NBA DFS Picks: The Great Wall
Let’s get right to the picks. Welcome to Friday action!
PG: John Wall
I am going to keep on deploying John Wall until his salary forces me to at least contemplate his matchup. While more value might open up at a fairly deep point guard position, it’s hard for me to get away from Wall’s price, relative to his performance. In his last 10 games, Wall has been solid, averaging nearly 23/8/5 to go along with nearly three steals a game. That falls pretty closely in line with his per 36 minute averages this year and is coupled with the 2nd highest usage rate of his career (28.1%). Wall will be on the road versus fellow Kentucky Wildcat Anthony Davis and crew in a game with an absurd total of 215.5. Better yet, it’s only a 2.5 point spread, meaning that we should see a lot of Wall tonight. As a result of the high total, and his salary, I think you’ll find Wall will garner a fair amount of ownership, but I’d be a tad bit worried fading him in cash games.
SG: Tyreke Evans (DK Only)
This play is DraftKings’ dependant, as Evans is listed as a PG on FanDuel. I’m taking advantage of the super high total, and low spread for the WAS/NO game once again. Evans has been a fairly volatile DFS player in his career, and while he’s probably burned you more than you can count on both your hands and feet, he’s a stat-stuffer at heart. After his recent return from injury, Evans scored 30+ DK points in his first three games back before having a complete dud against the Boston Celtics his last time out. I expect that game will push some people away from Evans, and it actually dropped his salary $200. This is a perfect spot to take advantage, especially in GPPs as Evans has the ability to do it all on the court.
SF: Kevin Durant
You: “You’re recommending Kevin Durant?”
Me: “Yeah, so what?”
You: “Everyone already knows he is awesome.”
Me: “I don’t care.”
Kevin Durant doesn’t need any rationalizing, but please know, he’s underpriced. Much like Wall, after some injury problems earlier in the season, Durant’s price dipped a tad, and he’s not where he should be. Keep in mind, he will be playing on the second night of a back to back, but last night he posted a triple-double in a close game against the Atlanta Hawks. Tonight’s game with the Utah Jazz has similar appeal for Durant – a close spread with a total over 200. I don’t have to preach Durant’s floor or ceiling to you, only that his price relative to his potential is too low. Just use him, and don’t worry about it.
PF: Anthony Davis
Recommending two studs back to back. Real original, right? I absolutely hate the PF position tonight. While I’m sure some value will shore up as the day moves along, as of right now, it’s a wasteland with very few players at appropriately, value obtaining salaries. I’m not even sure that Davis is one of those players, given his relatively volatile play all season. There seems to be a switch for him that needs to be flipped in order to show his dominance, but, he doesn’t always flip it. His price might push you off him in favor of other stars, like Durant, but his per 36 numbers still look pretty solid. Per 36, he’s averaging 24/11 while throwing a few blocks, steals and assists. His usage rate is actually up to a career high 29.2% while averaging over 18 shots per 36. This is one of the juicy games for DFS tonight, with a super high total and a relatively small spread. I probably actually prefer paying for Uni as opposed to Durant, but you can’t go wrong with either.
C: Nikola Vucevic
Here is another GPP only play for me, but one that has the ability to reap great rewards. Vucevic really hasn’t been on anyone’s radar for DFS this season, and under head coach Scott Skiles, his minutes have been in flux. However, in the past two games where Vuc has seen solid, and consistent minutes, he’s shown his ability to be a presence on the offensive end from the center position. The Cavs are right near the middle of the pack in terms of points per game to opposing centers (via Rotowire), but that doesn’t scare me away from Vucevic. This game is anticipated to be fairly close (Cleveland is only a three point favorite) and if Vuc is on the court for a solid allotment of minutes, he’ll surely get his. His per 36 averages look pretty good – 18.5/10.8 (cough, Skiles, cough), let’s just hope he gets it.