This week’s edition of The Fifth Quarter focuses on a few player and defenses to target. One of the most important things to look at in DFS is what defense is vulnerable to what. So, with this week’s edition I have pointed out the terrible passing and rushing defenses for you. Also, I discuss how amazing Amari Cooper is and why it won’t stop. Get to reading folks!
Amari Cooper is the best DFS WR in college football. And honestly, it doesn’t even seem close. He’s the elite option on Alabama and with a struggling run game, tens of targets head Cooper’s way each game. Blake Sims consistently looks to Cooper and with good reason: he’s always open! Cooper has pretty much totaled his 2013 stats in just four games. 43 catches, 655 yards, and 5 TDs equates to about 11 catches, 165 yards and one TD per game for him. What’s even more encouraging about Cooper is that if Florida’s defensive backs can’t stop him then I don’t think anyone else can.
Samaje Perine just made Keith Ford owners very scared. Not only did Perine run for four TDs and 242 yards, but he did it on 34 of 46 rushes. Alex Ross did well, but only on eight carries. In my rankings last week, I projected Perine to get the majority of the carries and do great with it, but I could have never imagined this kind of performance. The Sooners offense looks great and Perine’s huge 5’11, 240lb frame fits in well. They have an off week, but they face a very good TCU defense the week after that. If Perine can continue to impress, he could be in for huge games against Texas, Iowa State, Texas Tech, and Kansas.
Gunner Kiel is more than just a great name. Kiel is a passing machine. Sure, his matchups against Toledo and Miami (OH) haven’t been great, but he’s just looked so great doing it. On the season he has thrown for just under 700 yards and 10 TDs. The Bearcats love to pass and it’s evident with him averaging 38 attempts a game. Pay attention to this man’s price because he has some very good matchups ahead of him. Obviously against SMU you have to consider him, but Connecticut also poses a great matchup. Their recent game against South Florida in a monsoon has their passing numbers skewed. Other than those two games, Memphis is a team that UCLA torched for 3 TDs and almost 400 yards through the air earlier this season.
Only eight teams have given up 10 or more passing TDs. Fresno State (16) and Toledo (15) are clear teams to target through the air, but don’t forget about Georgia State (12), Rice (11), Washington (11), Army (11), Southern Miss (10), and Miami Ohio (10). Fresno State continues to struggle giving up 300+ yards and two TDs to FCS team, Southern Utah. They haven’t given up less than four passing TDs to FBS teams yet. Georgia State made running threat Cyler Miles look good as he had three passing TDs to go along with a 70% passing percentage. That makes three of four weeks allowing 70% or better.
Only six teams have given up 10 or more rushing TDs and six yards per carry or better. These six teams are Florida Atlantic (11/6.08), Troy (14/6.10), San Jose State (10/6.11), New Mexico State (12/6.14), Bowling Green (16/6.48), and New Mexico (12/6.77). Bowling Green has gotten obliterated by the run in two straight weeks getting torn up by Tevin Coleman and Melving Gordon. In those two weeks, BGSU gave up 13 TDs and just under 900 rushing yards. San Jose State has been beaten up recently as well giving up nine TDs in their only two games against FBS opponents (Auburn and Minnesota).