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Reality Survival Season 40 FanDuel Picks for May 6

Reality Survival Season 40 FanDuel Picks for May 6
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Spoiler Alert: Tidbits from this article were taken out of so-called season spoiler articles so do not read on if averse to that sort of information

Introduction

On Wednesday night, FanDuel will be running a freeroll for the newest episode of Survivor Season 40. The contest will be run a bit like a showdown slate with five total roster spots with one of those being an MVP spot. The MVP will be rewarded 1.5x their actual points across the board so a negative will get enhanced as well which is part of the strategy. Here is how the scoring works:

Notice that surviving the week alone results in points and the largest source of negative points comes from getting voted off. In other words, amongst the most important aspects of the scoring system is just having your cast member survive the week.

The issue with this game is there are all sorts of supposed spoilers for the show out on the internet and it is difficult to tell which (if any) are credible. People will likely be using their respective sources and the most accurate will win. Regardless, this contest is a freeroll, so it is not like there is a financial penalty to not having ample inside information. Without further ado, DailyRoto analyst Ricky Sanders attempts to identify cast members worth rostering in FanDuel’s upcoming freeroll:

This Week

Once again, FanDuel will be offering a “Reality Survival Season 40” contest this week following another complete domination by Tony last week. This phrase is getting repetitive but, for the third straight week, Tony exceeded 35 fantasy points and it was impossible to win a tournament without him in the MVP spot. Kim was voted off the island last week and the cast is down to seven on the main island. Another cast member could return from the Edge of Extinction at any point and it should be noted Boston Rob found his way into winning lineups last week. If Tony were to dominate for a fourth straight week, there is simply no way to construct a roster with him unless including a character currently on the Edge of Extinction. Since players on the Edge of Extinction possess a floor of zero fantasy points, it is a risky strategy, and debating whether or not to play Tony this week is finally a legitimate decision (despite his dominance). Without further ado, here are this week’s plays:

MVP

Sarah – The drama between Tony and Sarah continues to be front and center after Sarah called Tony’s bluff at tribal council in the last episode. Tony offered to play one of his idols for Sarah and she told him it was not necessary. While Tony may feel like he bought some positive will with the gesture, Sarah continues to see Tony for the two-face he continues to be, and his empty gesture is unlikely to sway her thinking. Yet again, Tony in the MVP spot was the proper play last week but he was over 30-percent owned as a MVP. One of these weeks, Tony is not going to accumulate the most fantasy points, and the 30-plus percent who deploy him at MVP will be drawing dead. With Sarah as the other focal point in the game currently, she continues to act as my ideal pivot off the chalk.

Castaways

Tony – This dude just does not stop. Over the course of the past two weeks, Tony has received a whopping 14 confessional interviews, and he is won immunity in three straight episodes as well. At some point, he is going to have to stop winning, as it is very unlikely he simply runs the immunity challenge table until the end. Look, Tony is a beast and worth playing, so the question is really “Can you fade him in the MVP spot?” as opposed to “Should I play him?” Boston Rob put it perfectly last week when he said “Tony is a boss” and a boss who continues to remain in the driver’s seat to win the season.

Ben Given that Jeremy is expected to be eliminated this week, and Ben felt so intensely betrayed by Jeremy last week, Ben should be a big part of this week’s episode. Strangely, Tony helped convince Ben to flip his vote last week, but that is unlikely to happen again moving forward. In order for Jeremy to get voted off, Ben is likely going to be behind the movement, and Ben is seen in multiple interviews in previews for this week. Of course, each interview is worth 1.8 fantasy points, and Ben is coming off a week in which he already had three confessionals. It seems three confessionals could be his floor this week, so long as he survives, he possesses both a solid floor and massive potential ceiling this week.

Natalie – If rostering Tony, fantasy owners will need to go out of their way to create a unique roster construction, if the goal is to have a chance to finish first. According to a hype.my spoiler article, Natalie is exposed to return from exile at some point in the near future, and rostering her will assuredly go against the grain. Last week, Boston Rob was featured in about 1.7-percent of lineups, and that is likely the case for all cast members on the Edge of Extinction again this week. Most lineups will look to target four members of the cast remaining on the main island whereas rostering Natalie will lead to uncommon roster constructions. Playing the two most expensive players on the slate should not be a popular strategy and Natalie is a player expected to make it to the final three of the entire competition. If this is the week she returns, she will be featured in the winning lineup.

Most Likely to Be Eliminated: Jeremy

Source for article: https://parade.com/972077/mikebloom/survivor-season-40/

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