What’s up guys? Maxeernst here.
It’s been a few days since we’ve had a solid NHL slate and I have to admit I’m super excited to dive into tonight’s 11-gamer. Just a few notes before we jump in: 1) I’m not going to spend much time on the spots I don’t love. (Editor’s note: This is a lie. Max went into a ton of depth in each game). Though there are plenty of viable options on such a big slate, I’m going to focus on the ones that are most significant and/or interesting. 2) The sample remains too small regarding 2017-2018 data, but I may cite it to highlight some noteworthy trends. Take the current xG projections and analytics references with a grain of salt. 3) I’ll do my best to hop in here and update things if significant news comes out. I’m writing this the night before, so bear with me if I have a line combo incorrect or miss an injury.
Also, if you have any questions, feel free to reach out in Slack. I’ll try to be in and out all day (as will be Drewby and TheNumbersGuy) to answer any questions. Onto our NHL DFS Picks…
Edmonton at Pittsburgh (-150)
This tilt might very well end up being the highest scoring affair of the night. Both of these teams have dynamic offenses and I doubt the Connor Mcdavid – Sidney Crosby show disappoints. Pittsburgh is allowing a ton of shot attempts against to start the year and their 5v5 xGA/60 is through the roof. Edmonton, on the other hand, leads the league in most Corsi For categories and has the third-best 5v5 xGF/60 in the league to start the year. While the Oilers have been a very respectable defensive squad to start the season, this remains a dangerous Pens squad featuring several superstars. We should see fireworks.
On the Edmonton side of things, the big question mark heading into this game is whether Leon Draisaitl returns from injury. Should Draisaitl sit, the trio of McDavid, Patrick Maroon, and Kailer Yamamoto is firmly in play at a reasonable cost of $17,600 and should be highly owned. If Draisaitl does suit up, however, we’re going to need to see how the lines shake out. Should he return and be paired with McDavid, I can see the ownership of that line decreasing somewhat given that Draisaitl is rather expensive at $7,100. Additionally, should Yamamoto move off McDavid’s wing, I can’t see playing him at his current salary. Either way, you want McDavid’s line against what has been an atrocious Pittsburgh defense so far this year. This game’s going to be high paced and, despite the Pens being the favorite, Edmonton should score numerous goals. In case you’ve been living under a rock: Connor McDavid is the best offensive player in the NHL right now. Oscar Klefbom remains a strong correlation play and a cash viable option given his strong peripherals and an A+ matchup.