UFC Fight Night 92 MMA DFS Picks
The UFC moves to Vivint Smart Home Arena in Salt Lake City, Utah for Fight Night 92. The main event features a featherweight battle between veteran Alex Caceres and up-and-comer Yair Rodriguez. The card doesn’t have a ton of great bouts, although the welterweight fight between Zak Cummings and Santiago Ponzinibbio should be a good one. The middleweight bout between Chris Camozzi and Thales Leites, two UFC veterans, will also be worth the watch. Featherweight Cub Swanson is also on the card, as he takes on Tatsuya Kawajiri, and the welterweight fight between Court McGee and Dominique Steele should be action-packed as well.
It was a pretty fruitful UFC 201 in the last event, so let’s keep it rolling. The lineup of five fighters below fits under the $50,000 DraftKings salary cap and I feel very strongly about it.
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Dennis Bermudez ($10,400 vs. Rony Jason): Dennis ‘The Menace’ stopped a two-fight losing streak with a unanimous decision win over Tatsuya Kawajiri last time out in UFC Fight Night Pittsburgh Feb. 21. Bermudez (-240) is a moderate favorite to keep it rolling against Jason in the co-main event. Jason is the fighter who had his win at UFC Fight Night 67 overturned after testing positive for a banned diuretic in a tough UFC debut. Bermudez is a top-notch wrestler and former college champion, and he will have more than enough for a rusty Jason, who is coming off a nine-month suspension. If Bermudez can get Jason on the mat, look for a win via submission/guillotine.
Yair Rodriguez ($10,400 vs. Alex Caceres): Rodriguez, a.k.a. ‘El Pantera’, enters on a six-fight win streak, including all four of his bouts in the UFC. He is coming off a second-round KO/TKO of Andre Fili at UFC 197, dropping him with a flying head kick, perhaps the most impressive fight of his career as a professional. He is averaging 3.2 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy near 50 percent while average just over two takedowns per bout. On the flip side, Caceres has won just 12 of his 20 fights as a pro, including 3-3 over his past six outings. If Rodriguez is to have any trouble it would be if Caceres gets him down to the mat early and often. Rodriguez needs more of a toe-to-toe bout.
Cub Swanson ($10,300 vs. Tatsuya Kawajiri): Swanson is coming off an impressive unanimous decision victory over Hacran Dias at UFC Fight Night April, putting an end to a two-bout losing skid. However, he lost to Frankie Edgar and Max Holloway, so there is no shame in that. He enters this bout as the biggest favorite (-400) on the card, and he’ll look to drop Kawajiri with a KO/TKO. Swanson has only had four of his 10 UFC fights go to the judges, so you can expect a quick ending in his favor.
Joseph Gigliotti ($9,300 vs. Trevor Smith): Gigliotti makes his UFC debut, and he is listed as a slight favorite (-130) over Smith. Gigliotti gives away four inches in height to Smith, but the 22-year-old has 13 years of youth on the veteran. Smith enters this bout just 3-4 over his past seven outings, including 2-3 in his past five UFC bouts. Gigliotti is 7-0, winning four bouts via submission and three by TKO. On the flip side, Smith is susceptible to the big punch, with three losses via KO/TKO over his past nine bouts and one setback by guillotine choke. If Gigliotti gets Smith to the canvas it’s over, but it could also be a win via knockout. The younger fighter is the way to go here, and as a No. 5 fighter on your DFS roster he is a steal at this price level.
Santiago Ponzinibbio ($9,400 vs. Zak Cummings): The Argentinian, known as ‘Gente Boa’, has won 22 of his 25 fights as a professional. After a setback by KO/TKO to Lorenz Larkin at UFC Fight Night June 27, 2015, Ponzinibbio has recorded a pair of first-round KO/TKO wins against Andreas Stahl and Court McGee. Only four of his 25 fights have ended up going to the judges, as he has a flare for the dramatic. He can win via submission, especially the guillotine, but most of his victories come with the kill shot on his feet or in a top position bludgeoning his opponent mercilessly. Six wins have been via TKO (punches). The wise guys are dropping money on Ponzinibbio (-150), and you should, too.