UFC Fight Night 63 Mixed Martial Arts DFS picks
UFC Fight Night 63 comes from the Patriot Center at George Mason University in Fairfax, Va., the first of four major cards in the next four weekends. The card is highlighted by a featherweight main event between Chad Mendes and Ricardo Lamas.
(Kountermove.com salaries in parentheses) (all times ET).
Shamil Abdurahimov ($5,400 vs. Timothy Johnson): Abdurahimov (-285) is the second largest favorite on the board Saturday, although that didn’t amount to much at UFC Fight Night 62. The 33-year-old Abdurahimov is a solid bet, as he comes in on a three-bout win streak. This is his first real crack at the big time, and he should be able to take care of business against Johnson, who is also stepping up in class for the first time.
Michael Chiesa ($5,200 vs. Mitch Clarke): Chiesa and Clarke each enter this bout 11-2, but only one can claim their 12th victory. That fighter will be Chiesa, who is a huge favorite (-400). ‘Maverick’ has suffered a loss last time out at UFC Fight Night 50 due to a TKO – Doctor’s Stoppage in his bout with Joe Lauzon after he suffered a significant gash above the right eye. He is fully healed now and ready to get back on track. Clarke, nicknamed ‘Danger Zone’, dumped Al Iaquinta at UFC 173 with a submission (D’Arce Choke), but finds himself still battling for respect. Seven of his 11 victories have come by submission, so Chiesa will have to avoid getting himself in trouble on the ground. If he can do that and remain upright for most of the fight, he has the tools to wear down Clarke.
PLENTY OF UPSIDE
Al Iaquinta ($4,900 vs. Jorge Masvidal): You might remember Iaquinta from UFC 183 when he won in the second round by KO/TKO against Joe Lauzon for a third straight victory. He has won six of his past seven matches, and enters this one as a short dog. That makes him a tremendous value against Masvidal, who has had 12 of his past 13 bouts go to decision.
Gray Maynard ($4,800 vs. Alexander Yakovlev): ‘The Bully’ enters this match as a slight underdog thanks to a three-bout losing streak, and a 1-4-1 stretch over his past six outings. It’s do or die for Maynard in this match, as his career is at a crossroads. Expect to get Maynard’s best as he fights with desperation.
Lauren Murphy ($4,700 vs. Liz Carmouche): Murphy enters this bout as an underdog, but with an 8-1 record she will be a formidable opponent for the favorite Carmouche. Murphy is coming off her first career setback at UFC Fight Night 47, but a loss to Sara McMann is certainly nothing to hang her head about. A setback Saturday would be a tough blow, but the Jiu-Jitsu fighter has plenty of upside and comes in with a very reasonable salary. She is low risk and possibly a high reward.