Daily Fantasy Rundown – November 15 NBA DFS Picks and Analysis
Welcome to Sunday’s edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “dinkpiece”, “leonem” and“TheNumbersGuy”. Each day throughout the NBA season our daily NBA scouting reports will highlight the best top, value and cheap plays of the day based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games. Our goal is to bring analysis that will help you build rosters that put you in position to win consistently over the long term.
*Any time a player’s salary is reference as a discount or premium, it is relative to the average cost of a roster spot.
**Usage/Assist/Rebounding Rates courtesy of Basketball-Reference.com unless otherwise noted.
Point Guard – Our featured site for the point guard position is FanDuel
Russell Westbrook (OKC) – Without Kevin Durant last season, Russell Westbrook posted a 42 percent usage rate and 44.6 percent assist rate (according to NBAWowy). Additionally, Westbrook averaged 35 minutes (1.56 FanDuel points) without Durant on the floor compared to 33 minutes (1.30 FD points) with Durant on the floor. In one game without Durant this season (against Philadelphia a few days ago), Westbrook went off for 58 FanDuel points. For whatever reason, Westbrook’s price point on our featured site for points guards (FanDuel) remains too low relative to his insane production. On FanDuel, Westbrook only needs 50.6 Fantasy points in order to meet value. He’s already averaging 51 FanDuel points this season, so he wouldn’t need any sort of boost in opportunities or minutes in order to realize his value threshold. His baseline production would already put him in a position to meet value, yet we know that without Durant, Westbrook becomes an even better DFS investment. Realistically, Westbrook’s average game without Durant is somewhere around 55 FanDuel points. The Celtics have been pesky against point guards this season (ranked first in defensive efficiency against the point guard position), and Marcus Smart isn’t the best matchup for Westbrook (ranked in the 84th percentile against pick and roll ball handlers), but that’s mostly trivial. Oklahoma City has the highest team total on this slate (at home, six point spread; Vegas expects this game to be competitive), and Westbrook becomes an even bigger part of the offensive puzzle without Durant. Don’t expect Westbrook to disappoint in a high paced affair (Thunder and Celtics are ranked inside the top six in pace). It’s a four game slate (five game slate on other sites); don’t you dare fade Westbrook in cash games.