We have an extremely stacked slate in the Premier League this weekend and I’m super excited to cover it with my week 6 EPL DFS picks. Just a word of advice before we get started: this week is extremely variant and looks to be set for a ton of goals. That means cash games will be really risky and I’d recommend going a bit easier on the cash games this weekend due to the variance. But let’s get going!
A Risky Start – Jordan Pickford ($4,800) – Pickford is $1200 cheaper than this week’s top play – Simon Mignolet, but on a slate like this, the risk is worth it. Mignolet provides little in terms of saves and you are counting on his 10 points for a win + CS. If he concedes, he can easily be left on 3 pts at $6,000. Pickford, on the other end, will likely be attacked quite a bit. Crystal Palace like to shoot quite a bit and will likely be the more aggressive team this weekend. With that mind, I don’t really see them getting more than a goal or two on the road, and Pickford should rack up saves all game long. In a slate with this much attacking, I wouldn’t mind Pickford in cash.
Others to consider: Mignolet, Bravo, Stekelenburg, Given, Foster.
The Top Choice – James Milner ($6,600) – Milner is the best defender on the slate in terms of a fantasy potential and it’s not close. He gets very frequently involved in the attack and crosses a lot. He even took a penalty earlier this season and may be taking more as the season goes on. Liverpool generally go in “all out attack” when at home, and that will be even more true this week as they’re facing Hull City. They’re also very likely to keep a clean sheet, which adds extra 2 expected points to Milner’s value. This is a great price for someone this involved, and it comes at a position where it’s hard to find high-upside players. Milner is a great cash game option and an even better GPP one.
Cheaper Choice – Glen Johnson ($3,600) – Johnson returned from injury last week and was fairly decent, but he also had a road matchup. He plays West Brom at home this week and is bound to be more involved in the attack. He contributes through both defensive and attacking stats, which gives him a good floor for his price. With the high amount of attacking power in this slate, utilize Johnson to save money for your midfielder and forward spots.
The Top Choice – Kevin De Bruyne ($10,100) – De Bruyne has been running this Manchester City team the whole season and people are talking about him being the Premier League player of the year so far. That’s not far from the truth. He has been spectacular and has the fantasy results to show for it. He has returned double digit scores in every single game this season and has eclipsed 20 points twice in the past three matches. On top of that, Manchester City plays Swansea, a matchup that’s not scaring anyone. Swansea have allowed the second most shots in the box at 54, and Manchester City will take advantage of that. If betting odds are your thing, Man City are at 5/4 to score 3+ goals, and De Bruyne is very likely to get involved in that action. He’s a primary cash target.
The Popular Choice – Nacer Chadli ($5,700) – Chadli scored twice and assisted twice in his second game as a member of West Brom, and to be quite honest he looked good in that match. There are concerns here, mainly that Chadli doesn’t cross much and West Brom play defensively on the road, but he’s cheap enough to bring value even without scoring or crossing. Stoke have also conceded 14 goals this season, so even though West Brom are away from home, the chances for Chadli to get involved in a goal are decent.
Lamela/Sissoko/Son Heung-Min – Tottenham have lost Harry Kane for a while but that doesn’t mean they’ll completely stop scoring. They get a great matchup against Middleborough and whoever starts will be an option here. I don’t really like Eriksen at his price when De Bruyne is available, so I’m leaving him out of my lineups, but all three of Lamela, Son, and Sissoko have looked terrific in recent weeks and can contribute predictive stats. Check my Twitter page for an update on this on Saturday morning.
Other Options: Coutinho (cash viable), James McArthur (cash viable), Hazard, Alexis Sanchez, Townsend, Kevin Mirallas, Jason Puncheon (cash viable).
The Top Choice – Sergio Aguero (10,500) – Aguero has by far the most upside but we don’t recommend rostering in cash as Kevin de Bruyne and the Liverpool guys come at priority due to safety. I don’t need to go into why he’s the top option as he’s the best player in the Premier League, rested, and facing weak opposition.
The Cash Game Play – Liverpool – Liverpool get to face Hull City at home. They are a team that goes all out attack at home and Hull City won’t put up any resistance. There will a lot of shots, crosses, and overall dominance here that will result in fantasy points. The big three guys I like in cash are Phillippe Coutinho, Sadio Mane, and Roberto Firmino, depending on who starts.
Others to consider: Daniel Sturridge, Romelu Lukaku, Christian Benteke, Jermain Defoe