NBA DFS Rotations: Nets & Kings
One of the key things I look at when creating my lineups is the amount of minutes a player has played in recent games and is projected to play on any given night. This is a very important stat because without minutes, opportunity is limited. Some players will receive more minutes due to injuries on the team or changes in the rotations. Others may just be playing really well and are being given more opportunities. Towards the end of the season, some of the worst teams in the league may also provide some of their young players with more playing time to get some experience under their belt. This is something we will cover for you the rest of the season.
The Nets have been out of contention for quite some time and now as the end of the season is near, the team has decided to shut down Brook Lopez and Thaddeus Young for the remainder of the season. This will open the door for Thomas Robinson who has been playing more minutes as of late and usually gets the start when either Thad or Lopez is out. Robinson is averaging 27.15 minutes per game in his last four. In that span, he’s averaging 13.3 points, 12.75 rebounds, 1.8 steals, and 35.95 DraftKings fantasy points per game. He has exceeded value and has recorded a double-double in each of those games. On Sunday, Henry Sims started at center for the Nets. He played 30 minutes, scored 12 points, and grabbed seven boards. He should continue to see heavy minutes moving forward and be a solid source of points and rebounds. We’ve seen Shane Larkin solidify his role as the team’s starting point guard. In his last nine games, he’s averaging 29 minutes, 9.9 points, 6.1 assists, three rebounds, 1.7 steals, and 25.25 DraftKings fantasy points per game. He’s been efficient and continues to see significant minutes. Some other players to keep an eye on in the last couple of weeks are: Chris McCullough who has played 20 or more minutes in three consecutive games and Sean Kilpatrick who is averaging 24.5 minutes and 12 shot attempts per game in his last eight games.
Thomas Robinson‘s last four games
Shane Larkin’s last nine games
Rajon Rondo and DeMarcus Cousins did not play in Saturday’s contest against the Nuggets. Rondo who has been playing through injuries was given the night off for rest. It has already been announced that Cousins will not play in any of the team’s remaining road games. The Kings are officially out of the playoff hunt, so we can see some of their stars and veteran players get rest on a more consistent basis. Cousins has sat in four of the last seven games whether it’s been a suspension, rest, or injury. Rondo has missed two of the last four. One of the main beneficiaries of Rondo’s absence is Darren Collison who has averaged over 30 minutes per game in his last four games. In that span, 34.1 minutes, 15.8 points, 6.8 assists, and 31.6 fantasy points per game. He has exceeded value in each of those games. As far as the big men are concerned, Kosta Koufos and Willie Cauley-Stein get a bump up in minutes when Cousins is out. Koufos benefits the most in these instances as he has averaged 30.7 minutes per game in the last four games Cousins has sat in. Cauley-Stein has averaged 28.9 minutes per game in those games, but is not a major boost as he’s averaging 25.6 minutes per game in his last twelve games. Koufos has averaged 12.5 points, 1.8 blocks, 9.5 rebounds, and 30.6 fantasy points in the last four games that Cousins sat out. He crushed value in each of those contests (three of those were road games). The reason I mentioned that is because we won’t be seeing Cousins play on the road anymore this season. Koufos can be considered a great value play moving forward in games that Cousins doesn’t suit up.
Darren Collison‘s last four games
Koufos’ last four games with Cousins out
Brandon Knight is out for the season with a hernia. He had missed the last two games with the injury. During his absence Ronnie Price averaged 32.5 minutes per game, but was not very efficient. The minutes should continue to be there for price, but his inability to take advantage of his playing time makes him a risky punt in DFS.
Lou Williams and Brandon Bass will rest the next few games for the Lakers. This will allow the Lakers to give their younger players more playing time to close out the season. Julius Randle, Jordan Clarkson, and D’Angelo Russell should all see 30+ minutes per game moving forward.
Taj Gibson is not expected to play in the team’s next two road games with an ankle injury. Nicola Mirotic should continue to see an uptick in minutes and usage in his absence. Mirotic is a volatile player that provides plenty of upside but a very inconsistent floor. He’s someone you’d want to consider in GPP formats only.
That’s it for this week. I’ll be back next week to break down more on NBA Rotations. Good luck to all.