11/28 CFB DFS Early Slate: Get Off My Paws
Welcome to the Saturday Early Slate edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “RealestChrisKay” and “TheNumbersGuy.” Each week we break down the largest college football slates to give you the best top, value, and cheap plays based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games. The goal of our analysis is to help you improve consistency and become a better player long-term.
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*Rankings are out of a possible 128 schools
**Advanced statistics courtesy of Football Outsiders (updated as of 11/21/15)
***Target statistics courtesy of NCAA Savant
Deshaun Watson (Clemson at South Carolina) has emerged as a threat through the air and on the ground over his last four games, becoming an elite quarterback option each week. During that stretch, he has thrown for 11 touchdowns, while adding three touchdowns on the ground. His matchup against South Carolina is amongst the best in this slate (USCe ranks 114th in rushing S&P+, 100th in passing S&P+), but it’s the reliance on Watson in this offense that makes him the top play. His 71.4% market share of touchdowns is what you’re looking for in a high priced quarterback. Watson is averaging 42 touches per game, but over his last four, he has seen that number rise to 52.3. It is very realistic to pay up for Watson this weekend considering the lack of high-priced receiver talent in this slate.