UFC 201 MMA DFS Picks
UFC 201 heads to Philips Arena in Atlanta, Ga., and the main event features ‘Ruthless’ Robbie Lawler ($10,600) squaring off against Tyron Woodley ($9,000) for the welterweight belt. The general public has been fading Lawler at the betting window despite the fact he enters the octagon on a five-bout win streak.
The UFC 201 card is a bit underwhelming, but that doesn’t mean it is devoid of any exciting bouts. The women’s strawweight battle between Rose Namajunas ($10,800) and unbeaten Karolina Kowalkiewicz ($8,600) will be an exciting bout. Veteran Jake Ellenberger ($8,500) steps into the octagon to take on Matt Brown ($10,900) in what is expected to be a lopsided bout, but Ellenberger can surprise when you expect it least. The light heavyweight fight featuring Nikita Krylov ($10,200) and Ed Herman ($9,200) will also be a knock-down, drag-out fight.
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Nikita Krylov ($10,200 vs. Ed Herman): Krylov enters the octagon with a 20-4 record, and he has been a submission machine over his career. He is a very accurate striker, and he is an above-average grappler. All 20 of his victories have come via submission or knockout, and UFC 201 will be no different. ‘Short Fuse’ Herman has alternated wins and losses in each of his past seven bouts, with three of his past four losses coming via KO/TKO or submission.
Jorge Masvidal ($10,700 vs. Ross Pearson): Masvidal limps in on a two-bout loss streak, dropping a pair of split decisions. He has been unlucky when it has gone to the judges card. You can be sure Masvidal will not allow that to happen again, and a spirited effort will be coming. Pearson steps in on short notice after Siyar Bahadurzada (illness) was forced to bow out. Pearson is a Jeckyl and Hyde fighter, splitting his past eight bouts, although he has yet to lose back-to-back fights in his career. That changes Saturday night as Masvidal gets back on track. He is averaging 3.86 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 46.3 percent.
Anthony Hamilton ($9,400 vs. Damian Grabowski): Hamilton is a moderate favorite (-155) despite the fact he has alternated wins and losses in each of his past four bouts. Still, there is value here based on the fact Grabowski is in the same boat alternative wins and losses over his past four. Hamilton is a punch machine, landing 4.53 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 73.1. He has never lost back-to-back bouts, and it won’t happen here as long as he can keep Grabowski from getting him down to the mat.
Erik Perez ($9,700 vs. Francisco Rivera): Perez is a solid favorite (-170) and gaining traction at the window. If he is to be successful in this bout it will be via submission. He is averaging 3.48 takes downs with an accuracy of 60.8 percent. ‘El Goyito’ is an above-average wrestler who will want to get Rivera down on the mat or against the fence. Rivera isn’t great on the canvas, and will want to stay upright and deliver his deafening blows. He is averaging 4.14 significant strikes per minute. However, as long as Perez avoid going toe-to-toe, he’ll be in good shape. Perez has never been knocked out in his career.
Fredy Serrano ($9,900 vs. Ryan Benoit): ‘Bam Bam’ Serrano looks to rain blows upon ‘Baby Face’ Benoit in a 125-pound bout. Benoit is stepping in on short notice in place of the injured Ray Borg, and it’s hard to get excited about him. The experienced Serrano is 10 years older than Benoit, but don’t let that dissuade you. He has plenty left in the tank, and he is strong on his feet as well as down on the mat. Vegas has this bout as a coin flip, but Serrano’s experience will carry him through. Look for a knockout by the Colombian before Round 2 comes to a conclusion.