Sweet Sixteen CBB DFS Preview
Welcome to the Sweet Sixteen edition of DCoop328’s CBB Daily Plays. This article will break down the best plays at each price range (based on DraftKings pricing). This will be followed by price-adjusted cash game rankings showing the best 50/50 and head to head plays for today’s slate.
High Priced Studs ($7500+)
Terry Rozier III (Louisville, Guard) – When rostering Rozier you know you will get 38-40 minutes of production. Against the stout defense of Northern Iowa, Rozier put up a cool 42 Fantasy points. Rozier was basically Louisville’s entire offense racking up 25 points and seven assists thanks to his second highest offensive rating of the year (146) and a high 32 percent usage rate. Rozier gets a much easier matchup against NC State (83rd in adjust defense, Northern Iowa was 27th) where he should produce a minimum of 30 Fantasy points.
Justise Winslow (Duke, Forward) – Winslow is about as NBA ready a prospect as anyone in the NCAA. He is built like a tree and is great in all facets of the game. This is extremely conducive for Fantasy where he has the ability to rack up points, rebounds, assists, steals and even blocks. Over his last three games Winslow has averaged 11 rebounds and five assists, giving him the ability to hit value without scoring a ton of points.
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson (Arizona, Forward) – The defensive prodigy has produced extremely similar numbers to Winslow at an $800 discounted price. If you can fit them both in, go for it. Hollis-Jefferson has averaged 10 rebounds and three assists over his last four games, giving him the ability to hit value just with his peripherals. He also has the ability to 5x or 6x his value if he has a nice scoring night.
Mid-Priced Plays ($6000-$7500)
Dee Davis (Xavier, Guard) – Dee has been Xavier’s most consistent Fantasy performer all season, averaging 38 minutes per game in Big East play. He has averaged 15 points per game over his last three games and has a 33.7 assist rate (31st in the nation). His great offensive numbers make him almost a lock to hit value.
JP Tokoto (North Carolina, Guard) – JP gets a matchup against his high school teammates from Wisconsin, Sam Dekker and Bronson Koenig. Tokoto is another one of those players who racks up peripheral stats, including seven rebounds per game and six assist per game over his last six games. He should also see an increased scoring role with star forward Kennedy Meeks doubtful for the game.
Zach Auguste (Notre Dame, Forward) – Auguste is really Notre Dame’s only inside presence. This leads to a nice 19.9-rebound rate including an uptick in rebounding recently at 10 per game. He gets a nice matchup against an undersized Wichita State team where he should dominate inside and on the glass.
Low Priced Values ($3000-$6000)
Tekele Cotton (Wichita State, Guard) – This is now the third time I have written up Tekele during this tournament. He continues to be underpriced on DraftKings for some reason even though he has consistently put up between 18-28 Fantasy points every single game.
Justin Jackson (North Carolina, Guard) – The McDonald’s All American has gotten better down the stretch, increasing his scoring it seems each game (usage rates of 24 and 29 past two games, which easily trump his seasonal usage rate of 19.7). Of recent Jackson has also been incredibly consistent, putting up 21 Fantasy points in his first two tournament games. Jackson will also get an increased role due to the Kennedy Meeks injury.
Willie Cauley-Stein (Kentucky, Forward) – Cauley-Stein is an absolute STUD. He is extremely proficient in every category and gives you the upside of an $8000 player. He makes a great GPP play and an above average cash play.
Tyler Ulis (Kentucky, Guard) – Ulis is today’s super cheap play of the day. He comes off the bench for the Wildcats, which scares a lot of people off of him. But he actually plays some of the most minutes on the entire roster (leads the team in minutes at the shooting guard spot). He has actually hit 5x value five games in a row, making him a safe cash game play. He also allows you to roster one of the studs from above, such as Terry Rozier.
*Statistics courtesy of Kenpom.com
DraftKings Price Adjusted Cash Game Rankings
- Zack Auguste
- Rondae Hollis-Jefferson
- Willie Cauley-Stein
- Domantas Sabonis
- JP Tokoto
- Justise Winslow
- Tony Parker
- Sam Dekker
- Brice Johnson
- Frank Kaminsky
- Terry Rozier III
- Dee Davis
- Tyler Ulis
- Justin Jackson
- Tekele Cotton
- Fred VanFleet
- Jordan Woodard
- Quentin Snider
- Gary Bell Jr.
- Kevin Pangos