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The Fifth Quarter

The Fifth Quarter
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This past week was pretty unbelievable and although there’s no way week seven can compete with it, it’ll still be a good one. Number two and number three play each other! That’s a good start. Let’s look at last week’s action though to predict the future.

Taysom Hill is out for the season. This is good news for Jamaal Williams, but not that great of news. While Hill benefitted huge from Williams being out in week one, it won’t be the same with Hill being out for Williams. It of course allows Williams to get more goal line carries and likely more carries in general. It does not keep this offense as dynamic and explosive. BYU will struggle on offense with Christian Stewart under center.

Greg Ward Jr. is the new QB for Houston. Some people might be shocked by the move to bench John O’Korn, but not I. O’Korn was about as consistent as lottery numbers. Ward Jr. isn’t the best passer (11 of 20 for 124 yards last week), but does have wheels. If his price is low AND he’s listed on sites as a WR still then I think you have to roster him. With Ward Jr. playing QB, he has big potential especially in the rushing department. Memphis and future opponents aren’t necessarily great matchups, but when a guy is going to touch the ball every snap and won’t have his price account for it then you must try to take advantage a little bit.

Reilly O’Toole is now the starter in Champagne. Wes Lunt is hurt for a month or two, so it’s time for O’Toole to get back under center. He has seen significant time in the last two games and hasn’t impressed. He was 26 for 52 with one TD and four INTs in that game. He’s not a running threat, so that should mean good things for Josh Ferguson. He has his most carries in 2014 in this past game and also caught ten passes. Ferguson should continue to see a heavier load seeing 20 or so touches per game.

Temper your Tevin Coleman expectations. As much as I love Coleman, it’s tough to pay up for his price at this point. D’Angelo Roberts continues to get a good amount of carries. He has three straight games of 14+ carries and has four of five games with that many carries or more. He struggled two and three games ago when it comes to yardage, but did very well against North Texas this past week. He had a 7.3-yard per carry average and had two TDs. Now, I don’t think Roberts can be safely called upon in DFS play due to upcoming schedule, but Coleman should most definitely see his performances not warrant his DFS price.

If Rashad Greene is out for a while I want Jesus Wilson. Wilson has picked it up lately and should see significantly more targets this week and in future weeks if Greene is out. He has caught four passes or more in three straight games and has three TDs in his last four games. While Travis Rudolph also had four catches last game with a TD, he has only recorded a stat in two of the five FSU games in 2014. Dalvin Cook could be a viable option, but his yards per catch numbers have been weak in 2014 with zero games of double digit yards per catch compared to Wilson’s four. My money is on Wilson.

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