Daily Fantasy Rundown – October 3 MLB DFS Picks and Analysis
Welcome to Saturday’s edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “leonem”, “dinkpiece” and “thenumbersguy”. Each day throughout the MLB season our daily MLB scouting reports will highlight the best top, value and cheap plays of the day based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games. The goal of our analysis is to help you improve consistency and become a better player long-term.
Weather: Many games being played with damp, chilly and windy conditions, miserable for baseball. We do not see high risks of ppd but the miserable weather may cause some issues. The biggest threat for a ppd is likely in CLE.
Please see Meteorologist Mark Paquette’s game by game weather forecasts below the Analysis.
If any weather situations shift drastically, we will keep you updated with lineup alerts so make sure to check your email inbox up until roster lock.
Miguel Montero (CHC)/Yan Gomes (CLE) – The catcher position isn’t deep tonight. Montero and Gomes are the only catchers that are ranked inside our top 40 hitters, and they’re both cheap around the industry. Gomes has historically hit for more power when he has the platoon edge (.176 ISO) than Montero (.141 ISO), but both are average hitters (Gomes: .337 wOBA vs. LHP/Montero: .336 wOBA vs. RHP). Montero ranks a bit ahead of Gomes in our model because it believes that Tyler Wagner is a worse pitcher than Craig Breslow. Our model just might be right, too. In two starts at the major league level, Wagner has surrendered 10 earned runs (in 7.2 IP) and he’s not striking anyone out (five percent K rate). Craig Breslow isn’t any good either (.339 wOBA/1.16 HR per 9 allowed to RHBs in the last few seasons), but Wagner has been even more terrible in a smaller sample. If they both hit in the same spot, we’ll side with our model here and say that Montero is our primary target in cash games, but we realize that Gomes is comparable if hitting fifth.