October 17 CFB DFS Late Slate: We want all the Frogs.
Welcome to the Saturday Late Slate edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “RealestChrisKay” and “TheNumbersGuy.” Each week we break down the largest college football slates to give you the best top, value, and cheap plays based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games. The goal of our analysis is to help you improve consistency and become a better player long-term.
If there’s something you’d like to see added or have any questions, please email us at firstname.lastname@example.org.
*Rankings are out of a possible 128 schools
**Advanced statistics courtesy of Football Outsiders
***Target statistics courtesy of NCAA Savant
Trevone Boykin (TCU at Iowa State) – Last week, Boykin projected as the top play at the quarterback position, and it wasn’t close. That gap in expected production at the position might be even more exaggerated this week, as Boykin leads the way yet again. For starters, TCU has a team total of 47 points (close to seven touchdowns). That’s the highest team total on this slate, and the next highest is Arizona at 37 points. Boykin is the direct source to the highest team total on this slate, so that alone makes him a very appealing option. However, when you break down his usage and production, he separates himself from every quarterback on this slate.
As far as usage is concerned, Boykin is averaging 36 passing attempts and 11 carries per game this season. We have one more quarterback in this slate (Mike Bercovici) that might rival Boykin’s usage, but he’s nowhere near Boykin from a skill perspective and his team is only projected to score 25 points (47 percent of TCU’s team total). So far, Boykin has the edge in 1) being a part of a team that’s projected to score the most points on this slate and 2) opportunities (averaging 47 offensive touches per game). If that wasn’t enough, his skills also separate him from every other quarterback. Boykin is completing 23 of his 36 passes (64 percent) to go along with 9.7 yards per attempt and 3.5 passing touchdowns per game. He’s also averaging 5.7 yards per carry and about a rushing touchdown per game. He truly is the most direct source to TCU’s high-octane offense. We’ve ran out of ways to say the obvious; Boykin is a staple of lineups across all formats, and we’re excited to see the show that the Heisman hopeful will put on against an average defense (Iowa State is ranked 60th in overall S&P+).