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UFC Fight Night 71 MMA DFS Picks

UFC Fight Night 71 MMA DFS Picks
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UFC Fight Night 71 MMA DFS picks

With no Major League Baseball due to the All-Star break, UFC has a special mid-week card from San Diego, Calif.

UFC Fight Night 71 from Valley View Casino Center features a main event with Todd Duffee and Frank Mir, a clash of heavyweight titans. The women’s bantamweight battle between Holly Holm and Marion Reneau is also a battle to look forward to, as is the bout between Alan Jouban and Matt Dwyer.

Enjoy the rare mid-week card!

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(Kountermove.com salaries in parentheses) (all times ET).

ABSOLUTE MUST-HAVES

Lyman Good ($5,200 vs. Andrew Craig): ‘Cyborg’ checks into this battle with three straight first-round victories in Cage Fury Fighting Championships, but now he steps up to the big time. His past two wins have come via rear-naked choke, although he is known more for his striking than his ground game. Craig has dropped two straight bouts, and three of his past four. He is a little more experienced than Cyborg, but he is not nearly the puncher. Craig’s only hope is to get Good on the ground early and often. If not, Cyborg will come away with his first UFC victory.

Alan Jouban ($5,300 vs. Matt Dwyer): The last time we saw Jouban at UFC 184 he was awfully impressive in a first-round KO/TKO against Richard Walsh. It makes his unanimous decision loss at UFC Fight Night 56 against Warlley Alves a distant memory. Jouban is a big-time striker who will need to avoid the iron fists of Dwyer. If Jouban can avoid the big punch, he is the more gifted fighter. He’ll make quick work of Jouban. The chances of this battle going the distance are slim to none, and Jouban (and Dwyer, for that matter) will roll up many DFS points with significant strikes lands (.25 points each).

PLENTY OF UPSIDE

Manvel Gamburyan ($4,900 vs. Scott Jorgensen): Gamburyan is a slight favorite, and Manvel ‘The Anvil’ looks to stay on track after his guillotine choke win against Cody Gibson last time out at UFC 178. This battle should be a slugfest, although Gamburyan’s best chance to win comes on the ground. DFS players should rack up plenty of points (two points each) with takedowns. This one might not end quickly, which is what DFS owners likely to see, but a win in the third round will garner 50 points, and he’ll post enough takedowns to manage a healthy DFS point total.

Holly Holm ($5,000 vs. Marion Reneau): ‘The Preacher’s Daughter’ made her debut at UFC 184 with a split-decision win against Raquel Pennington in a hard-hitting affair. The 33-year-old remained perfect in her career, although the Pennington match wasn’t exactly domination. Hopefully she made the adjustments to turn in a much better effort. Reneau took down Jessica Andrade last time out, so Holm will need to be on point. She has tremendous technique, and that masks her lack of power. Holm will use her striking to tenderize Reneau and tire her out by Round 3. This one might go to the judge’s card, but it should end well for Holm.

DEEP SLEEPERS

Marion Reneau ($4,600 vs. Holly Holm): Normally I am not a big fan of taking two fighters from the same bout, but I think Reneau can total plenty of DFS points win or lose. She stunned Jessica Andrade last time out, and could easily take down Holm who lacks strength to overpower. Reneau is not as superior technique-wise, but she is the more powerful fighter coming in with more momentum. Reneau is a moderate underdog (+180) according to Vegas, but she faced even longer odds against Andrade and got the job done.

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