but he’s still Melo. He takes a ton of shots, plus has a usage rating over 30%. The issue has been getting shots to fall as he’s shooting only 42% per 36 minutes this year. Neverthless, given his rebounding rates and the amount of shots he’ll be getting up, it’s hard for me to overlook his immense potential, and he’s paid off more than once this season. The issue is, he’s most likely to give you 30 fantasy points and a headache from watching, but if he gets some shots to fall, your opponents might be in trouble. For those looking for a bit of narrative street, Melo was bummed that the Knicks didn’t get to play on Christmas.
PF: Anthony Davis
Surely you all saw Uni dominate the Heat yesterday? I did and he was awesome. He was the focal point of the offense and was actually trying at both ends, blocking shots, collecting steals and being active on the boards. As a result, Uni notched 63 FD points and paid off every dollar of his salary. Given that he’s so high priced and somewhat volatile, it’s scary to roster AD, especially on a back to back, but a matchup with the Houston Rockets is prime time for domination. This game has the highest total (211) with only a one point spread, meaning that Uni will be out there as much as possible, assuming he doesn’t find himself injured in the first couple of minutes. This season, the Houston Rockets are allowing the second most fantasy points per game against PF, need you know anything else?
C: Nikola Vucevic
Vuccccc! It’s incredible what getting consistent minutes can do for a man’s fantasy value! After a frustrating first month or so, Vuc has finally started to pay off so long as he’s receiving 30+ minutes a game from Scott Skiles. In his last four, in which he saw at least 33 minutes, Vuc has scored more than 40 FD points 3 times, and notched 33.70 in the other. It might not stand out to you, but you should also note that his salary is below $8,000 so reaching value is not nearly as hard as it should be. In fact, this season, his salary has only dropped, while he’s still exceeded his expected points 65% of the time (via FantasyLabs). Vuc is the “safe” play to accompany your rostering of Melo tonight.