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UFC 193 MMA DFS Picks

UFC 193 MMA DFS Picks
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UFC 193 MMA DFS Picks

The UFC heads down to Etihad Stadium in Melbourne, Australia, and the card will always get plenty of attention when Ronda Rousey is fighting. She puts her unblemished record on the line against the equally unbeaten Holly Holm, a.k.a. The Preacher’s Daughter, in the main event.

Rowdy’s bout isn’t the only good match on the card. This is an amazingly deep event, with the Joanna Jedrzejczyk-Valerie Letourneau match also worth a look-see. The heavyweight tussle between Antonio Silva and Mark Hunt could be a great brawl, too, while the middleweight bout between Uriah Hall and Robert Whittaker will surely have plenty of fireworks. If that’s not enough for you, the heavyweight fight between Stefan Struve and Jared Rosholt is sure to be a war, too. It’s an amazing card from top to bottom, and there are only a few potential lopsided bouts.

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(Kountermove.com salaries in parentheses) (all times ET).

ABSOLUTE MUST-HAVES

Joanna Jedrzejczyk ($6,100 vs. Valerie Letourneau): The Polish-born Jedrzejczyk has burst onto the UFC scene with a couple of impressive wins, including knockouts in the previous two. She made quick work of Carla Esparza at UFC 185 to win the women’s strawweight title, and defended the belt with a third-round downing of Jessica Penne. After a loss to Claudia Gadelha at Wreck MMA: Road to Glory back on April 20, 2012, Letourneau positioned herself for a title shot with four straight victories, although each of the past three have went to the judges. She’ll need to be more quick and decisive if ‘Trouble’ hopes to stop the Polish whirling dervish.

Ronda Rousey ($6,000 vs. Holly Holm): Is this finally the Rowdy fight which at least lasts until the second round? Each of her past four bouts haven’t lasted longer than 66 seconds. In fact, each of the past four bouts have totaled just 130 seconds. Holm enters this bout with a 9-0 record, but her wins haven’t been nearly as flawless as Rousey. In fact, three of her past four bouts have gone to the judges, including each of her two UFC matches, one a split decision over Raquel Pennington at UFC 184. Holm isn’t likely ready for the buzzsaw that is Rousey, and this one should end rather quickly for the Preacher’s Daughter.

You’ll likely need to pick between Rousey and Jedrzejczyk, as you won’t be able to afford both. Rousey is definitely the better DFS option based on her ability to finish early and often.

PLENTY OF UPSIDE

Jake Matthews ($5,400 vs. Akbarh Arreola): The Aussie Matthews, a.k.a. The Celtic Kid, will have the home folks behind him in this bout against the Mexican Arreola. Matthews, a heavy favorite (-1000), should be able to finish ‘El Caballero’ rather quickly. Arreola enters with losses in two of his past three bouts, and he won’t fare well against Matthews, who is a strong wrestler who also possesses a devastating right hand. If Matthews can get Arreola to the ground it is only a matter of time before he gets the submission win. Don’t expect this to last longer than the middle of the second round.

Kyle Noke ($4,700 vs. Peter Sobotta): Noke is a slight underdog (+145) against the German Sobotta, but I give the Aussie a puncher’s chance in front of the home crowd. Sobotta hasn’t tasted defeat since 2010, including two wins since making his UFC debut, and he is a solid grappler. However, he will need to be on the lookout for Noke’s iron fists, as he can go toe-to-toe with most anyone. If Noke can remain upright and get Sobotta to box, he could pull the mild upset. If Sobotta gets him to the mat, this could go south in a hurry. Still, Noke has some upside and his inclusion will help you include one of the top-tier fighters.

DEEP SLEEPERS

James Moontasri ($4,500 vs. Anton Zafor): Zafir, a former high school teacher, makes his UFC debut and it might be ugly against Moontasri, a tremendous technical fighter who also has dynamic kicking ability. Zafir wants to keep Moontasri close to neutralize those kicks and use him boxing ability, but Moontasri isn’t an amateur and he’ll be well prepared. If he can keep Zafir at length and use his kicks. He’ll win. If he can get Zafir down on the mat and/or up against the fence. He’ll win. The only way Zafir pulls the stunner is getting Moontasri in close to use his hands and uppercut to work him over. Don’t expect that to happen.

Jared Rosholt ($4,600 vs. Stefan Struve): Sometimes when selecting a lineup in MMA, you just have to go with your gut. And working at home, and overnight, I’ve built up quite the gut. But anyway. I am just not feeling Struve. He is so gangly, standing at 7-feet tall. He is very powerful, but Rosholt is 5-1 in the UFC and I expect to see him stay upright and tenderize the taller competitor with a series of up-close punches. If Struve gets him on the ground, he’ll wrap around Rosholt like a serpent trying to choke the life out of the rounder fighter. If he can avoid the mat, Rosholt (+105) has a better than average chance to pull off the mild upset.

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