November 27 NBA DFS Picks: Drumsticks with Drummond
Few things are guaranteed the day after Thanksgiving, – though, you’re undoubtedly reading this, sore from a half-hearted turkey bowl performance, stuck in some old crewneck sweatshirt with stains from some of yesterday’s feast. As you relax today looking to overcome the comatose of tryptophan, dive into some leftovers (the TV show is also excellent) and play some NBA DFS.
To make you hungrier, and more excited, I’ve compared the players to some of the foods you’ll be combing through the fridge to get to.
PG: Reggie Jackson
Reggie Jackson‘s early season inconsistency has made him the leftover ham. I think it’s fair to make note that ham is either good or bad, there is no middle ground. Jackson falls in the same category so far this season, but given his price, I’m taking a chance tonight, especially in GPPs. The Pistons are nearly eight point underdogs tonight as they take on an underperforming Clippers team in what should be a decently high scoring game. He hasn’t been efficient this season, but he’s sporting a 30% usage rate and attempting nearly 20 shots per 36 minutes. He’s going to have the ball in his hand a lot and for only $7,200 on DraftKings it’s hard not to take a chance on him.
SG: Bradley Beal
Leftover: Pumpkin Pie (or your favorite desert)
Beal is the piece of the puzzle that your sweet tooth is dialed in on. He plays a lot of minutes, takes a lot of shots, and has a nice upside given his current price. The SG position is not very deep and there isn’t much to choose from, making Beal an ideal selection against the Boston Celtics. Beal, who is just 22 years old is playing in his fourth season in the league and alongside John Wall has seen his usage rate increase by nearly 4% so far this year. Granted, he has only played 9 games, but per 36 minutes he’s averaging 21 points on around 17 shots. That doesn’t scream efficiency, and if Beal isn’t scoring the basketball, it’ll be tough for him to meet value, but we’re going for gold trying to hit on the ultimate desert platter.
SF: Robert Covington
Covington was a DFS hero last season and in his last three games with more than 30 minutes, he’s taken big strides to restoring his status. In his last three games, Covington has attempted more than 10 shots in each game, scoring 50 points over the span of those three. Oh, he’s also recorded 11 steals and 26 rebounds in that time. Sure, I don’t want you to only be fixated on the box score, but c’mon man! The Sixers are terrible and they’ll probably get waxed by James Harden and the Rockets tonight, but Covington is going to be out there and he’s going to be playing hard. Assuming he gets his minutes, he’s going to produce in all categories and his price hasn’t caught up to the potential per minute production.
PF: Kevin Love
Leftover: Mashed Potatoes
Much like the ham, this is a bit of a high risk, high reward play, despite Love’s fairly solid baseline thanks to his rebounding numbers. In his play this year, Love rebound rates have been regressing towards his career averages and his usage has increased in his second year with LeBron and the Cavs. Love and the Cavs will be taking on the Charlotte Hornets in a game with a total of 204 and only a four-point spread tonight, one of the lowest of the night. Love is priced above some of the other notable stat stuffing PF’s like Draymond Green and Paul Millsap, but I like his chances at being a top contrarian option tonight.
Center: Andre Drummond
I don’t care what other people say – the turkey is still good the next day. Drummond has been a monster this season, dominating night in and night out. Drummond is averaging 18 points and nearly 18 rebounds per game this season and he’s still priced well below all of the other stars around the league. He’s stayed out of foul trouble and increased his defensive rebounding rate to an insane 38%. I’m honestly not sure there is anyone safer in NBA DFS (other than Steph Curry) right now than Drummond. His price at DraftKings is downright silly, just use him and enjoy all of the fantasy points.