UFC on FOX 15 Mixed Martial Arts DFS picks
It’s time for UFC on FOX 15 from Prudential Center in Newark, N.J., and this is an impressive card. The main event features Lyoto Machida against Luke Rockhold, and will be highly entertaining. However, the featherweight battle between Max Holloway–Cub Swanson, lightweight tussle between Beneil Dariush–Jim Miller and the light heavyweight duel featuring Patrick Cummins–Ovince Saint Preux are all solid bouts leading up to the main event.
I am super excited about the lineup of five fighters below, too. Based on Vegas lines and past history, I feel very good that not only will these fighters at least go 4-1, but three will post KO/TKOs and at least 80 Fantasy points.
(Kountermove.com salaries in parentheses) (all times ET).
Eddie Gordon ($5,400 vs. Chris Dempsey): ‘Truck’ looks to regroup after a loss to Josh Samman at UFC 181, a shocking second-round KO/TKO back in December. According to sportsbook,ag Gordon is an overwhelming favorite (-550) against Dempsey, who is also coming off a KO/TKO loss in Round 1 to Ilir Latifi at UFC Fight Night 46. Dempsey has just one UFC fight under his belt, and this one will end like the last. Look for Gordon to end Dempsey’s night by knockout by the end of Round 2.
Ronaldo Souza ($5,400 vs. Chris Camozzi): Souza is the biggest chalk on the board, as ‘Jacare’ enters as a -2500 favorite. If you’re unfamiliar with betting, you must risk $2500 just to win $100. That’s how confident Vegas is that Souza will make quick work of Camozzi. Souza has won seven straight bouts with only one going the distance. He is unbeaten in UFC in his career, including a win over Camozzi in the first round by submission (arm triangle) at UFC on FOX 8 back on May 18, 2013. Look for similar results.
PLENTY OF UPSIDE
Corey Anderson ($5,000 vs. Gian Villante):Anderson puts his unblemished record on the line against Villante in a light heavyweight battle. Anderson has won three of his bouts by KO/TKO in Round 1, so Villante will have to look out for the power punch and quick ending. Villante has lost five of his past 11 bouts, and the Bellmore Kickboxing member won’t be able to hang a loss on Anderson this weekend.
Patrick Cummins ($4,500 vs. Ovince Saint Preux): Cummins is a slight favorite (-130) over the UFC veteran Saint Preux. Cummins has ripped off three straight victories since his only career setback against Daniel Cormier at UFC 170. The southpaw Saint Preux barely broke a sweat last time out at UFC Fight Night 56 with a 34-second KO/TKO win over Mauricio Rua, but he has two losses in his past eight bouts. This one could go either way, but Cummins is a strong value and you will need a low-end salary fighter to afford the top-end guys.
Aljamain Sterling ($4,700 vs. Takeya Mizugaki): Sterling is an amazing value at this price level considering he is a perfect 10-0 over his career with three of his past five bouts ending by submission (rear naked choke). This bout opened with Sterling as a slight favorite, but he is up to -350. The wise guys expect Sterling to get it done, and in rather quick fashion. Based on his fight history, and that of Mizugaki, Sterling is a great value at this DFS price.