September 12 CFB DFS Picks (Late Slate): Spart a Party
Welcome to Saturday’s Late Slate edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “RealestChrisKay” and “TheNumbersGuy.” Each week we break down the largest college football slates to give you the best top, value, and cheap plays based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games. The goal of our analysis is to help you improve consistency and become a better player long-term.
If there’s something you’d like to see added or have any questions, please email us at firstname.lastname@example.org.
*Format for players is: PLAYER (School at/vs. Opponent)
**Advanced statistics courtesy of Football Outsiders
Cody Kessler (USC vs. Idaho) – The Trojans have an implied team total of 55 points. You guessed it, that’s the highest team total on this slate. This is a total mismatch. The Trojans ranked 19th in Off. S&P+ in 2014 and they will only get better this season with Kessler and JuJu Smith-Schuster back, an offensive line that will finish as one of the top in the country and a healthy Tre Madden. Idaho ranked 118th in Def. S&P+ in 2014. Kessler is one of the most accurate passers in the country (70 percent completion percentage in 2014) and he’s not just throwing dink and dunk passes on the field (8.5 yards per attempt). It’s going to be tough to pay for Kessler in cash games on tight pricing sites but on a looser pricing site like DraftDay, Kessler is too easy to fit. If you want to pay up for a quarterback, Kessler represents the top option at the position this evening.
Josh Rosen (UCLA at UNLV) – Rosen set the UCLA first-year freshman quarterback record, going 28-35, 351 passing yards and three touchdowns. This was his first college football game, ever. Think about that for a second. Rosen has everyone raving right now. He was a five-star recruit coming out of high school and most expected that he would become a star- just not right away. We realize that the sample is tiny (one game) but that one game showed us a glimpse of Rosen’s bright future. Virginia did have losses in their defense this season but they ranked 19th in Def.S&P+ last season. This wasn’t exactly a cake matchup for Rosen but now he gets one. UNLV ranked 120th out of 128 possible FBS teams in Def.S&P+ in 2014 and they gave up an uncanny amount of explosive plays (ranked 124th in IsoPPP+). Rosen is only $8,000 on FanDuel, and we consider him a core play of cash games on that site relative to his skills, matchup and an asking price that’s still too low.