Week 2 EPL DFS Picks: On the Spur of the Moment
Hello everyone. Changes have been made at DraftKings once again! The change looked minor at first, but it has huge consequences – some players have been given multi-position eligibility, mostly a ton of wingers who are now both midfielder and forward eligible. At first, I thought this would cause lower ownership percentages across the board as people now simply had more choices, but after thinking about it, I think there will be a lot of cash options who are absolute must plays now.
I think this will make cash game play a bit more predictable, from both an ownership and scoring standpoint. The cash strategy remains to target repeatable stats like crosses and shots, and that means playing those M/F guys at the forward slot. The one that stands out this week is Kevin Mirallas – more on him later. What this does open up is a huge opportunity for playing low-floor strikers in GPPs at low percentages. This will certainly bring down the ownership of players like Diego Costa, Harry Kane, and Jamie Vardy, but they still carry big upsides and are GPP viable on most slates. Let’s get to this week’s picks.
Lukasz Fabianski ($5,000) – Goalkeeper is tough this weekend but with so much attacking power, I rather save $500 from Vorm and utilize Fabianski against the poor Hull City. Hull City scored twice in week one but aren’t close to being as good as they seemed and struggle on the road. Fabianki is cash playable.
GPP Targets: Maarten Stekelenburg, Ben Foster, Thibaut Courtois
The Top Choice – Danny Rose ($5,700) – Rose is expensive but faces a weak Crystal Palace team and will once again support the Spurs’ attack heavily. Rose is by far the best defensive fantasy option and I prefer him to Vorm as he is safe to produce even if he doesn’t earn a clean sheet. Rose touched the ball 120 times in the last match, the most of any Spur, and that gives him a variety of ways of contributing – not just crosses. He has both a high floor and upside, and the only downside to using him is that he’s taking away valuable cash for playing expensive midfielders.
Cash Target – Kyle Naughton ($3,500) – Naughton was great in week one, putting in four crosses, four tackles won, and four interceptions. He was involved in the attack and should be even more involved at home against Hull. In a slate with an extremely high amount of top midfielder options, Naughton is a prime cash target at just $3,500. If strapped for cash, Stephen Kingsley is also a great DFS option at just $3,100, but we trust Naughton more.
Top Play – Christian Eriksen ($9,200) – Eriksen played fairly well in Tottenham’s first match of the season but now faces easier opposition, and at home. He is on corner kicks and I expect Spurs to win more of them than they did last match. To put how involved he was into perspective, Eriksen had 47 final third touches in Spurs’ last match, with Dele Alli coming in second at 37. That shows just how involved he is and a home match against Crystal Palace gives him huge upside.
Cash Game Stud – Gylfi Sigurdsson ($8,700) – Sigurdsson was fit enough to play 30 minutes in the season opener and now has a full week to prepare for Hull City. Despite Hull winning against Leicester in week one, they weren’t really that great. I expect them to be one of the worst teams in the league this year, and I expect us to stream players against them all season long. Gylfi will certainly be on free-kicks, corners, and penalties and that boost his value big time. I also expect Swansea to have a large percentage of the possession, which could mean a lot of crosses into the Hull box. Use him before his price skyrockets even more. (FYI, affording Eriksen and Sigurdsson in the same lineup is very doable.)
Cheaper Option – Andros Townsend ($6,700) – Townsend has a fairly decent floor, but what is more important here is that he has a really high ceiling and likely a really high ownership. High ownership and high ceiling makes someone tough to fade in cash games, and even if you’re just blocking, it might be smart to roster Townsend this weekend.
GPP Targets: Erik Lamela, Eden Hazard, Willian,
David Jones(No longer with club), Riyad Mahrez
The Top Choice – Alexis Sanchez ($9,100) – Sanchez wasn’t every effective despite Arsenal’s three goals in their opening match, but he is a world class talent and gets to face a weak Leicester defense this week. Sanchez is a bit risky to use in cash, especially with the likes of Gylfi and Eriksen available to spend on, but he is worthy of at least consideration and is an easy GPP play.
The Popular Choice – Kevin Mirallas ($4,800) – Mirallas was on corners and finished on 12 points last week. He put in a comfortable seven crosses and two shots on target and was involved in Everton’s attack. The problem with him is that he is very like to play 60 minutes this week, with someone like Bolasie coming off the bench for him. Despite that, he should be extremely highly owned and with his high ceiling, should be considered in cash games. In GPPs, don’t be afraid to fade Mirallas.
GPP Target – Jamie Vardy ($9,400) – Vardy missed a few sitters in Leicester City’s first match – one where Leicester City took 18 shots but only managed one goal, which came from the penalty spot. Although Leicester looked relatively poor, once could argue Hull City were really defensive in this match and took away Leicester’s top strength – the counter attack. Next up for Leicester is Arsenal, who should spend a lot more time attacking than Hull did and will definitely be exposed. Arsenal’s defense was extremely poor against Liverpool in the opening weekend and they are missing key pieces through injury. Don’t expect Vardy to miss sitters again – play him in GPP. As a cheaper option, you can try Ahmed Musa.
GPP Targets: Diego Costa, Andre Gray, Fernando Llorente