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11/30 NBA DFS: Bayless on Cyber Monday

11/30 NBA DFS: Bayless on Cyber Monday
DAILY FANTASY RUNDOWN
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Daily Fantasy Rundown – November 30 NBA DFS Picks and Analysis

Welcome to Monday’s edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “dinkpiece”, “leonem” and “TheNumbersGuy”. Each day throughout the NBA season our daily NBA scouting reports will highlight the best top, value and cheap plays of the day based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games.  Our goal is to bring analysis that will help you build rosters that put you in position to win consistently over the long term.

*Any time a player’s salary is reference as a discount or premium, it is relative to the average cost of a roster spot.

**Usage/Assist/Rebounding Rates courtesy of Basketball-Reference.com unless otherwise noted.

Point Guard – Our featured site for the point guard position is DraftKings

Top Play:

Russell Westbrook (OKC) – Despite his expensive price tag and a healthy Kevin Durant, Westbrook remains a great per dollar value on DraftKings. Even with Durant on the floor this season, Westbrook is averaging a monstrous 1.46 DraftKings points per minute (from NBAWowy.com). That puts him right on top his value threshold, on average, in 34.5 minutes, which is right in line with his season long average. Further stabilizing Westbrook’s value, aside from the fair price, is the game environment. The OKC-ATL game is one of two really Fantasy friendly game environments tonight (SAC-DAL the other) as this game has the second highest total (211.5) with a very tight two point spread. Westbrook is very safe for the price, but he’s not a must play if you want to take a more balanced approach when constructing your roster tonight.

Value Plays:

Jerryd Bayless (MIL) – With Michael Carter-Williams struggling mightily, Bayless has been inserted into the starting lineup. He played a whopping 43 minutes as a result last night, and he had played 33 and 36 minutes the prior two games with the change looming. Even though Bayless isn’t a strong per minute Fantasy player (0.77 DraftKings points per minute), he’s underpriced based on a starting role. At $4,900 on DraftKings (22 percent discount), an average game should put Bayless right on top of his value threshold if we assume mid-thirties minutes. This matchup should boost Bayless’ efficiency and result in a better than average game, as the Nuggets are 29th in defensive efficiency against point guards.

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