November 13 NBA DFS: Getting Wiggy Wit It
It’s not quite Christmas, but I’ve already started sifting through the island of misfit toys. For this week’s theme I decided to take a look at some grossly underpriced players in favorable matchups for tonight’s games. Each of the players below is currently in a situation to succeed beyond their current price tags on both FanDuel and DraftKings and exceed value. As long as they keep pricing them wrong, we’re going to keep taking advantage.
Note: Be sure to check the news throughout the day to make sure that the following players are in the lineup for tonight’s games.
PG: Rajon Rondo
I would be certifiably insane if I didn’t recommend Rondo in this spot with Darren Collison already ruled out and Seth Curry questionable for tonight’s game. In the past few games as the only available point guard for the Kings, he’s been pure gold. He’s literally not missed a single minute of each of the last two games and in that time span has posted gaudy numbers, including a triple-double his last time out. His salary is still way too low considering his projected minutes and his ability to fill the box score with literally every statistical category. Add in the fact that with DeMarcus Cousins back on the floor Rondo can facilitate the offense through a reliable source and you’ve got no reason not to roster him. He’s averaging 12/8.6/6.8 so far this season, I think that’s pretty good for a point guard who is under $8K on DraftKings and under $7K on FanDuel. JUST LOCK HIM IN!
SG: Andrew Wiggins
Looking for another backcourt player who is underpriced relative to his production? How about Andrew Wiggins? Wiggins is a stud in the making and he’s starting to grab the reigns of the Minnesota Timberwolves slowly and surely. Although he hasn’t been producing much outside the way of points, the fact that he’s averaging close to 20 shots a game is encouraging. The Wolves will be playing against a much faster paced Indiana offense without the clogs of David West and Roy Hibbert like in previous years. I expect some of Wiggins’ peripheral statistics to regress back towards his averages last season as the year progresses, which is good for his fantasy point totals and makes him well worth his current price. At a position without much depth, he makes for an excellent, underpriced option, especially on DraftKings.
SF: Nic Batum
Another position without much positional depth and I’m leaning on a player that can produce in multiple categories. Batum has always been a guy capable of putting up monster fantasy point totals because of his ability to fill the stat sheet. In his first time out against this same Bulls team he was on his way to a terrific output before a fourth quarter blowout derailed him. This isn’t one of the highest scoring totals of the night, but I’m recommending Batum on the same coin as the others in this piece so far – he is underpriced relative to his production. He averages 14.5/3.8/6.5 and is capable of much more if he gets the shots. He’s only averaging just over 10 shots per game, but his last time out put it up almost 20 times. If the Bulls decide to let anyone other than Jimmy Butler man up on him, Batum should have a field day.
PF: Dirk Nowitzki
Yes, I do know that Dirk is old. Yes, I know that recently he had a great, vintage Dirk game. Yes, I do know that this probably looks a whole lot like recency bias. But please, at least let me plead my case!
Dirk is still balling out – sort of. He’s averaging less than thirty minutes per game which is not incredibly appealing, but he’s been efficient in his time on the court. Currently, Dirk is in the top-10 in PER (player efficiency rating) with a 26.97 rating and he’s also cracked the top-25 in defensive rebounding rate. You’re going to want exposure to Dallas against an atrocious Lakers team and since the Mavs don’t have much to offer, Dirk is your guy. Don’t anticipate the 30 point, 11 rebound game from earlier this week, but you’ll get value.
C: Dwight Howard
Update: Howard will rest either tonight or tomorrow, so make sure to check that he is starting before utilizing him.
I love when the Rockets and the Nuggets play. Each time it signifies two fast paced offenses playing in a high scoring game with a “smallish” spread. Sitting inside the top-10 in the PER right alongside the aforementioned Dirk Nowitzki is Dwight Howard, yet again, and underpriced player relative to his potential. Dwight is one of my favorite DFS players thanks to his crazy potential and the fact that he has a relatively decent floor thanks to his top five rebounding rate (22.8). Dwight will have a few inches and some muscle on opposing center JJ Hickson and should be able to expand on his current averages of 17.6/13.2. Those averages are over thirty fantasy points per game and that’s not including any blocks or assists that Dwight might stumble into on a nightly basis. Much like the rest of the misfit toys in this piece, Dwight isn’t priced like he needs to be, so use him!