UFC Fight Night 68 MMA DFS picks
UFC Fight Night 68 from the Smoothie King Center in New Orleans, La. with Tim Boetsch and Dan Henderson highlighting the card. That isn’t the only battle on the card which looks intriguing, however. The featherweight bout between Thiago Tavares and unbeaten Brian Ortega is one to look forward to, as is the bantamweight tussle between Joe Soto and Anthony Birchak. In fact, Vegas has several of these bouts handicapped close to toss-ups, so it could be a very entertaining night in the octagon.
(Kountermove.com salaries in parentheses) (all times ET).
Matt Mitrione ($5,200 vs. Ben Rothwell): The heavyweight Mitrione (-195) is heavily favored to take down Rothwell. Lately he has been making quick work of everyone, turning in three consecutive Round 1 KO/TKO’s, including a 41-second knockout of Derrick Lewis at UFC Fight Night 50. Mitrione is 36 years, so a little long in the tooth, but ‘Meathead’ will still have plenty for Rockwell, a fighter who has dropped four of his past nine bouts. Two of those setbacks came via the knockout, so Mitrione will be going for the jugular early.
Joe Proctor ($5,100 vs. Justin Edwards): Proctor looks to get untracked after a setback at The Ultimate Fighter 20 Finale against Yancy Medeiros, a stunning loss by guillotine choke in Round 1. Proctor should be able to take care of business against Edwards, who has been dumped in four of his past six matches. Edwards, nicknamed ‘Fast Eddy’, has lost each of his past two UFC Fight Night appearances, and it is now or never for him. Proctor has a very favorable matchup, and the wise guys love him at -220, the second-highest favorite on the big board.
PLENTY OF UPSIDE
Ricardo Abreu ($4,800 vs. Jake Collier): On the surface, based upon DFS salaries, this bout appears to be a coin flip. However, Vegas is clearly backing Abreu (-195), who is 5-0 in his early MMA career. ‘Demente’ won at UFC-TUF Brazil 3 Finale with a rear-naked choke of Wagner Silva in Round 2, and none of his five career MMA bouts have lasted longer than 4:06. In fact, his first four matches lasted 1:01 or less. He is a solid grappler, but he also has a rock-hard punch that Collier will need to be well aware about. This one could end quickly if Abreu follows the road map which got him here.
Joe Soto ($4,800 vs. Anthony Birchak): Soto is another one of those fighters available in DFS who appears to be headed for a coin-flip bout but is actually a heavy favorite (-200). Soto was dumped by KO/TKO in the fifth round at UFC 177 against TJ Dillashaw, certainly nothing to be ashamed about. Previously he had won six bouts in a row, including three by rear-naked choke and one by guillotine. The bantamweight is strong on the ground, and he will attempt to get Birchak down early and often. If so, this one might not last long.
Brian Ebersole ($4,400 vs. Omari Akhmedov): If you’re looking for a deep sleeper, look no further than Ebersole. The veteran is a short dog against Akhmedov, but he has the experience and the toughness to turn this around on the favorite. Ebersole has won 12 of his past 14 bouts, and he can be dangerous if he can get Akhmedov on the ground. In 51 career wins, 19 have come via submission. Your best bet at an upset is Ebersole and his solid ground game.